Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 3 April 2006 at 22:53:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 April 2006, Manchester_C vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         32   79  +41      91.47     2.97    47.55    95.22   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    32   72  +34      83.41     2.84    40.28     4.78    96.64   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   67  +25      76.49     2.84    28.72     0.00     3.35    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   55  +14      63.66     3.24    14.62     0.00     0.00    16.55    82.02     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   53  +30      67.32     3.20    37.14     0.00     0.01    71.45    97.91     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   52   +6      62.37     3.51     7.23     0.00     0.00     8.15    66.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   48   +9      60.42     3.69    11.41     0.00     0.00     3.73    45.97     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   46   +0      53.12     3.14    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   46   -2      55.69     3.35    -1.99     0.00     0.00     0.17     5.79     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44  -12      50.99     2.99   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        32   43   -5      50.71     3.08    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   42   -5      50.62     3.19    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    32   40   +1      46.92     3.17    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   40   -8      48.75     3.45   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.52     3.01   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35  -12      43.93     3.05   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   32   27  -21      32.05     2.84   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.25R    0.00  
Portsmouth      31   27  -25      33.92     3.20   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.74R    0.00  
Birmingham      31   25  -21      31.20     3.12   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.84R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   11  -36      15.04     2.59   -43.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Coventry vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          41   95  +61     106.14     2.50    68.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      41   79  +27      87.46     3.00    29.40     0.00    88.19   100.00    90.83P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   72  +22      81.20     2.90    25.88     0.00     6.83    99.99    27.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   72  +20      79.46     2.72    21.25     0.00     2.62    99.97    26.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   70  +21      78.73     2.82    24.04     0.00     2.31    99.90    25.18P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   67  +22      75.63     2.85    24.49     0.00     0.06    98.19    29.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    41   59   +8      66.62     2.84     9.25     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   59   +6      65.88     2.93     5.99     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   56   -7      61.99     2.80    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            41   55   -1      61.18     2.93    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   53   -9      60.06     2.86    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   52   -7      58.24     2.95    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   52  -12      57.62     2.70   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   51   -6      57.31     2.81    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        41   49  -11      53.94     2.70   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   48   -5      53.15     2.75    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          41   48   -8      54.89     2.97    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   -8      52.90     2.84    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46   -7      52.70     2.84    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Derby            41   45  -11      52.53     2.94   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      41   42  -16      47.31     2.76   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.93R    0.15  
Millwall         41   36  -23      41.38     2.74   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.34R   19.91  
Brighton         41   35  -24      40.73     2.78   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.33R   22.11  
Crewe            41   34  -32      39.16     2.67   -35.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.78R   57.84  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Huddersfield vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        40   74  +29      85.44     3.04    34.01    89.53    97.34   100.00    98.26P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   68  +18      78.86     3.22    21.89     4.82    43.91    99.07    58.91P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    40   68  +15      78.31     3.30    18.26     3.34    32.65    98.13    47.98P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      39   65  +13      76.10     3.47    15.18     1.00    12.69    91.81    32.37P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.98     3.55    25.76     1.26    11.33    88.30    33.82P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          40   63   +4      72.21     3.29     5.51     0.03     1.20    56.12    11.14P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        40   62  +14      71.39     3.26    15.78     0.02     0.87    52.30    14.15P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      40   58  +13      67.48     3.22    14.90     0.00     0.01    12.22     2.97P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       40   57   +3      64.64     3.13     2.23     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        40   52   +1      59.83     3.15     0.55     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   52   -3      59.50     3.15    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.48R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   51   +6      59.98     3.24     7.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.17R    0.00  
Chesterfield    40   51   -4      58.29     3.14    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.87R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   51   -6      59.80     3.29    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Gillingham      40   50  -16      56.54     3.08   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.99R    0.00  
