Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 5 April 2006 at 22:53:26 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Birmingham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         32   79  +41      91.55     2.99    47.68    95.41   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    32   72  +34      83.40     2.84    40.37     4.59    96.53   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   67  +25      76.52     2.82    28.76     0.00     3.48    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   55  +14      63.67     3.25    14.62     0.00     0.00    18.79    88.82     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   53  +30      67.23     3.22    37.05     0.00     0.01    75.27    98.83     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   53   +6      61.36     3.20     6.35     0.00     0.00     4.55    68.79     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          31   48   +8      58.52     3.36     9.56     0.00     0.00     1.27    34.24     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   47   -2      55.83     3.07    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.12     6.73     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   46   +0      53.15     3.15    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44  -12      50.93     2.98   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        32   43   -5      50.75     3.10    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   42   -5      50.63     3.16    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    32   40   +1      46.94     3.15    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   40   -8      48.76     3.48   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.51     3.02   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35  -12      43.91     3.02   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   28  -20      33.39     2.88   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.36R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   32   27  -21      32.08     2.85   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.52R    0.00  
Portsmouth      31   27  -25      33.99     3.21   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.76R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   11  -36      14.98     2.56   -43.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Coventry vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          41   95  +61     106.15     2.51    67.98   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      41   79  +27      87.48     3.00    29.41     0.00    88.25   100.00    90.79P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   72  +22      81.24     2.90    25.92     0.00     7.01    99.98    27.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   72  +20      79.35     2.72    21.11     0.00     2.46    99.97    25.64P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   70  +21      78.66     2.85    23.99     0.00     2.22    99.91    25.09P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   67  +22      75.71     2.85    24.56     0.00     0.06    98.11    30.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    41   59   +8      66.62     2.84     9.26     0.00     0.00     1.54     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   59   +6      65.84     2.94     5.97     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   56   -7      61.91     2.80    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            41   55   -1      61.16     2.93    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   53   -9      60.04     2.87    -8.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   52   -7      58.18     2.92    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   52  -12      57.61     2.74   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   51   -6      57.36     2.81    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        41   49  -11      54.03     2.73   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hull             41   48   -5      53.14     2.73    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          41   48   -8      54.82     2.95    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   -8      52.93     2.85    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46   -7      52.75     2.83    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Derby            41   45  -11      52.63     2.97   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      41   42  -16      47.28     2.75   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.72R    0.14  
Millwall         41   36  -23      41.37     2.77   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.81R   20.16  
Brighton         41   35  -24      40.77     2.76   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.30R   21.76  
Crewe            41   34  -32      39.23     2.68   -35.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.56R   57.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Port_Vale vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        40   74  +29      85.43     3.06    33.98    89.08    97.19   100.00    98.12P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   68  +18      78.83     3.22    21.86     4.80    43.23    98.95    57.84P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    40   68  +15      78.37     3.29    18.37     3.65    33.73    98.28    48.44P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      39   65  +13      76.12     3.46    15.21     1.11    12.67    91.98    32.33P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.89     3.58    25.64     1.32    11.03    87.42    33.98P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          40   63   +4      72.25     3.28     5.59     0.01     1.16    56.13    11.71P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        40   62  +14      71.49     3.28    15.87     0.01     0.97    53.07    14.07P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      40   58  +13      67.47     3.23    14.89     0.00     0.01    12.13     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       40   57   +3      64.65     3.12     2.29     0.00     0.00     1.90     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        40   52   +1      59.80     3.12     0.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   52   -3      59.51     3.16    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.47R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   51   +6      59.98     3.21     7.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.03P    0.21R    0.00  
Chesterfield    40   51   -4      58.28     3.16    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.89R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   51   -6      59.87     3.31    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale       40   51   -7      58.80     3.24    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.18R    0.00  
