Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 April 2006 at 09:25:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Aston_Villa vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   82  +44      92.01     2.79    48.64    94.12   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    33   75  +36      85.00     2.43    42.40     5.88    98.88   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   70  +26      77.60     2.50    28.96     0.00     1.12   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   58  +15      64.70     2.94    14.76     0.00     0.00    33.11    96.19     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   54   +6      60.65     2.90     5.83     0.00     0.00     2.82    69.39     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   53  +28      65.92     2.96    35.05     0.00     0.00    63.33    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   48   +7      57.76     3.15     9.41     0.00     0.00     0.72    29.73     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           33   48   -2      54.74     2.79    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.75     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   46   -3      52.72     3.00    -3.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   45   -4      52.60     2.82    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   45  -12      51.03     2.70   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        33   44   -5      49.88     2.74    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    33   40   +0      46.23     2.91    -0.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   40   -9      46.92     3.08   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   36  -12      42.88     2.71   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.52     3.02   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   29  -20      33.71     2.67   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.16R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   33   28  -21      32.27     2.58   -24.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.50R    0.00  
Portsmouth      32   28  -25      34.09     2.91   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.05R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   11  -36      15.05     2.60   -43.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Watford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          42   98  +64     107.21     2.13    70.26   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      42   82  +28      88.45     2.70    29.43     0.00    97.75   100.00    98.19P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   73  +22      80.16     2.57    24.68     0.00     1.52   100.00    23.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            42   73  +20      78.43     2.40    20.31     0.00     0.57   100.00    24.91P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   70  +24      76.62     2.52    25.57     0.00     0.03    99.86    31.91P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   70  +19      76.89     2.49    21.32     0.00     0.12    99.94    21.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   60   +8      65.73     2.48     8.51     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   59   +3      65.01     2.70     3.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            42   56   -1      61.40     2.64    -1.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   56   -9      61.28     2.61    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   55   -9      59.73     2.42   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53   -7      58.35     2.69    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   53  -12      58.22     2.50   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   52   -6      57.61     2.53    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   51   -7      56.23     2.61    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   50   -6      54.76     2.52    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   49   -5      54.43     2.53    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        42   49  -12      52.91     2.36   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   48   -6      52.56     2.50    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Derby            42   48  -10      53.75     2.63    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      42   42  -18      46.02     2.39   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.39R    0.11  
Crewe            42   37  -30      40.81     2.32   -33.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.14R   28.11  
Millwall         42   36  -24      40.41     2.46   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.83R   28.48  
Brighton         42   35  -26      39.40     2.43   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.62R   43.29  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2006, Barnsley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        41   77  +30      86.12     2.82    33.52    97.53    99.73   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   69  +18      77.89     2.92    21.05     1.59    52.62    99.31    65.11P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    41   68  +13      76.52     2.99    15.62     0.54    26.25    97.71    41.70P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      40   65  +12      74.82     3.18    14.28     0.15    12.32    92.25    32.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         40   63  +21      73.26     3.23    24.22     0.20     7.81    85.46    30.47P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        41   63  +14      70.50     2.96    14.95     0.00     0.75    52.06    14.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          41   63   +3      70.00     3.00     3.26     0.00     0.35    40.17     7.28P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      41   61  +14      68.93     2.91    15.64     0.00     0.16    32.20     8.39P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       41   57   +0      63.29     2.79    -0.81     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   55   +0      61.53     2.84    -0.61     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale       41   54   -6      60.76     2.89    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bradford        41   53   +1      60.04     2.90     1.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Gillingham      41   53  -14      58.52     2.77   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Chesterfield    41   52   -4      58.58     2.92    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      41   52   -6      59.02     2.94    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.06R    0.00  
Tranmere        41   51   +4      58.43     2.91     4.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Yeovil          41   49   -8      55.17     2.85    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.75R    0.01  
Bournemouth     40   48   -4      55.10     3.17    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.80R    0.04  
Blackpool       41   47   -8      52.86     2.85    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.23R    0.26  
Rotherham       41   46  -10      52.11     2.81   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.48R    1.33  
Hartlepool      40   45  -12      51.67     3.05   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.38R    2.38  
Swindon_Town    40   43  -16      49.16     3.09   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.00R   15.85  
Walsall         40   43  -19      50.11     3.20   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.34R    8.35  
Milton_Keynes   41   40  -23      45.33     2.78   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.97R   71.78  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, Wrexham vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         40   77  +40      89.49     3.08    47.03    99.08   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   71  +19      78.99     2.95    20.66     0.49    73.44   100.00    80.95P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   70  +20      78.42     2.84    22.41     0.30    72.83   100.00    81.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   70  +13      77.11     2.99    13.39     0.12    44.18    99.98    57.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          41   65  +17      72.96     3.02    18.63     0.00     9.12    97.08    33.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   62   +5      69.10     2.94     5.32     0.00     0.34    74.81    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   59  +12      67.01     2.95    13.69     0.00     0.10    56.84    15.46P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       41   58   +7      64.89     2.91     7.08     0.00     0.00    24.17     5.44P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        41   57   +8      64.53     2.98     8.97     0.00     0.00    22.00     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   56   -6      62.26     2.93    -7.09     0.00     0.00     4.75     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   54   +9      63.46     3.29    10.82     0.00     0.00    17.63     4.34P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   54   -1      60.84     2.92    -0.98     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   52   +0      58.65     3.01    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           41   51  -12      57.42     2.88   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Macclesfield     41   49   -9      55.08     2.88   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.07  
Notts_County     41   49  -12      54.93     2.79   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.04  
Rochdale         39   46   -4      55.53     3.60    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    1.58R    0.21  
Chester          40   46   -6      53.92     3.23    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.77R    0.51  
Bury             41   46  -13      51.58     2.81   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.04R    2.15  
Oxford_Utd       41   45  -12      50.66     2.77   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.15R    3.62  
Barnet           40   45  -13      52.51     3.25   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.05R    2.67  
Stockport        40   44  -18      50.14     3.13   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.69R   12.89  
Rushden_&_D      41   44  -24      49.48     2.86   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.71R   14.36  
Torquay          40   39  -20      45.76     3.12   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.61R   63.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 April 2006, York vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      38   82  +30      90.19     2.38    34.41   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        38   70  +22      78.05     2.37    25.86     0.00    99.75    31.08P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         37   67  +13      74.97     2.90    14.62     0.00    92.70    18.30P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   64  +17      70.30     2.65    18.23     0.00    49.39    10.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           35   62  +27      76.67     3.37    36.25     0.00    97.22    26.24P    0.00     0.00  
York            38   62  +21      67.86     2.64    21.57     0.00    22.34     5.40P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       38   62  +18      69.32     2.49    20.68     0.00    35.48     8.18P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          36   54  +14      64.15     3.26    16.76     0.00     3.08     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          37   52   -1      60.42     2.94     1.38     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       36   50   +4      59.65     3.25     6.08     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       38   50   -9      55.05     2.68   -10.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          36   49  +12      59.78     3.22    15.93     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     38   49   -7      54.31     2.65    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       37   46   -7      51.91     2.85    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   38   44  -15      48.19     2.47   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   38   43  -14      47.22     2.46   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crawley         37   42   -4      48.14     2.89    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham      37   38  -27      41.00     2.36   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.66R    0.59  
Tamworth        37   36  -26      39.89     2.47   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.74R    3.12  
Forest_Green    37   33  -13      37.21     2.68   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.67R   17.77  
Scarborough     36   32  -22      37.69     2.91   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.69R   17.03  
Southport       36   31  -33      35.28     2.72   -40.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.21R   61.48