Port_Vale       39   48   -9      57.36     3.49    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.94R    0.01  
Bournemouth     39   47   -4      55.13     3.45    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.46R    0.06  
Blackpool       40   47   -7      53.49     3.07   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.50R    0.19  
Yeovil          40   46  -11      53.38     3.17   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.23R    0.30  
Hartlepool      39   44  -12      51.94     3.35   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.09R    2.25  
Rotherham       40   43  -12      50.19     3.13   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.21R    5.26  
Walsall         39   43  -16      51.93     3.53   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.28R    2.30  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.77     3.38   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.52R    9.66  
Milton_Keynes   39   37  -22      43.89     3.23   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.25R   79.97  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Boston vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         39   74  +39      88.29     3.44    46.69    93.62    99.85   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   71  +20      79.87     3.23    20.88     4.01    76.58   100.00    83.27P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   69  +20      79.60     3.14    23.60     2.15    78.19   100.00    85.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   67  +11      75.89     3.27    11.98     0.18    24.68    99.44    42.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   65  +18      74.74     3.34    20.26     0.04    19.50    98.44    42.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       40   61   +5      70.27     3.24     6.59     0.00     1.15    81.91    18.22P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56  +10      65.34     3.27    11.69     0.00     0.01    29.91     7.79P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   56   +8      65.44     3.26     9.77     0.00     0.02    29.87     7.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   56   -5      64.39     3.20    -4.92     0.00     0.01    16.48     2.60P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          39   54  +10      65.47     3.58    12.72     0.00     0.01    35.34     8.74P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       39   52   +4      61.21     3.53     3.47     0.00     0.00     5.44     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   51   +0      58.54     3.27    -1.15     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   51   -2      58.75     3.19    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Boston           40   51  -10      58.44     3.14   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.03R    0.01  
Notts_County     40   49  -11      56.10     3.11   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.22R    0.01  
Rochdale         37   45   -2      56.95     4.09    -2.85     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.24P    0.77R    0.20  
Macclesfield     39   45  -10      53.33     3.50   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    4.58R    1.07  
Bury             39   45  -11      53.56     3.48   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.60R    0.70  
Oxford_Utd       40   45  -11      52.26     3.12   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.00R    1.31  
Chester          39   43   -7      51.93     3.50    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.04R    2.60  
Stockport        39   43  -18      49.81     3.29   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.16R   11.91  
Barnet           39   42  -14      50.88     3.52   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.52R    7.04  
Rushden_&_D      40   41  -25      47.04     3.08   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.36R   40.62  
Torquay          39   39  -19      47.11     3.43   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.71R   34.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Southport vs Crawley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      37   81  +30      91.23     2.72    35.60    99.81   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        36   68  +22      79.40     3.02    26.81     0.18    99.75    32.08P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         36   64  +12      74.31     3.14    15.08     0.00    89.53    18.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       37   61  +15      69.48     2.91    17.48     0.00    44.02     8.39P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           34   59  +25      75.13     3.69    34.25     0.01    93.17    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
York            36   58  +18      67.88     3.22    20.44     0.00    29.70     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       36   58  +16      68.23     3.16    18.88     0.00    29.26     6.92P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          35   54  +15      65.96     3.56    18.45     0.00    13.97     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          36   51   -1      60.75     3.28     1.35     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       36   50   -6      58.81     3.35    -5.33     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       35   49   +4      59.27     3.43     5.02     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          34   46  +12      59.41     3.79    15.70     0.00     0.36     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       35   45   -5      53.59     3.49    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     36   43  -10      50.27     3.24   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   36   43  -11      50.12     3.12   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   37   43  -15      47.73     2.68   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crawley         36   41   -4      48.62     3.20    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Altrincham      35   37  -24      42.13     3.02   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.62R    0.20  
Forest_Green    36   32  -13      36.95     2.95   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.26R   14.82  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.54     3.16   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.76R    9.14  
Southport       35   31  -32      35.56     2.83   -41.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.93R   42.17  
Tamworth        35   30  -28      35.90     3.11   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.39R   33.66