Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 April 2006 at 22:53:38 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Aston_Villa vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   82  +44      91.92     2.80    48.59    94.03   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    33   75  +36      85.02     2.42    42.40     5.97    98.88   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   70  +26      77.59     2.52    28.95     0.00     1.12   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   58  +15      64.73     2.93    14.81     0.00     0.00    33.45    96.08     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   54   +6      60.71     2.89     5.92     0.00     0.00     2.96    69.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   53  +28      65.87     2.95    34.99     0.00     0.00    62.73    98.76     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   48   +7      57.79     3.14     9.46     0.00     0.00     0.81    29.62     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           33   48   -2      54.77     2.79    -2.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.67     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   46   -3      52.67     3.01    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.16     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   45   -4      52.58     2.86    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   45  -12      51.00     2.70   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        33   44   -5      49.83     2.73    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    33   40   +0      46.22     2.93    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   40   -9      46.95     3.12   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   36  -12      42.85     2.73   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.50     3.01   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   29  -20      33.75     2.66   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.20R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   33   28  -21      32.31     2.58   -24.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.03R    0.00  
Portsmouth      32   28  -25      34.15     2.92   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.41R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   11  -36      15.01     2.58   -43.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Watford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          42   98  +64     107.15     2.16    70.14   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      42   82  +28      88.36     2.71    29.30     0.00    97.81   100.00    98.33P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   73  +22      80.18     2.57    24.71     0.00     1.43   100.00    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            42   73  +20      78.48     2.40    20.41     0.00     0.67   100.00    25.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   70  +24      76.64     2.54    25.60     0.00     0.02    99.86    32.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   70  +19      76.92     2.51    21.33     0.00     0.07    99.90    21.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   60   +8      65.79     2.50     8.58     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   59   +3      64.92     2.68     3.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            42   56   -1      61.48     2.67    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56   -9      61.33     2.61    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   55   -9      59.76     2.40   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53   -7      58.36     2.65    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   53  -12      58.18     2.51   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   52   -6      57.53     2.55    -5.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   -7      56.26     2.60    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   50   -6      54.79     2.52    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   49   -5      54.43     2.49    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.95     2.39   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   48   -6      52.49     2.48    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Derby            42   48  -10      53.76     2.62    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   42  -18      46.00     2.36   -20.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.10R    0.09  
Crewe            42   37  -30      40.84     2.31   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.16R   27.38  
Millwall         42   36  -24      40.37     2.46   -25.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.89R   28.71  
Brighton         42   35  -26      39.39     2.44   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.85R   43.82  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2006, Barnsley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        41   77  +30      86.19     2.80    33.59    97.71    99.72   100.00    99.81P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   69  +18      77.79     2.94    20.88     1.47    51.44    99.36    63.85P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    41   68  +13      76.54     2.96    15.66     0.51    26.84    97.83    42.76P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      40   65  +12      74.81     3.19    14.28     0.13    12.59    91.97    32.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         40   63  +21      73.21     3.27    24.14     0.18     8.12    84.83    30.54P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        41   63  +14      70.53     2.95    15.00     0.00     0.73    53.27    14.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          41   63   +3      69.97     2.97     3.22     0.00     0.34    39.89     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      41   61  +14      68.92     2.93    15.64     0.00     0.23    31.86     8.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       41   57   +0      63.29     2.78    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   55   +0      61.57     2.85    -0.54     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale       41   54   -6      60.69     2.92    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Bradford        41   53   +1      60.00     2.87     1.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham      41   53  -14      58.49     2.73   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Chesterfield    41   52   -4      58.64     2.89    -4.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      41   52   -6      59.01     2.96    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.04R    0.00  
Tranmere        41   51   +4      58.36     2.90     4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Yeovil          41   49   -8      55.19     2.84    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.87R    0.02  
Bournemouth     40   48   -4      55.12     3.16    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.14R    0.03  
Blackpool       41   47   -8      52.94     2.89    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.07R    0.29  
Rotherham       41   46  -10      52.09     2.83   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.25R    1.67  
Hartlepool      40   45  -12      51.71     3.05   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.10R    2.65  
Swindon_Town    40   43  -16      49.22     3.07   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.47R   15.62  
Walsall         40   43  -19      50.05     3.15   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.10R    8.93  
Milton_Keynes   41   40  -23      45.39     2.79   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.89R   70.81  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Wrexham vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         40   77  +40      89.55     3.09    47.10    98.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   71  +19      79.04     2.96    20.72     0.62    73.94   100.00    81.14P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   70  +20      78.40     2.83    22.37     0.28    72.69    99.99    81.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   70  +13      77.10     3.01    13.34     0.12    43.97    99.97    57.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          41   65  +17      72.89     3.02    18.57     0.00     8.89    97.05    32.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   62   +5      69.11     2.93     5.34     0.00     0.41    74.86    15.03P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   59  +12      67.03     2.95    13.74     0.00     0.10    56.88    15.54P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       41   58   +7      64.87     2.90     7.02     0.00     0.01    24.42     5.61P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        41   57   +8      64.56     2.95     9.02     0.00     0.00    21.71     5.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   56   -6      62.24     2.93    -7.12     0.00     0.00     4.66     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   54   +9      63.52     3.30    10.91     0.00     0.00    17.79     4.71P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   54   -1      60.86     2.92    -0.96     0.00     0.00     2.09     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   52   +0      58.59     3.00    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           41   51  -12      57.52     2.85   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Macclesfield     41   49   -9      55.11     2.92   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.68R    0.07  
Notts_County     41   49  -12      54.90     2.80   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.80R    0.07  
Rochdale         39   46   -4      55.47     3.60    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    1.78R    0.29  
Chester          40   46   -6      53.89     3.23    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.31  
Bury             41   46  -13      51.67     2.81   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.21R    1.85  
Oxford_Utd       41   45  -12      50.64     2.77   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.18R    3.68  
Barnet           40   45  -13      52.46     3.22   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.23R    2.46  
Stockport        40   44  -18      50.15     3.11   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.21R   12.47  
Rushden_&_D      41   44  -24      49.47     2.86   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.78R   14.36  
Torquay          40   39  -20      45.71     3.11   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.28R   64.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, York vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      38   82  +30      90.20     2.37    34.46    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        38   70  +22      78.07     2.37    25.89     0.01    99.82    31.33P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         37   67  +13      75.00     2.92    14.70     0.00    92.46    18.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   64  +17      70.35     2.62    18.31     0.00    50.03    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           35   62  +27      76.66     3.35    36.20     0.01    97.17    26.74P    0.00     0.00  
York            38   62  +21      67.79     2.65    21.45     0.00    22.05     5.12P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       38   62  +18      69.34     2.48    20.72     0.00    35.46     7.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          36   54  +14      64.19     3.27    16.76     0.00     2.94     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          37   52   -1      60.43     2.93     1.41     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       36   50   +4      59.61     3.20     6.05     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       38   50   -9      55.06     2.67    -9.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          36   49  +12      59.80     3.24    15.91     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     38   49   -7      54.35     2.67    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       37   46   -7      51.82     2.84    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   38   44  -15      48.14     2.44   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   38   43  -14      47.27     2.46   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crawley         37   42   -4      48.17     2.89    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham      37   38  -27      40.99     2.34   -33.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.39R    0.56  
Tamworth        37   36  -26      39.92     2.49   -30.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.17R    3.00  
Forest_Green    37   33  -13      37.19     2.67   -17.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.61R   17.32  
Scarborough     36   32  -22      37.72     2.91   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.27R   16.39  
Southport       36   31  -33      35.21     2.68   -40.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.53R   62.73