Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 1 April 2006 at 22:53:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Newcastle vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         32   79  +41      91.45     2.98    47.56    95.27   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    32   72  +34      83.51     2.80    40.52     4.74    97.01   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   67  +25      76.51     2.81    28.77     0.00     3.00    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   55  +14      63.56     3.24    14.48     0.00     0.00    16.86    80.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   53  +30      67.21     3.22    36.99     0.00     0.00    70.65    97.52     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   52   +6      62.36     3.53     7.26     0.00     0.00     8.03    65.78     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   48   +9      60.62     3.67    11.70     0.00     0.00     4.38    47.38     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   46   -2      55.70     3.34    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.12     5.50     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   45   +0      53.97     3.49    -1.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.46     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44  -12      51.05     2.98   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        31   42   -5      50.60     3.42    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   42   -5      50.66     3.16    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    31   40   +2      49.07     3.51     1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   37   -9      46.34     3.72   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04R    0.00  
Fulham          33   36  -13      43.51     3.04   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35  -12      43.91     3.05   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   32   27  -21      32.03     2.84   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.66R    0.00  
Portsmouth      31   27  -25      33.99     3.21   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.85R    0.01  
Birmingham      31   25  -21      31.17     3.16   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.24R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   11  -36      15.04     2.58   -43.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Coventry vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          41   95  +61     106.14     2.51    67.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      41   79  +27      87.44     2.98    29.39     0.00    88.02   100.00    90.62P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   72  +22      81.18     2.91    25.83     0.00     7.18    99.98    27.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   72  +20      79.42     2.72    21.18     0.00     2.54    99.94    26.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   70  +21      78.67     2.84    23.99     0.00     2.19    99.91    24.45P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   67  +22      75.71     2.86    24.54     0.00     0.07    98.06    31.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    41   59   +8      66.65     2.82     9.32     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   59   +6      65.93     2.96     6.09     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   56   -7      61.90     2.82    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            41   55   -1      61.16     2.91    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   53   -9      60.09     2.87    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   52   -7      58.27     2.91    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   52  -12      57.59     2.72   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   51   -6      57.30     2.77    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        41   49  -11      53.96     2.70   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hull             41   48   -5      53.16     2.76    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          41   48   -8      54.98     2.95    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   -8      52.86     2.84    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46   -7      52.70     2.82    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Derby            41   45  -11      52.53     2.97   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      41   42  -16      47.29     2.72   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.30R    0.13  
Millwall         41   36  -23      41.37     2.75   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.08R   19.88  
Brighton         41   35  -24      40.80     2.75   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.25R   21.00  
Crewe            41   34  -32      39.16     2.64   -35.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.78R   58.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Huddersfield vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        40   74  +29      85.42     3.07    33.96    88.69    97.19   100.00    98.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   68  +18      78.83     3.20    21.86     5.25    43.55    98.94    58.66P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    40   68  +15      78.33     3.31    18.32     3.62    33.48    98.29    48.32P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      39   65  +13      76.10     3.50    15.18     1.09    12.76    91.61    32.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.94     3.54    25.69     1.28    11.00    88.03    33.69P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          40   63   +4      72.21     3.25     5.53     0.01     1.07    56.09    10.89P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        40   62  +14      71.49     3.27    15.86     0.04     0.94    52.90    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      40   58  +13      67.46     3.22    14.89     0.00     0.01    12.10     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       40   57   +3      64.71     3.14     2.36     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        40   52   +1      59.83     3.15     0.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   52   -3      59.56     3.13    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.41R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   51   +6      59.93     3.22     7.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Chesterfield    40   51   -4      58.27     3.14    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.83R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   51   -6      59.79     3.27    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.82R    0.00  
