Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 31 March 2006 at 22:53:20 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 March 2006, Manchester_U vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         31   78  +41      92.82     3.23    49.02    98.16   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    31   69  +33      81.94     3.17    39.64     1.84    94.18   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   64  +23      75.28     3.14    27.25     0.00     5.78    99.14    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   55  +16      65.40     3.58    17.22     0.00     0.02    34.72    87.14     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   52   +6      62.43     3.54     7.29     0.00     0.00     8.34    58.08     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      65.88     3.51    32.34     0.00     0.01    47.41    91.61     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   48  +10      61.96     3.98    12.69     0.00     0.01    10.24    56.10     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   46   -2      55.87     3.34    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.14     4.86     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   45   +0      53.97     3.46    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.62     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43  -12      52.09     3.28   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        31   42   -5      50.48     3.37    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    31   40   +2      49.02     3.50     1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   -7      48.63     3.47    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   37   -9      46.48     3.75   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03R    0.00  
Fulham          32   36  -11      45.96     3.29    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   35   -7      44.81     3.26    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   31   27  -19      32.94     3.12   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.47R    0.00  
Birmingham      30   24  -21      30.48     3.27   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.38R    0.01  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.32     3.42   -32.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.06R    0.03  
Sunderland      31   10  -36      14.63     2.82   -44.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 31 March 2006, Crystal_Palace vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          40   92  +56     105.47     2.73    64.63   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      40   78  +27      88.34     3.31    30.17     0.00    87.88   100.00    90.78P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   72  +22      81.23     2.90    25.95     0.00     4.55    99.88    25.82P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   72  +21      81.15     3.02    22.71     0.00     6.06    99.94    30.50P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   70  +21      78.64     2.85    23.92     0.00     1.50    99.55    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          40   64  +21      74.19     3.19    23.74     0.00     0.01    87.57    25.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   59  +10      68.20     3.14    11.62     0.00     0.00     8.56     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   59   +7      67.41     3.24     7.33     0.00     0.00     4.39     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   53   -8      60.52     3.13    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   53   -8      61.18     3.21    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            40   52   -2      59.86     3.24    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -6      59.30     3.22    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            40   51  -12      57.65     3.08   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        40   49  -10      56.03     3.06   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         40   48   -8      55.36     3.10    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        40   47   -7      54.13     3.16    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          40   47   -8      55.23     3.27    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Derby            40   45   -6      52.91     3.07    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.00  
Hull             40   45   -6      51.15     2.99    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Southampton      40   43   -8      50.87     3.14    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   41  -16      47.70     3.08   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.09R    0.04  
Millwall         40   36  -21      43.22     3.10   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.66R    3.63  
Brighton         40   32  -26      38.69     3.00   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.00R   27.60  
Crewe            40   31  -33      36.83     2.93   -37.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.64R   68.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 31 March 2006, Hartlepool vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        39   73  +29      86.15     3.36    34.55    90.33    97.55   100.00    98.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   67  +18      78.93     3.45    21.50     4.91    45.76    98.55    59.43P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    39   65  +14      76.91     3.58    17.60     1.62    20.96    94.05    37.46P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      38   64  +13      76.72     3.80    15.53     1.94    20.34    92.87    38.90P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.89     3.57    25.63     1.02    10.99    87.64    33.87P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          40   63   +4      72.18     3.28     5.48     0.04     1.13    54.59    10.45P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        39   62  +15      72.62     3.56    16.49     0.13     3.26    65.27    19.80P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      39   55  +11      65.61     3.50    12.55     0.00     0.01     5.56     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       39   54   +1      63.29     3.43     0.69     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        40   51   +6      59.97     3.22     7.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Chesterfield    39   51   -2      59.89     3.50    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.39R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      39   51   -4      60.96     3.58    -3.51     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.47R    0.00  
Bradford        39   49   -1      58.45     3.43    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.26R    0.01  
Bristol_City    39   49   -4      58.25     3.48    -4.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.01  
