Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 15 April 2006 at 22:54:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2006, Arsenal vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         34   85  +46      93.34     2.39    50.27    99.63   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    34   76  +36      83.08     2.33    39.10     0.37    96.38   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   70  +26      77.49     2.50    28.87     0.00     3.62   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   61  +16      66.33     2.59    15.81     0.00     0.00    54.70    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   57  +30      65.16     2.43    33.90     0.00     0.00    42.99    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   54   +6      60.73     2.88     5.93     0.00     0.00     2.24    77.39     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        34   49   -2      54.07     2.62    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          33   48   +5      56.69     2.86     7.75     0.00     0.00     0.07    18.18     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   48   -2      54.04     2.48    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           34   48   -4      53.47     2.46    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   45  -13      49.78     2.34   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        34   44   -6      48.67     2.39    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.09     2.56    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   40  -10      45.53     2.77   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   39  -12      45.00     2.65   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   36  -12      42.91     2.71   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Portsmouth      34   32  -24      36.20     2.33   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.29R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   29  -20      33.75     2.66   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.83R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   34   28  -23      31.97     2.46   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.61R    0.00  
Sunderland      33   12  -36      15.94     2.52   -40.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2006, Hull vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          43   99  +64     106.45     1.70    69.74   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      43   85  +29      90.01     2.30    30.34     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   74  +22      79.93     2.21    24.90     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            43   74  +20      78.41     2.05    20.77     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.05P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   73  +25      78.08     2.18    26.29     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   71  +19      75.40     2.22    19.35     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   61   +8      65.29     2.10     8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   59   +2      63.66     2.31     2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            43   56   -2      59.55     2.24    -2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   56   -6      60.40     2.31    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   56  -10      59.92     2.23   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   55  -10      58.18     2.01   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   53   -6      57.25     2.21    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   53  -13      56.25     2.12   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   52   -4      56.27     2.16    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   52   -7      56.20     2.25    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   50   -7      53.72     2.20    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        43   50  -12      52.38     1.92   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   49   -6      51.89     2.10    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   49  -10      53.59     2.26    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      43   45  -17      47.65     1.96   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.79R    0.00  
Brighton         43   38  -25      41.58     2.10   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.44R   17.99  
Crewe            43   38  -30      41.42     2.10   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.29R   32.51  
Millwall         43   37  -24      40.15     2.11   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.47R   49.50  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2006, Hartlepool vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        42   77  +29      83.70     2.56    30.90    95.53    99.20   100.00    99.42P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   70  +18      77.29     2.56    20.71     2.77    49.82    98.94    61.91P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      42   69  +14      75.61     2.59    15.65     0.51    17.34    95.34    36.65P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   69  +13      76.28     2.63    15.82     1.03    26.19    96.71    41.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         42   66  +21      72.47     2.65    22.55     0.11     3.61    76.48    23.39P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        42   66  +17      72.49     2.62    18.44     0.04     3.20    73.03    22.71P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      42   64  +15      70.80     2.57    16.92     0.00     0.61    46.70    12.39P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          42   63   +0      68.28     2.68    -0.34     0.00     0.02    12.60     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    42   58   +1      63.41     2.52     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       42   57   -1      62.31     2.48    -1.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        42   56   +2      61.34     2.52     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      42   56  -13      61.20     2.56   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      42   55   -5      61.04     2.66    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       42   55   -6      60.44     2.58    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    42   53   -4      58.22     2.56    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth     42   52   -3      56.53     2.50    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Tranmere        42   51   +3      56.76     2.57     3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Blackpool       42   50   -7      54.63     2.51    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.92R    0.00  
Yeovil          42   49   -9      53.36     2.45   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.64R    0.02  
Rotherham       42   47  -10      51.80     2.45   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.34R    0.66  
Hartlepool      42   45  -15      49.36     2.45   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.92R    7.75  
Walsall         42   44  -20      48.00     2.47   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.87R   22.25  
Swindon_Town    42   43  -18      46.84     2.47   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.31R   36.90  
Milton_Keynes   42   43  -22      47.50     2.48   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.31R   32.42  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         41   78  +40      88.63     2.75    46.23    98.75   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   73  +21      80.01     2.52    23.34     0.76    84.20   100.00    89.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   73  +14      78.83     2.62    14.52     0.32    60.88   100.00    71.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   72  +19      78.05     2.63    19.84     0.17    53.60   100.00    67.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          42   65  +16      71.41     2.64    17.39     0.00     0.94    97.83    28.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       42   65   +6      70.67     2.59     6.27     0.00     0.37    96.56    19.33P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   59  +11      64.94     2.65    11.70     0.00     0.00    45.38    11.17P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        42   58   +8      63.64     2.65     8.26     0.00     0.00    23.36     5.28P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       42   58   +6      63.57     2.58     6.08     0.00     0.00    19.66     4.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   57   -6      62.36     2.64    -6.29     0.00     0.00     7.92     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   55   -1      61.03     2.64    -0.20     0.00     0.00     3.85     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   54   +7      60.41     2.62     8.37     0.00     0.00     4.17     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           42   54  -11      59.77     2.61   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   52   -1      57.15     2.64    -1.54     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   52   -4      57.33     2.53    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     42   50   -9      54.98     2.57    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.01  
Notts_County     42   50  -12      54.34     2.42   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd       42   48  -10      52.22     2.45   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.52R    0.23  
Rochdale         40   47   -4      55.07     3.27    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    1.74R    0.09  
Bury             42   47  -13      51.87     2.56   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.29R    0.79  
Stockport        41   47  -17      52.07     2.79   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.18R    2.21  
Barnet           41   45  -15      51.13     2.94   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.20R    3.50  
Rushden_&_D      42   45  -24      49.17     2.47   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.44R   11.17  
Torquay          41   39  -21      44.44     2.79   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.73R   82.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2006, Scarborough vs Burton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      39   85  +31      91.83     1.94    35.41   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        39   73  +23      79.06     2.01    25.93     0.00   100.00    32.37P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         38   68  +13      74.46     2.56    14.41     0.00    93.45    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           37   66  +30      76.32     2.81    36.23     0.00    98.22    27.34P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       39   65  +21      70.48     2.12    23.05     0.00    58.85    13.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   65  +17      70.16     2.27    18.53     0.00    42.34     8.29P    0.00     0.00  
York            39   62  +19      66.08     2.25    19.00     0.00     6.35     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          38   57  +13      64.30     2.61    15.70     0.00     0.80     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          38   52   -4      58.65     2.65    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     39   52   -5      56.38     2.28    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       38   50   +0      56.18     2.63     1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       39   50  -11      53.87     2.29   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          38   49  +10      56.19     2.61    12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       38   46   -8      50.21     2.46    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   39   46  -13      48.78     2.08   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         38   45   -2      49.60     2.48    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   39   44  -16      46.99     2.11   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      39   41  -26      42.79     1.80   -30.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.62R    0.04  
Tamworth        39   37  -29      38.91     1.71   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.69R   21.25  
Southport       38   37  -31      39.57     2.08   -36.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.72R   18.95  
Scarborough     38   36  -19      39.10     2.25   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.42R   21.00  
Forest_Green    38   34  -13      37.96     2.49   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.55R   38.76