Gillingham      40   50  -16      56.53     3.06   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.12R    0.00  
Bournemouth     39   47   -4      55.05     3.45    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.96R    0.01  
Blackpool       40   47   -7      53.43     3.06   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.91R    0.06  
Yeovil          40   46  -11      53.34     3.14   -12.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.39R    0.10  
Hartlepool      39   44  -12      51.98     3.33   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.13R    1.28  
Rotherham       40   43  -12      50.21     3.10   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.63R    3.31  
Walsall         39   43  -16      51.80     3.54   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.34R    1.55  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.80     3.39   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.34R    6.92  
Milton_Keynes   40   37  -24      42.88     3.02   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.33R   86.77  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Bury vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         39   74  +39      88.45     3.39    46.94    93.96    99.89   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   71  +20      79.88     3.23    20.88     3.88    76.65   100.00    83.22P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   69  +20      79.61     3.12    23.60     1.90    78.86   100.00    85.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   67  +11      75.87     3.32    11.93     0.21    24.76    99.25    42.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   65  +18      74.64     3.30    20.10     0.04    18.57    98.25    42.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       40   61   +5      70.20     3.25     6.45     0.00     1.18    80.56    17.48P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56  +10      65.35     3.26    11.70     0.00     0.01    29.27     7.92P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   56   +8      65.49     3.26     9.88     0.00     0.03    29.98     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   56   -5      64.38     3.23    -4.98     0.00     0.00    15.58     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       40   55   +6      63.24     3.22     6.05     0.00     0.00    11.96     2.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          39   54  +10      65.37     3.60    12.60     0.00     0.04    33.28     8.40P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   51   +0      58.52     3.24    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   51   -2      58.75     3.21    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Boston           40   51  -10      58.44     3.13   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     40   49  -11      56.13     3.10   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.26R    0.04  
Macclesfield     40   46  -10      53.23     3.21   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.85R    0.81  
Bury             40   46  -11      52.89     3.11   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.79R    0.61  
Rochdale         38   45   -4      55.08     3.81    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    1.92R    0.47  
Oxford_Utd       40   45  -11      52.17     3.14   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.45R    1.28  
Chester          39   43   -7      52.06     3.47    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.37R    2.29  
Stockport        39   43  -18      49.79     3.34   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.02R   12.73  
Barnet           39   42  -14      51.03     3.53   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.49R    6.34  
Rushden_&_D      40   41  -25      47.17     3.09   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.41R   38.68  
Torquay          39   39  -19      47.00     3.44   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.43R   36.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Tamworth vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      37   81  +30      91.21     2.72    35.54    99.89   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        37   69  +22      79.04     2.67    26.80     0.10    99.89    31.83P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         36   64  +12      74.33     3.15    15.12     0.00    89.60    17.54P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           35   62  +27      76.66     3.35    36.17     0.01    97.64    26.38P    0.00     0.00  
York            37   61  +21      69.03     2.91    22.73     0.00    42.88    10.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       37   61  +15      69.46     2.92    17.44     0.00    42.72     8.38P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       37   59  +16      67.89     2.85    18.90     0.00    22.50     4.76P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          36   54  +14      64.12     3.27    16.73     0.00     3.83     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          36   51   -1      60.72     3.25     1.30     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       37   50   -7      56.89     2.98    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          35   49  +14      61.13     3.50    17.92     0.00     0.74     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       35   49   +4      59.43     3.45     5.26     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     37   46   -9      52.19     2.97   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       36   45   -7      52.30     3.16    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   37   43  -13      48.87     2.82   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   37   43  -15      47.71     2.69   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crawley         36   41   -4      48.66     3.22    -4.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Altrincham      36   37  -27      41.18     2.69   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.03R    0.68  
Tamworth        36   33  -27      37.95     2.77   -32.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.89R   14.19  
Forest_Green    36   32  -13      36.94     2.95   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.32R   20.77  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.51     3.17   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.37R   11.68  
Southport       35   31  -32      35.60     2.84   -40.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.31R   52.69