Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 17 April 2006 at 22:53:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2006, Charlton vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.85     2.19    51.49    99.81   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.67     1.86    39.99     0.18    98.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   73  +27      79.04     2.11    29.73     0.00     1.14   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   61  +15      64.97     2.20    14.79     0.00     0.00    40.20    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   57  +30      65.23     2.44    34.06     0.00     0.00    59.07    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   54   +5      59.52     2.58     5.05     0.00     0.00     0.72    73.02     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   51   +1      55.38     2.11     1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.91     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          34   49   +5      55.99     2.50     7.26     0.00     0.00     0.01    17.93     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   49   -4      52.80     2.23    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           34   48   -4      53.47     2.46    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        35   47   -5      49.73     1.98    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   45  -16      49.41     2.19   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      47.04     2.37   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.05     2.56    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   39  -10      44.16     2.34   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   39  -12      44.99     2.66   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      35   32  -25      35.45     1.98   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.50R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   29  -22      32.82     2.36   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.61R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   35   29  -23      31.88     2.06   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.89R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   12  -39      14.87     2.19   -42.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2006, Brighton vs Sheffield_W; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          44  102  +66     106.86     1.42    69.56   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      43   85  +29      89.99     2.32    30.30     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   77  +23      80.76     1.82    24.54     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   76  +27      79.30     1.77    27.78     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            43   74  +20      78.40     2.05    20.74     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.83P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   72  +19      74.88     1.78    19.12     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   61   +6      64.38     1.77     6.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   60   +2      63.04     1.85     2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            44   59   -1      61.38     1.85    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   59   -9      61.28     1.78    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   57   -6      59.76     1.88    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   55   -2      57.50     1.74    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   55  -12      57.92     1.87   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   53   -7      55.99     1.84    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   53   -7      55.71     1.78    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   53  -14      55.66     1.81   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -7      53.64     1.77    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   50   -6      51.73     1.62    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   50  -10      52.89     1.83    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   50  -13      51.32     1.44   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   48  -15      49.56     1.54   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            44   39  -30      41.26     1.63   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   19.88  
Brighton         44   38  -27      40.04     1.67   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   28.80  
Millwall         44   37  -26      39.22     1.74   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   51.33  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2006, Scunthorpe vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        43   78  +29      83.45     2.19    31.04    98.03    99.81   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   72  +15      76.83     2.22    16.07     0.71    35.31    99.65    51.96P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   71  +18      76.13     2.21    19.51     0.40    30.20    99.16    47.92P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   69  +13      76.29     2.63    15.81     0.85    31.69    97.93    46.16P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        43   67  +17      71.98     2.26    18.23     0.00     1.63    75.45    21.64P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      43   67  +16      71.79     2.24    16.99     0.00     1.07    71.76    19.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         43   66  +19      70.22     2.34    19.08     0.00     0.28    48.77    12.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   63   -1      67.31     2.29    -0.66     0.00     0.00     6.84     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   61   +2      64.67     2.09     1.25     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       43   60   +0      63.38     2.10    -1.03     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      43   59  -12      62.84     2.19   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        43   56   +1      59.91     2.17     0.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       43   56   -6      59.93     2.20    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   55   -6      58.83     2.28    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -3      56.43     2.15    -3.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Chesterfield    42   53   -4      58.28     2.58    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Tranmere        43   51   +2      55.83     2.27     3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.00  
Blackpool       43   51   -7      55.07     2.24    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Rotherham       43   50   -8      54.31     2.20    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.46R    0.01  
Yeovil          43   49  -10      52.61     2.14   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.57R    0.04  
Swindon_Town    43   46  -17      49.11     2.19   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.62R   11.82  
Milton_Keynes   43   46  -21      48.91     2.10   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.31R   19.01  
Hartlepool      43   45  -16      48.19     2.08   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.60R   19.34  
Walsall         43   44  -21      47.13     2.16   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.83R   49.79  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2006, Leyton_Orient vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         42   81  +41      89.27     2.50    45.64    99.58   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   76  +23      80.89     2.17    24.12     0.39    91.79   100.00    94.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   74  +14      78.33     2.25    14.30     0.02    54.31   100.00    66.74P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   73  +19      77.87     2.25    20.12     0.01    53.78   100.00    68.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       43   66   +6      70.04     2.18     5.90     0.00     0.12    98.22    19.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   65  +13      69.58     2.26    13.71     0.00     0.01    94.44    24.66P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   61  +11      65.75     2.30    12.05     0.00     0.00    59.43    15.21P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   59  +10      63.59     2.24    10.75     0.00     0.00    20.62     5.33P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   +6      63.45     2.22     6.46     0.00     0.00    14.27     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +8      61.60     2.23     8.67     0.00     0.00     5.09     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   57   -7      61.49     2.30    -6.51     0.00     0.00     2.52     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           43   57  -10      61.16     2.26    -9.94     0.00     0.00     1.80     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   55   -1      60.94     2.62    -0.35     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   53   -4      57.03     2.17    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   52   -2      55.79     2.25    -2.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         41   50   -3      56.63     2.94    -3.61     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.14R    0.01  
Macclesfield     43   50  -11      53.01     2.16   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.06  
Notts_County     43   50  -13      53.92     2.22   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd       43   48  -11      51.01     2.07   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.88R    1.34  
Bury             43   48  -13      51.36     2.16   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.44R    1.50  
Barnet           42   48  -14      52.81     2.58   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.72R    1.56  
Stockport        42   47  -19      51.40     2.57   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.46R    7.21  
Rushden_&_D      42   45  -24      49.19     2.49   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.21R   24.46  
Torquay          42   42  -19      46.62     2.49   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.81R   63.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2006, Accrington vs Scarborough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      40   88  +32      92.40     1.61    34.62   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        40   76  +24      79.74     1.66    25.56     0.00   100.00    29.56P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         39   71  +15      76.46     2.17    16.91     0.00    98.61    20.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           38   69  +33      77.54     2.43    38.50     0.00    99.01    28.50P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       40   68  +23      71.09     1.78    23.41     0.00    56.88    12.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   68  +18      71.28     1.87    18.79     0.00    45.34     8.52P    0.00     0.00  
York            40   62  +17      64.47     1.79    16.65     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          39   58  +13      63.62     2.21    15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          38   52   -4      58.65     2.62    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     40   52   -6      54.94     1.87    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       39   51   +0      55.30     2.25     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       40   50  -14      52.87     1.88   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          39   49   +8      54.64     2.22    10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       39   49   -6      52.03     2.06    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   40   47  -13      48.81     1.65   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   40   47  -15      48.73     1.66   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         39   45   -3      48.74     2.16    -3.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      40   41  -28      42.26     1.49   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.99R    0.01  
Tamworth        40   37  -30      38.43     1.47   -32.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.73R   23.20  
Southport       38   37  -31      39.61     2.10   -36.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.21R   15.73  
Scarborough     39   36  -20      38.68     2.04   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.80R   23.54  
Forest_Green    39   35  -13      37.85     2.13   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.27R   37.52