Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 11 April 2006 at 22:53:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Aston_Villa vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   82  +44      92.03     2.77    48.72    94.45   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    33   75  +36      84.99     2.42    42.35     5.55    98.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   70  +26      77.55     2.51    28.94     0.00     1.06   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   58  +15      64.81     2.92    14.91     0.00     0.00    33.97    96.27     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   54   +6      60.69     2.88     5.85     0.00     0.00     2.90    69.47     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   53  +28      65.88     2.95    34.99     0.00     0.00    62.39    98.54     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   48   +7      57.78     3.15     9.40     0.00     0.00     0.70    29.98     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           33   48   -2      54.70     2.78    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.43     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   46   -3      52.74     3.01    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   45   -4      52.56     2.85    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   45  -12      50.95     2.69   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        33   44   -5      49.75     2.72    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    33   40   +0      46.23     2.91    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   40   -9      46.95     3.13   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   36  -12      42.87     2.70   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.57     3.02   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   29  -20      33.77     2.66   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.88R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   33   28  -21      32.30     2.60   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.08R    0.00  
Portsmouth      32   28  -25      34.13     2.94   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.78R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   11  -36      15.02     2.59   -43.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Watford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          42   98  +64     107.19     2.14    70.28   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      42   82  +28      88.38     2.71    29.30     0.00    97.58   100.00    98.14P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   73  +22      80.19     2.58    24.71     0.00     1.76   100.00    22.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            42   73  +20      78.46     2.40    20.35     0.00     0.53   100.00    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   70  +24      76.66     2.53    25.61     0.00     0.03    99.88    32.81P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   70  +19      76.91     2.50    21.35     0.00     0.10    99.95    21.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   60   +8      65.77     2.49     8.56     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   59   +3      64.98     2.71     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            42   56   -1      61.40     2.65    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56   -9      61.35     2.56    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   55   -9      59.76     2.43   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53   -7      58.35     2.66    -7.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   53  -12      58.19     2.50   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   52   -6      57.61     2.54    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   -7      56.29     2.60    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   50   -6      54.78     2.52    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   49   -5      54.41     2.51    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.87     2.36   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   48   -6      52.50     2.46    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   48  -10      53.76     2.64    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   42  -18      45.98     2.36   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.76R    0.07  
Crewe            42   37  -30      40.80     2.29   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.38R   27.82  
Millwall         42   36  -24      40.38     2.43   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.17R   27.93  
Brighton         42   35  -26      39.37     2.42   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.69R   44.19  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2006, Barnsley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        41   77  +30      86.15     2.79    33.50    97.61    99.64   100.00    99.75P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   69  +18      77.88     2.93    21.01     1.45    51.92    99.39    64.90P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    41   68  +13      76.61     2.96    15.75     0.59    26.48    97.95    42.49P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      40   65  +12      74.82     3.20    14.30     0.14    12.15    91.76    32.28P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         40   63  +21      73.32     3.28    24.34     0.21     8.35    85.45    30.84P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        41   63  +14      70.45     2.96    14.89     0.00     0.93    52.45    14.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          41   63   +3      69.94     3.00     3.17     0.00     0.32    39.77     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      41   61  +14      68.93     2.89    15.63     0.00     0.20    32.25     8.39P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       41   57   +0      63.31     2.80    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   55   +0      61.54     2.85    -0.56     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       41   54   -6      60.70     2.91    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bradford        41   53   +1      60.03     2.90     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Gillingham      41   53  -14      58.52     2.74   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.92R    0.00  
Chesterfield    41   52   -4      58.53     2.90    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      41   52   -6      59.02     2.96    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Tranmere        41   51   +4      58.36     2.92     4.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Yeovil          41   49   -8      55.15     2.87    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.00R    0.01  
Bournemouth     40   48   -4      55.17     3.14    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.52R    0.04  
Blackpool       41   47   -8      52.92     2.87    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.61R    0.27  
Rotherham       41   46  -10      52.08     2.82   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.45R    1.46  
Hartlepool      40   45  -12      51.72     3.04   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.03R    2.65  
Swindon_Town    40   43  -16      49.10     3.04   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.72R   16.34  
Walsall         40   43  -19      50.07     3.19   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.97R    9.02  
Milton_Keynes   41   40  -23      45.43     2.82   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.69R   70.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Wrexham vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         40   77  +40      89.54     3.09    47.09    99.12   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   71  +19      79.00     2.98    20.66     0.47    73.77   100.00    81.02P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   70  +20      78.40     2.85    22.38     0.28    72.77   100.00    81.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   70  +13      77.06     3.00    13.32     0.12    44.08    99.97    57.47P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          41   65  +17      72.90     3.01    18.55     0.01     8.95    96.91    32.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   62   +5      69.16     2.94     5.40     0.00     0.34    74.66    14.92P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   59  +12      67.09     2.96    13.79     0.00     0.09    57.34    15.90P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       41   58   +7      64.94     2.90     7.13     0.00     0.00    24.50     5.62P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        41   57   +8      64.61     2.96     9.10     0.00     0.01    22.23     5.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   56   -6      62.24     2.92    -7.13     0.00     0.00     4.59     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   54   +9      63.49     3.32    10.87     0.00     0.00    17.41     4.33P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   54   -1      60.83     2.93    -0.98     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   52   +0      58.55     3.01    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           41   51  -12      57.51     2.87   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.06R    0.01  
Macclesfield     41   49   -9      55.10     2.88   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.04  
Notts_County     41   49  -12      54.95     2.81   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.03  
Rochdale         39   46   -4      55.44     3.60    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.79R    0.23  
Chester          40   46   -6      53.88     3.21    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92R    0.44  
Bury             41   46  -13      51.59     2.81   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.73R    1.90  
Oxford_Utd       41   45  -12      50.67     2.78   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.07R    3.79  
Barnet           40   45  -13      52.56     3.22   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.34R    2.31  
Stockport        40   44  -18      50.09     3.10   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.93R   12.64  
Rushden_&_D      41   44  -24      49.43     2.85   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.65R   14.68  
Torquay          40   39  -20      45.71     3.11   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.13R   63.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 April 2006, Grays vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      38   82  +30      90.21     2.39    34.45    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        38   70  +22      78.06     2.34    25.84     0.00    99.77    30.46P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         37   67  +13      74.99     2.89    14.66     0.00    92.59    17.79P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           36   65  +30      77.98     3.01    38.71     0.04    99.26    28.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   64  +17      70.33     2.63    18.30     0.00    49.54    10.09P    0.00     0.00  
York            38   62  +21      67.82     2.64    21.51     0.00    22.39     5.05P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       38   62  +18      69.33     2.49    20.70     0.00    36.01     7.78P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          37   54  +11      63.00     2.96    14.24     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          37   52   -1      60.45     2.95     1.39     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       36   50   +4      59.60     3.21     6.06     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       38   50   -9      55.00     2.67   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          37   49  +11      57.65     2.95    13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     38   49   -7      54.35     2.62    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       37   46   -7      51.87     2.85    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   38   44  -15      48.15     2.48   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   38   43  -14      47.30     2.44   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crawley         37   42   -4      48.21     2.87    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Altrincham      37   38  -27      40.98     2.34   -33.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.77R    1.40  
Tamworth        37   36  -26      39.87     2.46   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.73R    6.92  
Southport       37   34  -32      37.55     2.42   -38.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.95R   33.10  
Forest_Green    37   33  -13      37.20     2.69   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.08R   30.34  
Scarborough     36   32  -22      37.76     2.92   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.42R   28.24