Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 4 April 2006 at 22:53:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Birmingham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         32   79  +41      91.50     2.99    47.55    95.02   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    32   72  +34      83.50     2.84    40.50     4.98    96.56   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   67  +25      76.53     2.83    28.78     0.00     3.44    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   55  +14      63.64     3.26    14.58     0.00     0.00    18.68    88.36     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   53  +30      67.22     3.18    37.05     0.00     0.00    75.60    98.81     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   53   +6      61.42     3.20     6.40     0.00     0.00     4.40    69.90     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          31   48   +8      58.52     3.41     9.59     0.00     0.00     1.22    33.85     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   47   -2      55.77     3.07    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.11     6.28     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   46   +0      53.16     3.17    -2.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.83     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44  -12      50.91     2.99   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        32   43   -5      50.70     3.09    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   42   -5      50.62     3.15    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    32   40   +1      46.99     3.16    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   40   -8      48.75     3.48   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.47     3.04   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35  -12      43.91     3.05   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   28  -20      33.40     2.89   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.52R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   32   27  -21      32.06     2.89   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.86R    0.00  
Portsmouth      31   27  -25      34.06     3.25   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.26R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   11  -36      14.99     2.60   -43.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Coventry vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          41   95  +61     106.07     2.53    67.89   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      41   79  +27      87.45     2.96    29.39     0.00    88.26   100.00    91.02P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   72  +22      81.23     2.89    25.89     0.00     6.91    99.97    26.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   72  +20      79.37     2.70    21.12     0.00     2.59    99.97    25.85P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   70  +21      78.71     2.83    24.07     0.00     2.15    99.91    25.35P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   67  +22      75.71     2.86    24.58     0.00     0.09    98.00    30.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    41   59   +8      66.63     2.83     9.27     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   59   +6      65.93     2.97     6.07     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   56   -7      61.93     2.81    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            41   55   -1      61.21     2.92    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   53   -9      60.07     2.88    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   52   -7      58.14     2.93    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   52  -12      57.69     2.74   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   51   -6      57.31     2.81    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        41   49  -11      53.99     2.73   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hull             41   48   -5      53.19     2.73    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          41   48   -8      54.91     2.93    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   47   -8      52.89     2.83    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46   -7      52.69     2.84    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Derby            41   45  -11      52.61     2.96   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      41   42  -16      47.30     2.76   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.48R    0.13  
Millwall         41   36  -23      41.34     2.76   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.13R   20.32  
Brighton         41   35  -24      40.76     2.75   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.34R   21.43  
Crewe            41   34  -32      39.19     2.67   -35.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.53R   58.12  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Port_Vale vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        40   74  +29      85.47     3.03    34.07    89.20    97.25   100.00    98.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   68  +18      78.84     3.22    21.90     4.74    43.08    99.00    57.88P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    40   68  +15      78.37     3.32    18.36     3.66    33.62    98.17    48.59P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      39   65  +13      76.18     3.50    15.31     1.10    13.28    92.14    33.45P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.86     3.52    25.60     1.25    10.65    87.61    33.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          40   63   +4      72.21     3.27     5.55     0.02     1.12    56.32    10.91P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        40   62  +14      71.48     3.26    15.85     0.03     0.97    52.77    14.36P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      40   58  +13      67.42     3.19    14.82     0.00     0.03    11.88     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       40   57   +3      64.69     3.15     2.29     0.00     0.00     2.01     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        40   52   +1      59.84     3.17     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.12R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   52   -3      59.47     3.13    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   51   +6      59.97     3.23     7.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.18R    0.00  
Chesterfield    40   51   -4      58.31     3.14    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   51   -6      59.79     3.29    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.80R    0.00  
