Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 12 April 2006 at 22:53:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Aston_Villa vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   82  +44      91.96     2.78    48.61    94.25   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    33   75  +36      84.99     2.45    42.33     5.75    98.81   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   70  +26      77.55     2.52    28.94     0.00     1.20   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   58  +15      64.70     2.93    14.76     0.00     0.00    32.91    96.03     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   54   +6      60.74     2.88     5.96     0.00     0.00     2.91    69.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   53  +28      65.91     2.93    35.04     0.00     0.00    63.46    98.70     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   48   +7      57.84     3.15     9.51     0.00     0.00     0.70    29.86     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           33   48   -2      54.70     2.80    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.60     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   46   -3      52.77     3.00    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   45   -4      52.59     2.85    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   45  -12      51.05     2.68   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        33   44   -5      49.84     2.76    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    33   40   +0      46.18     2.92    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   40   -9      46.92     3.13   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   36  -12      42.90     2.70   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.51     3.02   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   29  -20      33.68     2.65   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.73R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   33   28  -21      32.24     2.57   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.33R    0.00  
Portsmouth      32   28  -25      34.17     2.95   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.62R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   11  -36      15.02     2.59   -43.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Watford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          42   98  +64     107.15     2.15    70.17   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      42   82  +28      88.39     2.71    29.36     0.00    97.58   100.00    98.20P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   73  +22      80.19     2.56    24.74     0.00     1.74   100.00    23.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            42   73  +20      78.46     2.40    20.35     0.00     0.56   100.00    24.52P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   70  +24      76.65     2.55    25.59     0.00     0.03    99.89    31.70P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   70  +19      76.86     2.50    21.24     0.00     0.09    99.92    22.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   60   +8      65.74     2.50     8.54     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   59   +3      64.97     2.71     3.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            42   56   -1      61.46     2.67    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56   -9      61.34     2.61    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   55   -9      59.78     2.40   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53   -7      58.31     2.66    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   53  -12      58.17     2.51   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   52   -6      57.54     2.53    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   -7      56.25     2.61    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   50   -6      54.83     2.53    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   49   -5      54.40     2.51    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.92     2.37   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   48   -6      52.50     2.49    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   48  -10      53.74     2.62    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   42  -18      45.99     2.38   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.50R    0.10  
Crewe            42   37  -30      40.85     2.34   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.67R   27.59  
Millwall         42   36  -24      40.41     2.43   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.15R   28.05  
Brighton         42   35  -26      39.41     2.43   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.67R   44.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 April 2006, Walsall vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        41   77  +30      86.16     2.82    33.55    97.51    99.72   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   69  +18      77.79     2.91    20.88     1.38    47.48    99.36    61.48P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      41   68  +14      75.94     2.93    15.60     0.35    17.52    96.61    38.03P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    41   68  +13      76.55     2.99    15.68     0.52    24.82    97.55    40.84P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         41   66  +22      74.01     3.02    23.76     0.23     9.50    90.11    32.17P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        41   63  +14      70.51     2.96    14.98     0.00     0.64    50.02    13.49P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          41   63   +3      69.92     2.99     3.14     0.00     0.23    36.40     6.47P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      41   61  +14      68.90     2.91    15.58     0.00     0.10    29.05     7.51P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       41   57   +0      63.32     2.81    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   55   +0      61.51     2.84    -0.63     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale       41   54   -6      60.76     2.90    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford        41   53   +1      60.03     2.90     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham      41   53  -14      58.57     2.74   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Chesterfield    41   52   -4      58.53     2.90    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      41   52   -6      58.98     2.99    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Tranmere        41   51   +4      58.39     2.91     4.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Bournemouth     41   51   -3      56.95     2.87    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.00  
Yeovil          41   49   -8      55.14     2.86    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.87R    0.01  
Blackpool       41   47   -8      52.93     2.85    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.04R    0.17  
Rotherham       41   46  -10      52.12     2.82   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.34R    1.02  
Hartlepool      41   45  -14      50.89     2.84   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.22R    2.90  
Swindon_Town    41   43  -17      48.65     2.86   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.04R   15.40  
Walsall         41   43  -20      48.57     2.85   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.69R   14.98  
Milton_Keynes   41   40  -23      45.41     2.82   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.21R   65.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Wrexham vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         40   77  +40      89.59     3.08    47.17    99.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   71  +19      78.97     2.95    20.62     0.53    73.75   100.00    81.23P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   70  +20      78.43     2.82    22.42     0.33    72.86   100.00    81.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   70  +13      77.06     3.00    13.35     0.15    43.74    99.96    57.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          41   65  +17      72.89     2.99    18.54     0.00     9.11    96.92    33.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   62   +5      69.14     2.95     5.41     0.00     0.45    74.79    14.93P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   59  +12      67.06     2.97    13.76     0.00     0.08    57.16    15.13P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       41   58   +7      64.87     2.91     7.03     0.00     0.01    24.07     5.36P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        41   57   +8      64.65     2.95     9.16     0.00     0.00    22.57     5.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   56   -6      62.21     2.94    -7.21     0.00     0.00     4.29     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   54   +9      63.54     3.30    10.96     0.00     0.00    17.59     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   54   -1      60.83     2.92    -1.00     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   52   +0      58.64     2.98    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           41   51  -12      57.51     2.87   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield     41   49   -9      55.12     2.92   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.72R    0.08  
Notts_County     41   49  -12      54.88     2.80   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.77R    0.05  
Rochdale         39   46   -4      55.43     3.59    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    1.69R    0.28  
Chester          40   46   -6      53.87     3.23    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.47  
Bury             41   46  -13      51.59     2.82   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.81R    1.75  
Oxford_Utd       41   45  -12      50.61     2.77   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.57R    3.67  
Barnet           40   45  -13      52.51     3.21   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.82R    2.54  
Stockport        40   44  -18      50.15     3.11   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.14R   12.56  
Rushden_&_D      41   44  -24      49.49     2.86   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.38R   14.34  
Torquay          40   39  -20      45.69     3.11   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.19R   64.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 April 2006, Dag_&_Red vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      38   82  +30      90.17     2.38    34.35    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        38   70  +22      78.05     2.37    25.81     0.00    99.80    30.07P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         37   67  +13      75.02     2.88    14.72     0.00    92.90    17.73P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           36   65  +30      77.91     3.00    38.63     0.04    99.17    29.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   64  +17      70.31     2.63    18.27     0.00    49.83     9.85P    0.00     0.00  
York            38   62  +21      67.80     2.64    21.48     0.00    22.61     5.28P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       38   62  +18      69.26     2.51    20.60     0.00    35.05     7.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          37   54  +11      63.15     2.94    14.45     0.00     0.64     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          37   52   -1      60.49     2.97     1.45     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       37   50   +2      57.23     2.92     2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       38   50   -9      55.00     2.65   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          37   49  +11      57.58     2.95    13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     38   49   -7      54.40     2.66    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       37   46   -7      51.85     2.84    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   38   44  -15      48.22     2.48   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   38   43  -14      47.28     2.47   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crawley         37   42   -4      48.17     2.89    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Altrincham      38   41  -25      43.54     2.12   -30.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.04R    0.01  
Tamworth        38   37  -26      39.80     2.10   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.60R    3.77  
Southport       37   34  -32      37.55     2.43   -38.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.79R   32.55  
Forest_Green    37   33  -13      37.25     2.67   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.82R   28.07  
Scarborough     37   33  -22      37.07     2.56   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.70R   35.60