Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 16 April 2006 at 22:54:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 April 2006, Aston_Villa vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         34   85  +46      93.36     2.39    50.33    99.56   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    34   76  +36      83.11     2.30    39.12     0.45    93.39   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   73  +27      79.04     2.11    29.73     0.00     6.61   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   61  +16      66.29     2.59    15.76     0.00     0.00    55.18    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   57  +30      65.16     2.44    33.92     0.00     0.00    44.30    99.60     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   54   +5      59.50     2.57     5.05     0.00     0.00     0.47    66.77     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        34   49   -2      54.04     2.63    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          33   48   +5      56.72     2.87     7.82     0.00     0.00     0.04    26.08     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   48   -2      54.04     2.48    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.78     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           34   48   -4      53.51     2.46    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   45  -13      49.81     2.31   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        34   44   -6      48.73     2.40    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.09     2.57    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   40  -10      45.45     2.76   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   39  -10      44.13     2.36   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   39  -12      45.01     2.66   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth      34   32  -24      36.11     2.30   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.39R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   29  -22      32.83     2.38   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.83R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   34   28  -23      31.99     2.44   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.77R    0.00  
Sunderland      33   12  -36      15.96     2.53   -40.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2006, Hull vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          43   99  +64     106.47     1.70    69.72   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      43   85  +29      90.03     2.31    30.35     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   74  +22      79.98     2.17    24.94     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            43   74  +20      78.45     2.04    20.81     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.68P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   73  +25      78.00     2.17    26.21     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   71  +19      75.42     2.22    19.37     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   61   +8      65.33     2.09     8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   59   +2      63.67     2.31     2.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            43   56   -2      59.54     2.25    -2.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   56   -6      60.43     2.30    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   56  -10      59.92     2.23   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   55  -10      58.18     2.01   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   53   -6      57.29     2.21    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   53  -13      56.24     2.09   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   52   -4      56.30     2.16    -3.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   52   -7      56.19     2.25    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   50   -7      53.70     2.20    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   50  -12      52.37     1.93   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   49   -6      51.86     2.07    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   49  -10      53.55     2.28    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   45  -17      47.67     1.96   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.65R    0.00  
Brighton         43   38  -25      41.57     2.12   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.30R   18.04  
Crewe            43   38  -30      41.38     2.09   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.44R   32.91  
Millwall         43   37  -24      40.14     2.11   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R   49.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2006, Hartlepool vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        42   77  +29      83.71     2.56    30.91    95.53    99.28   100.00    99.51P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   70  +18      77.27     2.55    20.67     2.65    49.06    99.01    61.03P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      42   69  +14      75.60     2.56    15.63     0.57    17.50    95.41    36.63P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   69  +13      76.25     2.66    15.77     1.10    26.70    96.83    41.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         42   66  +21      72.49     2.67    22.56     0.10     3.73    76.80    23.66P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        42   66  +17      72.45     2.65    18.38     0.04     3.17    72.60    22.72P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      42   64  +15      70.77     2.58    16.87     0.00     0.55    46.76    12.35P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          42   63   +0      68.29     2.65    -0.31     0.00     0.01    12.41     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    42   58   +1      63.35     2.50     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       42   57   -1      62.32     2.50    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        42   56   +2      61.32     2.54     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      42   56  -13      61.17     2.56   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      42   55   -5      60.95     2.64    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       42   55   -6      60.46     2.57    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    42   53   -4      58.20     2.60    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth     42   52   -3      56.56     2.51    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Tranmere        42   51   +3      56.80     2.59     3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Blackpool       42   50   -7      54.69     2.54    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.94R    0.00  
Yeovil          42   49   -9      53.40     2.44   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.20R    0.01  
Rotherham       42   47  -10      51.84     2.47   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.83R    0.73  
Hartlepool      42   45  -15      49.35     2.45   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.58R    8.07  
Walsall         42   44  -20      48.02     2.47   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.22R   22.21  
Swindon_Town    42   43  -18      46.87     2.49   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.07R   36.38  
Milton_Keynes   42   43  -22      47.51     2.50   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.36R   32.59  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         41   78  +40      88.60     2.73    46.20    98.73    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   73  +21      80.03     2.51    23.32     0.76    84.06   100.00    89.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   73  +14      78.82     2.63    14.50     0.29    60.48   100.00    71.03P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   72  +19      78.07     2.63    19.89     0.23    54.12   100.00    67.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          42   65  +16      71.51     2.64    17.53     0.00     0.92    97.96    29.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       42   65   +6      70.66     2.62     6.24     0.00     0.43    96.45    18.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   59  +11      64.90     2.64    11.66     0.00     0.00    44.09    11.21P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        42   58   +8      63.61     2.65     8.21     0.00     0.00    22.91     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       42   58   +6      63.51     2.60     6.02     0.00     0.00    19.99     4.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   57   -6      62.41     2.64    -6.24     0.00     0.00     8.77     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   55   -1      60.98     2.64    -0.25     0.00     0.00     4.00     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   54   +7      60.44     2.62     8.41     0.00     0.00     4.47     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           42   54  -11      59.74     2.63   -10.66     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   52   -1      57.20     2.63    -1.47     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   52   -4      57.34     2.56    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield     42   50   -9      54.90     2.57    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.01  
Notts_County     42   50  -12      54.33     2.42   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd       42   48  -10      52.24     2.46   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.59R    0.17  
Rochdale         40   47   -4      55.08     3.26    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    1.50R    0.14  
Bury             42   47  -13      51.83     2.56   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.33R    0.76  
Stockport        41   47  -17      52.09     2.80   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.03R    2.19  
Barnet           41   45  -15      51.16     2.90   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.46R    3.33  
Rushden_&_D      42   45  -24      49.13     2.46   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.06R   11.49  
Torquay          41   39  -21      44.44     2.78   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.98R   81.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2006, Scarborough vs Burton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      39   85  +31      91.80     1.95    35.35   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        39   73  +23      79.08     2.00    25.96     0.00   100.00    30.74P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         38   68  +13      74.48     2.54    14.46     0.00    93.66    18.32P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           37   66  +30      76.32     2.83    36.18     0.00    98.10    26.89P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       39   65  +21      70.51     2.11    23.08     0.00    59.45    13.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   65  +17      70.19     2.25    18.55     0.00    41.95     8.62P    0.00     0.00  
York            39   62  +19      66.08     2.25    18.99     0.00     6.05     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          38   57  +13      64.26     2.62    15.66     0.00     0.80     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          38   52   -4      58.67     2.61    -2.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     39   52   -5      56.37     2.29    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       38   50   +0      56.18     2.63     0.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       39   50  -11      53.87     2.30   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          38   49  +10      56.24     2.61    12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       38   46   -8      50.18     2.43    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   39   46  -13      48.77     2.08   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         38   45   -2      49.63     2.51    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   39   44  -16      47.00     2.10   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham      39   41  -26      42.77     1.78   -30.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.55R    0.04  
Tamworth        39   37  -29      38.91     1.71   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.03R   21.11  
Southport       38   37  -31      39.54     2.08   -36.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.19R   19.39  
Scarborough     38   36  -19      39.13     2.27   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.19R   20.45  
Forest_Green    38   34  -13      37.92     2.51   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.02R   38.99