Port_Vale       40   51   -7      58.85     3.20    -7.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Gillingham      40   50  -16      56.49     3.04   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.21R    0.01  
Bournemouth     39   47   -4      55.05     3.47    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.95R    0.02  
Blackpool       40   47   -7      53.49     3.07   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.21R    0.09  
Yeovil          40   46  -11      53.35     3.14   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.52R    0.12  
Hartlepool      39   44  -12      51.90     3.31   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.88R    1.33  
Rotherham       40   43  -12      50.22     3.11   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.61R    3.39  
Walsall         39   43  -16      51.81     3.49   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.74R    1.36  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.83     3.39   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.95R    6.44  
Milton_Keynes   40   37  -24      42.86     2.99   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.38R   87.25  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Bury vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         39   74  +39      88.33     3.38    46.72    93.98    99.86   100.00    99.90P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   71  +20      79.89     3.24    20.91     3.89    76.48   100.00    83.31P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   69  +20      79.57     3.10    23.55     1.90    78.14   100.00    85.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   67  +11      75.91     3.29    12.04     0.18    25.55    99.36    43.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   65  +18      74.62     3.36    20.11     0.04    18.82    98.01    41.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       40   61   +5      70.21     3.23     6.48     0.00     1.05    80.39    17.36P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56  +10      65.45     3.28    11.80     0.00     0.01    29.88     7.89P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   56   +8      65.49     3.29     9.84     0.00     0.04    29.55     6.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   56   -5      64.39     3.24    -4.94     0.00     0.00    15.19     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       40   55   +6      63.30     3.23     6.16     0.00     0.00    11.84     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          39   54  +10      65.44     3.59    12.68     0.00     0.04    33.74     8.68P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   51   +0      58.56     3.25    -1.11     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   51   -2      58.66     3.18    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Boston           40   51  -10      58.34     3.11   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County     40   49  -11      56.16     3.10   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.24R    0.03  
Macclesfield     40   46  -10      53.13     3.19   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.87  
Bury             40   46  -11      52.93     3.13   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.74R    0.58  
Rochdale         38   45   -4      55.09     3.78    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.01P    2.11R    0.53  
Oxford_Utd       40   45  -11      52.23     3.11   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.21R    1.31  
Chester          39   43   -7      51.98     3.50    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.90R    2.56  
Stockport        39   43  -18      49.81     3.37   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.68R   12.90  
Barnet           39   42  -14      51.00     3.51   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.75R    6.54  
Rushden_&_D      40   41  -25      47.20     3.12   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.06R   38.23  
Torquay          39   39  -19      46.99     3.41   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.20R   36.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2006, Tamworth vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      37   81  +30      91.23     2.71    35.52    99.94   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        37   69  +22      79.07     2.69    26.81     0.04    99.91    31.86P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         36   64  +12      74.23     3.15    15.00     0.00    88.90    16.91P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           35   62  +27      76.68     3.37    36.23     0.01    97.89    26.43P    0.00     0.00  
York            37   61  +21      69.14     2.93    22.88     0.00    44.76    10.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       37   61  +15      69.45     2.93    17.48     0.00    42.20     8.35P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       37   59  +16      67.83     2.84    18.82     0.00    21.46     4.67P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          36   54  +14      64.23     3.28    16.85     0.00     4.04     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          36   51   -1      60.75     3.26     1.39     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       37   50   -7      56.92     3.06    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          35   49  +14      61.07     3.50    17.82     0.00     0.70     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       35   49   +4      59.37     3.45     5.13     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     37   46   -9      52.26     2.99    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       36   45   -7      52.40     3.16    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   37   43  -13      48.79     2.82   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   37   43  -15      47.68     2.67   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crawley         36   41   -4      48.60     3.21    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Altrincham      36   37  -27      41.17     2.69   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.83R    0.81  
Tamworth        36   33  -27      38.06     2.79   -31.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.88R   13.76  
Forest_Green    36   32  -13      36.92     2.96   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.58R   21.21  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.40     3.16   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.29R   12.01  
Southport       35   31  -32      35.63     2.84   -40.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.38R   52.21