Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 13 April 2006 at 22:53:52 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 April 2006, Portsmouth vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   82  +44      92.01     2.76    48.67    94.36   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    33   75  +36      85.00     2.44    42.31     5.64    98.79   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   70  +26      77.57     2.52    28.96     0.00     1.21   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   58  +15      64.79     2.96    14.88     0.00     0.00    43.22    96.42     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   54  +28      64.66     2.66    33.71     0.00     0.00    51.45    97.94     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   54   +6      60.71     2.89     5.91     0.00     0.00     4.22    69.83     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   48   +7      57.75     3.12     9.39     0.00     0.00     1.09    29.60     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           33   48   -2      54.71     2.79    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.87     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   46   -3      52.75     2.99    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   45   -4      52.62     2.85    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   45  -12      51.01     2.68   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        33   44   -5      49.83     2.77    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    33   40   +0      46.23     2.92    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   40   -9      46.90     3.14   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   36  -12      42.88     2.70   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.52     3.02   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   29  -20      33.69     2.66   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.28R    0.00  
Portsmouth      33   29  -25      34.54     2.71   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.95R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   33   28  -21      32.28     2.57   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.48R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   11  -36      15.04     2.61   -43.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Watford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          42   98  +64     107.17     2.15    70.16   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      42   82  +28      88.39     2.70    29.31     0.00    97.50   100.00    98.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   73  +22      80.24     2.55    24.79     0.00     1.82   100.00    23.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            42   73  +20      78.44     2.40    20.33     0.00     0.61   100.00    25.04P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   70  +24      76.68     2.53    25.64     0.00     0.01    99.84    32.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   70  +19      76.87     2.51    21.30     0.00     0.06    99.92    20.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   60   +8      65.66     2.50     8.45     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   59   +3      65.01     2.70     3.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            42   56   -1      61.45     2.66    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56   -9      61.34     2.59    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   55   -9      59.73     2.44   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53   -7      58.34     2.67    -7.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   53  -12      58.16     2.49   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   52   -6      57.57     2.54    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   -7      56.24     2.59    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   50   -6      54.80     2.52    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   49   -5      54.42     2.51    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.91     2.37   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   48   -6      52.49     2.47    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   48  -10      53.75     2.64    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   42  -18      46.01     2.38   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.94R    0.07  
Crewe            42   37  -30      40.81     2.31   -33.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.27R   28.62  
Millwall         42   36  -24      40.44     2.45   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.99R   28.07  
Brighton         42   35  -26      39.43     2.41   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.81R   43.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 April 2006, Walsall vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        41   77  +30      86.15     2.81    33.56    97.48    99.60   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   69  +18      77.84     2.92    20.96     1.48    47.84    99.31    61.61P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      41   68  +14      75.96     2.92    15.59     0.30    17.24    96.58    37.88P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    41   68  +13      76.58     2.98    15.70     0.49    24.89    97.36    40.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         41   66  +22      73.96     3.02    23.68     0.23     9.37    89.64    32.15P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        41   63  +14      70.52     2.95    15.00     0.00     0.64    50.12    13.49P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          41   63   +3      69.99     3.01     3.26     0.00     0.35    36.86     6.68P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      41   61  +14      68.93     2.92    15.59     0.00     0.07    29.32     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       41   57   +0      63.31     2.81    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   55   +0      61.53     2.84    -0.65     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       41   54   -6      60.69     2.92    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Bradford        41   53   +1      59.99     2.89     1.31     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham      41   53  -14      58.51     2.73   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Chesterfield    41   52   -4      58.57     2.94    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      41   52   -6      58.98     2.94    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.87R    0.00  
Tranmere        41   51   +4      58.41     2.91     4.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.35R    0.00  
Bournemouth     41   51   -3      56.95     2.87    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Yeovil          41   49   -8      55.17     2.84    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.29R    0.01  
Blackpool       41   47   -8      52.96     2.85    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.32R    0.13  
Rotherham       41   46  -10      52.09     2.82   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.98R    1.04  
Hartlepool      41   45  -14      50.85     2.82   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.31R    2.92  
Swindon_Town    41   43  -17      48.66     2.87   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.69R   14.97  
Walsall         41   43  -20      48.58     2.86   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.60R   14.16  
Milton_Keynes   41   40  -23      45.33     2.78   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.38R   66.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 April 2006, Chester vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         40   77  +40      89.51     3.11    47.09    99.04   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   71  +19      78.99     2.98    20.65     0.54    73.55   100.00    81.14P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   70  +20      78.44     2.85    22.43     0.32    72.82   100.00    81.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   70  +13      77.09     3.01    13.35     0.10    44.22    99.99    57.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          41   65  +17      72.94     3.00    18.58     0.00     8.94    97.39    34.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   62   +5      69.17     2.93     5.44     0.00     0.41    77.43    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   59  +12      67.07     2.96    13.79     0.00     0.07    60.38    16.43P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       41   58   +7      64.87     2.92     7.01     0.00     0.00    25.49     5.47P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        41   57   +8      64.55     2.95     9.00     0.00     0.00    23.11     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   56   -6      62.27     2.92    -7.08     0.00     0.00     4.78     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          41   54   +8      62.18     2.98     9.92     0.00     0.00     8.21     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   54   -1      60.88     2.92    -0.92     0.00     0.00     2.44     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   52   +0      58.64     2.98    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           41   51  -12      57.48     2.85   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.07R    0.01  
Chester          41   49   -5      55.60     2.90    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.01  
Macclesfield     41   49   -9      55.07     2.90   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.65R    0.06  
Notts_County     41   49  -12      54.87     2.82   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.06  
Rochdale         39   46   -4      55.57     3.60    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    1.77R    0.30  
Bury             41   46  -13      51.55     2.82   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.21R    2.08  
Oxford_Utd       41   45  -12      50.67     2.78   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.86R    3.56  
Barnet           40   45  -13      52.44     3.21   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.09R    2.38  
Stockport        40   44  -18      50.19     3.12   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.96R   11.77  
Rushden_&_D      41   44  -24      49.40     2.82   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.25R   14.91  
Torquay          40   39  -20      45.63     3.09   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.03R   64.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 April 2006, Dag_&_Red vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      38   82  +30      90.23     2.39    34.42    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        38   70  +22      78.03     2.37    25.81     0.00    99.80    31.23P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         37   67  +13      74.95     2.90    14.60     0.00    92.61    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           36   65  +30      77.93     3.03    38.61     0.04    99.31    29.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   64  +17      70.37     2.65    18.34     0.00    50.70     9.69P    0.00     0.00  
York            38   62  +21      67.83     2.64    21.51     0.00    22.19     5.11P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       38   62  +18      69.28     2.49    20.60     0.00    34.79     7.53P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          37   54  +11      63.14     2.96    14.42     0.00     0.60     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          37   52   -1      60.49     2.94     1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       37   50   +2      57.19     2.91     2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       38   50   -9      55.03     2.67   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          37   49  +11      57.60     2.96    13.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     38   49   -7      54.38     2.63    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       37   46   -7      51.85     2.84    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   38   44  -15      48.24     2.50   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   38   43  -14      47.32     2.45   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crawley         37   42   -4      48.18     2.86    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Altrincham      38   41  -25      43.52     2.14   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.97R    0.00  
Tamworth        38   37  -26      39.77     2.09   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.98R    3.68  
Southport       37   34  -32      37.56     2.43   -38.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.16R   31.95  
Forest_Green    37   33  -13      37.19     2.66   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.25R   28.91  
Scarborough     37   33  -22      37.08     2.57   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.58R   35.47