Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 April 2006 at 22:53:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Wigan vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.80     2.17    51.38    99.80   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.70     1.86    40.05     0.20    98.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   73  +27      79.07     2.10    29.80     0.00     1.08   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   61  +15      64.98     2.19    14.80     0.00     0.00    40.67    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   57  +30      65.24     2.45    34.08     0.00     0.00    58.69    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   54   +5      59.47     2.54     5.04     0.00     0.00     0.64    71.21     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   51   +1      55.42     2.10     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.25     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   51   -3      54.74     2.06    -3.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.05     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          34   49   +5      56.05     2.49     7.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.09     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   49   -4      52.77     2.22    -4.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        35   47   -5      49.71     1.97    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   45  -16      49.43     2.19   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      47.03     2.36   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.04     2.58    -1.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   39  -11      43.23     2.00   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   39  -12      45.02     2.65   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      35   32  -25      35.41     1.98   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.05R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   29  -22      32.83     2.36   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.49R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   35   29  -23      31.87     2.07   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.47R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   12  -39      14.84     2.18   -43.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Sheffield_U vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          44  102  +66     106.85     1.44    69.55   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      44   86  +29      89.36     1.87    29.92     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   77  +23      80.74     1.82    24.52     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.91P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   76  +27      79.31     1.77    27.79     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   75  +20      78.32     1.61    21.14     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.95P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   72  +19      74.85     1.77    19.10     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   61   +6      64.39     1.77     6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   60   +2      63.03     1.86     2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            44   59   -1      61.41     1.84    -1.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   59   -9      61.32     1.79    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   57   -6      59.74     1.87    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   55   -2      57.51     1.73    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   55  -12      57.94     1.86   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   53   -7      55.94     1.85    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   53   -7      55.72     1.76    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   53  -14      55.65     1.80   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -7      53.65     1.77    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   50   -6      51.74     1.62    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   50  -10      52.88     1.82    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   50  -13      51.34     1.46   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   48  -15      49.55     1.54   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            44   39  -30      41.22     1.63   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.66  
Brighton         44   38  -27      40.02     1.67   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   29.51  
Millwall         44   37  -26      39.27     1.76   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   49.83  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2006, Scunthorpe vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        43   78  +29      83.47     2.18    31.05    97.80    99.75   100.00    99.81P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   72  +15      76.88     2.21    16.14     0.83    35.73    99.67    52.37P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   71  +18      76.19     2.22    19.59     0.52    30.74    99.14    48.30P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   69  +13      76.26     2.63    15.77     0.86    31.00    97.81    45.12P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        43   67  +17      71.95     2.27    18.20     0.00     1.46    75.15    21.49P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      43   67  +16      71.80     2.24    16.98     0.00     1.08    71.99    18.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         43   66  +19      70.21     2.32    19.12     0.00     0.24    48.95    12.79P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   63   -1      67.30     2.30    -0.66     0.00     0.00     6.83     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   61   +2      64.74     2.11     1.34     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       43   60   +0      63.39     2.11    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      43   59  -12      62.80     2.19   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        43   56   +1      59.97     2.20     0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       43   56   -6      59.91     2.21    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   55   -6      58.81     2.26    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -3      56.42     2.15    -3.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Chesterfield    42   53   -4      58.28     2.57    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere        43   51   +2      55.77     2.27     2.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39R    0.00  
Blackpool       43   51   -7      55.07     2.24    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.03R    0.00  
Rotherham       43   50   -8      54.30     2.19    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.43R    0.01  
Yeovil          43   49  -10      52.58     2.16   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.55R    0.09  
Swindon_Town    43   46  -17      49.07     2.18   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.03R   11.90  
Milton_Keynes   43   46  -21      48.96     2.11   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.84R   18.64  
Hartlepool      43   45  -16      48.14     2.06   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.81R   20.10  
Walsall         43   44  -21      47.16     2.16   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.81R   49.26  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Shrewsbury vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         42   81  +41      89.18     2.51    45.46    99.58   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   76  +23      80.87     2.19    24.10     0.38    91.50   100.00    94.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   74  +14      78.28     2.24    14.25     0.03    53.47   100.00    66.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   73  +19      77.90     2.28    20.14     0.01    54.91   100.00    69.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       43   66   +6      70.04     2.22     5.89     0.00     0.10    98.01    19.68P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   65  +13      69.62     2.27    13.77     0.00     0.02    94.14    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   61  +11      65.76     2.29    12.00     0.00     0.00    58.45    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   59  +10      63.63     2.24    10.78     0.00     0.00    20.48     5.67P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   +6      63.46     2.23     6.46     0.00     0.00    13.70     3.10P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   58   +2      62.10     2.29     2.00     0.00     0.00     6.09     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +8      61.59     2.25     8.66     0.00     0.00     4.96     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   57   -7      61.41     2.27    -6.63     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           43   57  -10      61.21     2.23    -9.87     0.00     0.00     1.81     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   53   -4      57.03     2.17    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   52   -2      55.80     2.25    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   50   -3      56.70     2.93    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.07R    0.01  
Macclesfield     43   50  -11      53.02     2.15   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02R    0.01  
Notts_County     43   50  -13      53.92     2.23   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd       43   48  -11      51.03     2.07   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.69R    1.12  
Bury             43   48  -13      51.36     2.13   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.51R    1.09  
Barnet           42   48  -14      52.83     2.58   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.14R    1.43  
Stockport        42   47  -19      51.34     2.56   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.58R    5.64  
Rushden_&_D      43   45  -27      48.32     2.17   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.56R   32.63  
Torquay          42   42  -19      46.66     2.48   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.80R   58.03  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2006, Accrington vs Scarborough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      40   88  +32      92.35     1.63    34.56   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        40   76  +24      79.74     1.66    25.56     0.00   100.00    30.32P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         39   71  +15      76.41     2.18    16.84     0.00    98.31    19.73P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           38   69  +33      77.53     2.40    38.48     0.00    99.09    27.93P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       40   68  +23      71.12     1.79    23.46     0.00    57.59    13.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   68  +18      71.29     1.86    18.80     0.00    44.84     8.62P    0.00     0.00  
York            40   62  +17      64.47     1.80    16.64     0.00     0.18     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          39   58  +13      63.55     2.22    15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          38   52   -4      58.64     2.64    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     40   52   -6      54.96     1.85    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       39   51   +0      55.27     2.26     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       40   50  -14      52.82     1.89   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          39   49   +8      54.66     2.22    10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       39   49   -6      52.03     2.06    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   40   47  -13      48.87     1.67   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   40   47  -15      48.76     1.67   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         39   45   -3      48.77     2.18    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      40   41  -28      42.27     1.50   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.36R    0.02  
Tamworth        40   37  -30      38.44     1.47   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.81R   23.81  
Southport       38   37  -31      39.60     2.10   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.73R   15.95  
Scarborough     39   36  -20      38.69     2.03   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.75R   22.84  
Forest_Green    39   35  -13      37.87     2.13   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.36R   37.39