Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 14 April 2006 at 22:54:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 April 2006, Manchester_U vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   82  +44      92.05     2.76    48.73    98.43   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    34   76  +36      83.07     2.34    39.08     1.57    96.34   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   70  +26      77.58     2.52    28.97     0.00     3.65   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   58  +15      64.90     2.92    15.04     0.00     0.00    44.84    96.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   54  +28      64.59     2.66    33.59     0.00     0.00    49.91    97.75     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   54   +6      60.72     2.91     5.91     0.00     0.00     4.31    70.41     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   48   +7      57.70     3.13     9.28     0.00     0.00     0.93    29.01     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           33   48   -2      54.72     2.80    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.88     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   46   -3      52.68     3.03    -3.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   45   -4      52.49     2.85    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   45  -12      50.89     2.68   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        33   44   -5      49.86     2.76    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    33   40   +0      46.20     2.92    -0.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   40   -9      46.99     3.15   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   36  -12      42.85     2.72   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.52     3.00   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   29  -20      33.79     2.67   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.85R    0.00  
Portsmouth      33   29  -25      34.48     2.72   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.81R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   33   28  -21      32.36     2.61   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.92R    0.00  
Sunderland      33   12  -36      16.04     2.55   -39.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 April 2006, Cardiff vs Sheffield_U; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          42   98  +64     107.17     2.15    70.20   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      43   85  +29      89.99     2.31    30.28     0.00    99.91   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   74  +22      79.93     2.19    24.88     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.75P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            42   73  +20      78.46     2.38    20.37     0.00     0.09   100.00    24.41P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   70  +24      76.59     2.55    25.54     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   70  +19      76.83     2.51    21.24     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   61   +8      65.31     2.09     8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   59   +2      63.68     2.33     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            42   56   -1      61.40     2.63    -1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56   -9      61.35     2.61    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   55   -9      59.85     2.41   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53   -7      58.28     2.66    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   53  -12      58.21     2.51   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   52   -6      57.60     2.55    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   -7      56.33     2.62    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   50   -6      54.85     2.54    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   49   -5      54.36     2.50    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.87     2.38   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   48   -6      52.47     2.48    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   48  -10      53.76     2.63    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   42  -18      45.98     2.34   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.65R    0.10  
Crewe            42   37  -30      40.85     2.32   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.21R   27.14  
Millwall         42   36  -24      40.39     2.44   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.20R   27.96  
Brighton         42   35  -26      39.37     2.44   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.94R   44.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 April 2006, Southend vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        42   77  +29      83.75     2.54    30.95    91.31    98.25   100.00    98.81P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   69  +18      77.91     2.90    21.05     4.83    48.45    99.27    61.94P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      41   68  +14      76.03     2.93    15.72     1.22    17.97    96.86    39.09P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    41   68  +13      76.62     2.98    15.78     1.73    24.91    97.42    40.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         41   66  +22      73.99     3.03    23.74     0.91     9.31    89.69    31.27P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        41   63  +14      70.58     2.96    15.07     0.00     0.72    50.51    13.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          41   63   +3      69.96     2.99     3.20     0.00     0.27    36.42     6.91P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      41   61  +14      68.94     2.94    15.63     0.00     0.14    28.95     7.23P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       41   57   +0      63.34     2.81    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      42   56  -13      61.27     2.57   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   55   +0      61.63     2.84    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      42   55   -5      60.92     2.63    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale       41   54   -6      60.77     2.93    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bradford        41   53   +1      59.91     2.90     1.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    41   52   -4      58.53     2.89    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Tranmere        41   51   +4      58.37     2.95     4.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Bournemouth     41   51   -3      56.94     2.87    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97R    0.00  
Yeovil          42   49   -9      53.37     2.44   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.85R    0.01  
Blackpool       41   47   -8      52.83     2.86    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.50R    0.19  
Rotherham       41   46  -10      52.01     2.80   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.97R    0.98  
Hartlepool      41   45  -14      50.81     2.80   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.29R    2.94  
Swindon_Town    41   43  -17      48.58     2.84   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.90R   15.48  
Walsall         41   43  -20      48.45     2.83   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.26R   15.15  
Milton_Keynes   41   40  -23      45.40     2.82   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.75R   65.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 April 2006, Chester vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         40   77  +40      89.51     3.09    47.06    98.92    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   71  +19      79.00     2.97    20.67     0.56    73.49   100.00    81.63P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   70  +20      78.44     2.83    22.41     0.38    73.14   100.00    81.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   70  +13      77.13     3.01    13.41     0.15    44.38   100.00    58.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          41   65  +17      72.88     3.01    18.54     0.00     8.54    97.44    32.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   62   +5      69.08     2.96     5.32     0.00     0.38    76.27    15.16P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   59  +12      67.06     2.98    13.75     0.00     0.08    60.55    15.97P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       41   58   +7      64.86     2.92     7.02     0.00     0.00    25.89     5.59P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        41   57   +8      64.60     2.95     9.09     0.00     0.00    24.00     5.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   56   -6      62.23     2.91    -7.12     0.00     0.00     4.70     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          41   54   +8      62.10     2.98     9.86     0.00     0.00     8.24     2.01P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   54   -1      60.80     2.90    -1.05     0.00     0.00     2.20     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   52   +0      58.64     2.99    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           41   51  -12      57.48     2.85   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.07R    0.01  
Chester          41   49   -5      55.63     2.89    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.38R    0.03  
Macclesfield     41   49   -9      55.11     2.90   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.68R    0.09  
Notts_County     41   49  -12      54.96     2.83   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.81R    0.07  
Rochdale         39   46   -4      55.42     3.60    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    1.89R    0.32  
Bury             41   46  -13      51.55     2.82   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.36R    2.02  
Oxford_Utd       41   45  -12      50.68     2.78   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.23R    3.59  
Barnet           40   45  -13      52.53     3.26   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.44R    2.71  
Stockport        40   44  -18      50.11     3.10   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.93R   12.56  
Rushden_&_D      41   44  -24      49.43     2.84   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.54R   15.11  
Torquay          40   39  -20      45.77     3.11   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.69R   63.51  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 April 2006, Cambridge_U vs York; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      38   82  +30      90.21     2.40    34.41    99.93   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        38   70  +22      78.05     2.36    25.79     0.01    99.88    30.70P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         38   68  +13      74.45     2.56    14.40     0.00    95.17    17.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           36   65  +30      77.93     3.02    38.60     0.06    99.33    29.48P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   65  +17      70.21     2.29    18.61     0.00    53.49    10.79P    0.00     0.00  
York            39   62  +19      66.11     2.24    19.04     0.00     9.30     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       38   62  +18      69.30     2.50    20.65     0.00    41.91     9.59P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          37   54  +11      63.16     2.95    14.47     0.00     0.92     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          37   52   -1      60.54     2.94     1.53     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     39   52   -5      56.37     2.30    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       37   50   +2      57.20     2.93     2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       38   50   -9      55.00     2.66   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          37   49  +11      57.64     2.97    13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       37   46   -7      51.78     2.85    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   39   46  -13      48.78     2.08   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   39   44  -16      46.98     2.10   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crawley         37   42   -4      48.18     2.87    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Altrincham      38   41  -25      43.52     2.11   -30.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.04R    0.01  
Tamworth        38   37  -26      39.81     2.10   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.27R    3.52  
Southport       37   34  -32      37.56     2.43   -38.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.03R   31.94  
Forest_Green    37   33  -13      37.21     2.65   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.19R   28.35  
Scarborough     37   33  -22      37.04     2.58   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.42R   36.19