Gillingham      40   50  -16      56.53     3.08   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.15R    0.01  
Port_Vale       39   48   -9      57.50     3.47    -8.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.36R    0.01  
Bournemouth     39   47   -4      55.07     3.47    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.86R    0.05  
Blackpool       40   47   -7      53.42     3.06   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.66R    0.15  
Yeovil          40   46  -11      53.39     3.16   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.82R    0.38  
Hartlepool      39   44  -12      51.90     3.31   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.27R    2.19  
Rotherham       40   43  -12      50.25     3.12   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.25R    5.17  
Walsall         39   43  -16      51.77     3.52   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.30R    2.54  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.82     3.37   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.95R    9.25  
Milton_Keynes   39   37  -22      43.87     3.25   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.05R   80.25  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Boston vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         39   74  +39      88.37     3.38    46.78    94.00    99.86   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   71  +20      79.89     3.23    20.90     3.77    76.41   100.00    83.03P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   69  +20      79.60     3.13    23.57     2.03    77.81   100.00    85.11P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   67  +11      75.94     3.29    12.04     0.15    25.21    99.39    42.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          40   65  +18      74.74     3.33    20.25     0.05    19.59    98.53    42.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       40   61   +5      70.25     3.23     6.52     0.00     1.01    81.88    17.81P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   56  +10      65.37     3.27    11.74     0.00     0.03    30.95     8.42P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        40   56   +8      65.42     3.30     9.77     0.00     0.04    30.19     7.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   56   -5      64.37     3.21    -4.95     0.00     0.01    16.13     2.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          39   54  +10      65.46     3.57    12.74     0.00     0.04    34.80     9.13P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       39   52   +4      61.18     3.50     3.39     0.00     0.00     5.09     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   51   +0      58.53     3.29    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   51   -2      58.71     3.18    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           40   51  -10      58.37     3.14   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     40   49  -11      56.18     3.11   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.23R    0.01  
Rochdale         37   45   -2      56.91     4.11    -2.94     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.18P    0.88R    0.17  
Macclesfield     39   45  -10      53.25     3.48   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.75R    1.16  
Bury             39   45  -11      53.56     3.45   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.79R    0.79  
Oxford_Utd       40   45  -11      52.20     3.09   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.92R    1.33  
Chester          39   43   -7      51.97     3.49    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.95R    2.58  
Stockport        39   43  -18      49.79     3.31   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.39R   12.28  
Barnet           39   42  -14      50.88     3.51   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.38R    7.25  
Rushden_&_D      40   41  -25      47.17     3.10   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.47R   39.38  
Torquay          39   39  -19      47.09     3.42   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.24R   35.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2006, Kidderminster vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      37   81  +30      91.20     2.72    35.55    99.82   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        36   68  +22      79.48     3.01    26.91     0.17    99.73    32.85P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         36   64  +12      74.29     3.16    15.06     0.00    89.39    17.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       37   61  +15      69.55     2.91    17.60     0.00    44.92     8.77P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           34   59  +25      75.02     3.73    34.09     0.01    92.89    23.95P    0.00     0.00  
York            36   58  +18      67.81     3.22    20.36     0.00    29.04     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       36   58  +16      68.17     3.17    18.84     0.00    29.19     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          35   54  +15      65.95     3.58    18.40     0.00    14.19     3.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          36   51   -1      60.70     3.26     1.26     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       36   50   -6      58.79     3.36    -5.34     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       35   49   +4      59.33     3.46     5.08     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          34   46  +12      59.44     3.84    15.80     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       35   45   -5      53.63     3.50    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     36   43  -10      50.25     3.29   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   36   43  -11      50.09     3.16   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   37   43  -15      47.81     2.67   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crawley         36   41   -4      48.53     3.21    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Altrincham      35   37  -24      42.16     3.02   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.67R    0.28  
Forest_Green    36   32  -13      37.01     2.95   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.78R   14.46  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.57     3.17   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.19R    8.62  
Southport       35   31  -32      35.57     2.85   -41.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.66R   43.19  
Tamworth        35   30  -28      35.90     3.08   -33.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.63R   33.46