Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 6 April 2006 at 22:53:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Birmingham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         32   79  +41      91.55     2.98    47.68    95.28   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    32   72  +34      83.47     2.84    40.40     4.72    96.56   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   67  +25      76.54     2.82    28.80     0.00     3.44    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   55  +14      63.59     3.24    14.52     0.00     0.00    18.73    88.42     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   53  +30      67.17     3.23    36.93     0.00     0.00    75.44    98.64     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   53   +6      61.39     3.18     6.38     0.00     0.00     4.50    69.38     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          31   48   +8      58.50     3.39     9.55     0.00     0.00     1.27    33.80     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   47   -2      55.84     3.07    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.07     6.87     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   46   +0      53.19     3.16    -2.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44  -12      50.96     2.97   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        32   43   -5      50.71     3.07    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   42   -5      50.63     3.18    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    32   40   +1      47.02     3.20    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   40   -8      48.75     3.49   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.45     3.02   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35  -12      43.92     3.03   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   28  -20      33.36     2.91   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.30R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   32   27  -21      32.08     2.86   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.14R    0.00  
Portsmouth      31   27  -25      33.95     3.18   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.14R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   11  -36      15.04     2.61   -43.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Coventry vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          41   95  +61     106.08     2.52    67.88   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      41   79  +27      87.55     2.98    29.52     0.00    88.57   100.00    91.28P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   72  +22      81.31     2.90    26.03     0.00     6.82    99.97    27.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   72  +20      79.36     2.68    21.13     0.00     2.39    99.95    26.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   70  +21      78.57     2.85    23.82     0.00     2.15    99.85    24.02P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   67  +22      75.66     2.83    24.50     0.00     0.07    98.08    30.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    41   59   +8      66.59     2.84     9.22     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   59   +6      65.92     2.94     6.07     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   56   -7      61.98     2.83    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            41   55   -1      61.04     2.91    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   53   -9      59.98     2.83    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   52   -7      58.27     2.95    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   52  -12      57.58     2.73   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   51   -6      57.43     2.83    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        41   49  -11      53.96     2.72   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hull             41   48   -5      53.10     2.72    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          41   48   -8      55.00     2.94    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   -8      52.89     2.87    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46   -7      52.73     2.85    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Derby            41   45  -11      52.63     2.96    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      41   42  -16      47.26     2.77   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.65R    0.17  
Millwall         41   36  -23      41.35     2.76   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.11R   20.44  
Brighton         41   35  -24      40.82     2.80   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.06R   21.36  
Crewe            41   34  -32      39.23     2.67   -35.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.61R   58.03  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Port_Vale vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        40   74  +29      85.41     3.06    33.98    89.00    97.25   100.00    98.14P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   68  +18      78.82     3.19    21.85     4.76    43.24    99.07    58.51P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    40   68  +15      78.39     3.27    18.41     3.85    33.47    98.36    48.12P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      39   65  +13      76.12     3.49    15.21     1.06    13.11    91.89    32.84P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.92     3.55    25.66     1.29    10.76    87.52    33.73P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          40   63   +4      72.19     3.26     5.49     0.01     1.10    55.77    10.72P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        40   62  +14      71.49     3.25    15.87     0.02     1.05    53.55    14.66P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      40   58  +13      67.45     3.21    14.86     0.00     0.01    11.93     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       40   57   +3      64.56     3.12     2.12     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        40   52   +1      59.85     3.14     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   52   -3      59.52     3.16    -4.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.43R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   51   +6      60.05     3.26     7.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P    0.22R    0.00  
Chesterfield    40   51   -4      58.30     3.13    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   51   -6      59.89     3.31    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Port_Vale       40   51   -7      58.78     3.21    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Gillingham      40   50  -16      56.52     3.08   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.27R    0.00  
Bournemouth     39   47   -4      55.02     3.45    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.35R    0.04  
Blackpool       40   47   -7      53.45     3.06   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.77R    0.07  
Yeovil          40   46  -11      53.38     3.16   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.34R    0.19  
Hartlepool      39   44  -12      51.94     3.32   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.27R    1.24  
Rotherham       40   43  -12      50.29     3.11   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.47R    3.21  
Walsall         39   43  -16      51.83     3.51   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.88R    1.46  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.76     3.38   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.82R    6.58  
Milton_Keynes   40   37  -24      42.85     3.01   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.38R   87.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Bury vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         39   74  +39      88.32     3.42    46.73    93.72    99.89   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   71  +20      79.91     3.23    20.93     4.09    76.97   100.00    83.30P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   69  +20      79.59     3.14    23.59     1.97    78.38    99.99    85.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   67  +11      75.83     3.28    11.88     0.18    24.48    99.20    41.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   65  +18      74.67     3.31    20.17     0.04    19.14    98.36    42.37P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       40   61   +5      70.17     3.22     6.45     0.00     1.08    79.89    17.21P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56  +10      65.47     3.26    11.83     0.00     0.01    30.23     8.29P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   56   +8      65.43     3.29     9.78     0.00     0.01    28.71     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   56   -5      64.35     3.23    -5.01     0.00     0.01    14.88     2.35P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       40   55   +6      63.18     3.24     5.99     0.00     0.01    11.14     2.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          39   54  +10      65.57     3.60    12.87     0.00     0.03    35.62     9.47P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   51   +0      58.59     3.25    -1.07     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   51   -2      58.69     3.19    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           40   51  -10      58.40     3.14   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     40   49  -11      56.14     3.09   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P    0.26R    0.03  
Macclesfield     40   46  -10      53.18     3.22   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.68R    0.74  
Bury             40   46  -11      52.94     3.12   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.58R    0.60  
Rochdale         38   45   -4      55.19     3.81    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    1.68R    0.39  
Oxford_Utd       40   45  -11      52.21     3.10   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.14R    1.27  
Chester          39   43   -7      52.03     3.48    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.28R    2.31  
Stockport        39   43  -18      49.81     3.32   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.52R   12.38  
Barnet           39   42  -14      50.92     3.53   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.25R    6.82  
Rushden_&_D      40   41  -25      47.11     3.10   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.15R   39.31  
Torquay          39   39  -19      46.99     3.41   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.46R   36.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Tamworth vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      37   81  +30      91.18     2.74    35.48    99.91   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        37   69  +22      79.06     2.69    26.77     0.09    99.91    31.62P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         36   64  +12      74.30     3.15    15.08     0.00    89.61    17.61P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           35   62  +27      76.69     3.37    36.23     0.01    97.97    26.29P    0.00     0.00  
York            37   61  +21      69.01     2.95    22.70     0.00    42.88    10.22P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       37   61  +15      69.46     2.92    17.47     0.00    43.58     8.65P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       37   59  +16      67.74     2.89    18.73     0.00    21.48     4.79P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          36   54  +14      64.11     3.26    16.67     0.00     3.71     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          36   51   -1      60.75     3.29     1.36     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       37   50   -7      56.83     3.02    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          35   49  +14      61.15     3.52    17.95     0.00     0.67     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       35   49   +4      59.47     3.44     5.31     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     37   46   -9      52.28     2.95    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       36   45   -7      52.41     3.14    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   37   43  -13      48.81     2.81   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   37   43  -15      47.64     2.66   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crawley         36   41   -4      48.67     3.22    -4.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Altrincham      36   37  -27      41.11     2.68   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.08R    0.86  
Tamworth        36   33  -27      38.06     2.82   -31.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.34R   13.86  
Forest_Green    36   32  -13      36.95     2.96   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.28R   21.39  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.48     3.16   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.09R   11.82  
Southport       35   31  -32      35.65     2.89   -40.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.15R   52.06