Port_Vale       39   48   -9      57.30     3.46    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.97R    0.10  
Gillingham      39   47  -17      54.47     3.37   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.21R    1.06  
Bournemouth     38   46   -4      55.18     3.75    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.52R    0.28  
Yeovil          39   46  -10      54.48     3.46   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.77R    0.41  
Blackpool       39   44   -9      52.13     3.36   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.73R    2.38  
Hartlepool      39   44  -12      51.93     3.32   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.09R    4.21  
Rotherham       39   43  -10      51.19     3.36   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.69R    5.79  
Walsall         38   43  -14      53.19     3.85   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.54R    2.71  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.81     3.39   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.71R   14.60  
Milton_Keynes   38   37  -21      45.51     3.60   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.96R   68.44  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 March 2006, Boston vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         39   74  +39      88.43     3.39    46.87    95.90    99.86   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   68  +18      78.29     3.53    18.93     2.15    56.43    99.61    67.54P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   66  +19      77.91     3.44    22.56     0.91    56.38    99.53    70.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   66  +11      76.46     3.56    12.27     0.42    33.82    98.24    47.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          39   65  +20      77.00     3.58    23.70     0.61    47.61    98.92    61.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   61   +7      71.83     3.56     8.87     0.01     4.78    84.12    21.48P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   56  +11      66.82     3.59    12.85     0.00     0.37    35.65     9.70P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        39   56  +10      66.89     3.57    12.00     0.00     0.38    36.40     8.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          38   54  +12      66.98     3.85    15.01     0.00     0.38    41.49    11.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   53   -7      61.66     3.45    -8.88     0.00     0.00     3.33     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   49   +2      59.27     3.77     1.05     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield        39   48   -1      57.19     3.55    -1.75     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.29R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       39   48   -4      56.86     3.49    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.30R    0.03  
Boston           39   48  -11      56.95     3.44   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.42R    0.07  
Notts_County     39   48  -11      56.38     3.39   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.46R    0.06  
Rochdale         37   45   -2      57.02     4.08    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.09P    0.68R    0.12  
Macclesfield     38   45   -9      54.57     3.81   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.50R    0.70  
Oxford_Utd       39   45  -10      53.22     3.40   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.61R    0.74  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.41     3.63   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.31R    4.83  
Bury             38   42  -12      51.56     3.72   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.51R    3.74  
Barnet           38   42  -13      52.11     3.81   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.88R    3.75  
Chester          38   40   -8      50.52     3.79    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.86R    6.36  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.37     3.71   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.34R   21.66  
Rushden_&_D      39   38  -26      45.66     3.44   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.81R   57.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2006, Kidderminster vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      36   81  +31      93.25     3.05    37.67    99.80   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        35   67  +22      79.77     3.29    26.78     0.20    99.58    32.29P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         35   64  +13      75.76     3.47    16.23     0.01    92.61    19.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       36   60  +15      70.23     3.23    18.07     0.00    50.37    10.45P    0.00     0.00  
York            35   57  +18      68.29     3.56    20.52     0.00    32.08     7.50P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       35   57  +16      68.90     3.49    19.31     0.00    35.25     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           33   56  +24      72.75     3.97    31.77     0.00    78.88    19.18P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          34   51  +13      65.22     3.81    17.85     0.00    10.16     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          35   50   -1      60.95     3.57     1.11     0.00     0.43     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       35   47   -9      56.58     3.64    -9.40     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       34   46   +3      57.53     3.74     3.83     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          33   45  +12      59.49     4.08    15.39     0.00     0.58     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       34   45   -2      55.72     3.81    -2.28     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     35   42  -10      50.40     3.55   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   35   42  -11      50.76     3.48   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster   36   42  -15      47.72     2.99   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Crawley         35   38   -6      47.18     3.51    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Altrincham      34   37  -22      42.74     3.25   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.12R    0.39  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.60     3.15   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.40R   10.60  
Forest_Green    35   31  -13      37.04     3.27   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.73R   20.61  
Southport       34   31  -30      36.87     3.24   -39.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.14R   30.57  
Tamworth        35   30  -28      36.02     3.08   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.68R   37.84