Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 30 March 2006 at 22:53:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 March 2006, Manchester_U vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         31   78  +41      92.92     3.20    49.21    98.41   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    31   69  +33      81.88     3.14    39.52     1.59    94.26   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   64  +23      75.29     3.14    27.25     0.00     5.70    99.14   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   55  +16      65.35     3.54    17.15     0.00     0.01    33.41    86.44     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   52   +6      62.52     3.52     7.43     0.00     0.00     8.18    59.23     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      66.08     3.50    32.64     0.00     0.03    48.94    92.44     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   48  +10      62.01     4.00    12.82     0.00     0.01    10.18    55.51     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   46   -2      55.75     3.34    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.13     4.30     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   45   +0      53.95     3.49    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43  -12      52.17     3.24   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        31   42   -5      50.56     3.36    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    31   40   +2      49.00     3.49     1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   -7      48.54     3.49    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   37   -9      46.42     3.71   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          32   36  -11      45.97     3.27    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   35   -7      44.76     3.22    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   31   27  -19      32.94     3.11   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.36R    0.00  
Birmingham      30   24  -21      30.46     3.29   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.23R    0.01  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.37     3.41   -32.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.31R    0.01  
Sunderland      31   10  -36      14.55     2.76   -44.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 March 2006, Queens_PR vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          40   92  +56     105.41     2.78    64.55   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      40   78  +27      88.30     3.31    30.09     0.00    83.07   100.00    87.03P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   72  +24      82.49     3.20    27.77     0.00    10.46    99.97    31.39P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   72  +21      81.22     3.06    22.79     0.00     5.72    99.95    30.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   67  +19      77.17     3.17    22.15     0.00     0.73    97.92    22.45P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          40   64  +21      74.15     3.18    23.71     0.00     0.01    87.59    25.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   59  +10      68.26     3.12    11.67     0.00     0.00     9.69     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   59   +7      67.39     3.24     7.30     0.00     0.00     4.77     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   53   -8      60.47     3.12    -9.03     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   53   -8      61.07     3.17    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            40   52   -2      59.86     3.24    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -6      59.36     3.20    -7.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            40   51  -12      57.63     3.05   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        40   49  -10      56.03     3.08   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Plymouth         40   48   -8      55.33     3.06    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        40   47   -7      54.19     3.19    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Burnley          40   47   -8      55.16     3.25    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Derby            40   45   -6      52.92     3.08    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Hull             40   45   -6      51.14     3.02    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Southampton      40   43   -8      50.91     3.15    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.67R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   41  -16      47.81     3.07   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.64R    0.04  
Millwall         40   36  -21      43.27     3.12   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.74R    3.39  
Brighton         40   32  -26      38.66     3.01   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.14R   27.87  
Crewe            40   31  -33      36.82     2.92   -37.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R   68.70  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        39   73  +29      86.24     3.38    34.61    89.99    97.69   100.00    98.38P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   67  +18      79.02     3.51    21.62     5.28    46.81    98.44    60.65P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    39   65  +14      76.90     3.62    17.60     1.69    20.81    93.53    37.66P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      38   64  +13      76.68     3.75    15.48     1.84    19.59    92.43    38.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.77     3.56    25.44     0.99     9.86    86.18    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        39   62  +15      72.56     3.59    16.42     0.17     3.14    64.12    19.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          39   62   +4      72.58     3.59     5.55     0.04     2.10    57.73    12.44P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      39   55  +11      65.73     3.55    12.73     0.00     0.01     6.04     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       39   54   +1      63.38     3.46     0.76     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    39   51   -2      59.84     3.48    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.35R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      39   51   -4      61.05     3.54    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.45R    0.00  
Bradford        39   49   -1      58.37     3.47    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.39R    0.01  
Bristol_City    39   49   -4      58.37     3.48    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.46R    0.01  
Tranmere        39   48   +3      58.50     3.52     4.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.44R    0.01  
Port_Vale       38   48   -6      58.65     3.71    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     2.31R    0.01  
Gillingham      39   47  -17      54.59     3.35   -19.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.21R    0.75  
Bournemouth     38   46   -4      55.05     3.73    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.22R    0.39  
Yeovil          39   46  -10      54.44     3.42   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.02R    0.46  
Blackpool       39   44   -9      52.06     3.35   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.54R    2.44  
Rotherham       39   43  -10      51.28     3.39   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.84R    5.13  
Hartlepool      38   43  -12      52.18     3.64   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.11R    4.43  
Walsall         38   43  -14      53.02     3.79   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.23R    2.58  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.75     3.35   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.66R   14.51  
Milton_Keynes   38   37  -21      45.38     3.55   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.77R   69.27  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 March 2006, Boston vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         39   74  +39      88.47     3.39    46.96    95.86    99.91   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   68  +18      78.25     3.53    18.85     2.19    55.98    99.58    67.25P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   66  +19      77.75     3.42    22.36     0.85    54.34    99.55    68.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   66  +11      76.55     3.57    12.40     0.54    34.42    98.44    48.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          39   65  +20      77.12     3.59    23.82     0.54    49.23    98.97    63.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   61   +7      71.86     3.57     8.92     0.01     5.04    84.44    21.81P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   56  +11      66.82     3.52    12.87     0.00     0.38    35.92     9.66P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        39   56  +10      66.89     3.58    11.94     0.00     0.30    36.40     8.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          38   54  +12      66.91     3.85    14.89     0.00     0.40    40.59    11.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   53   -7      61.69     3.46    -8.80     0.00     0.00     3.16     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   49   +2      59.39     3.80     1.22     0.00     0.00     1.73     0.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield        39   48   -1      57.16     3.51    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    0.21R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       39   48   -4      56.85     3.49    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    0.28R    0.01  
Boston           39   48  -11      56.95     3.44   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.41R    0.07  
Notts_County     39   48  -11      56.25     3.39   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.61R    0.07  
Rochdale         37   45   -2      57.00     4.06    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P    0.88R    0.12  
Macclesfield     38   45   -9      54.52     3.80   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.94R    0.70  
Oxford_Utd       39   45  -10      53.23     3.41   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.54R    0.85  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.47     3.63   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.11R    5.09  
Bury             38   42  -12      51.61     3.73   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.11R    3.44  
Barnet           38   42  -13      52.08     3.79   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.65R    3.79  
Chester          38   40   -8      50.53     3.78    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.99R    6.34  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.41     3.77   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.17R   21.68  
Rushden_&_D      39   38  -26      45.63     3.43   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.08R   57.81  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2006, Kidderminster vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      36   81  +31      93.25     3.06    37.68    99.83   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        35   67  +22      79.87     3.33    26.93     0.16    99.63    33.51P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         35   64  +13      75.61     3.49    16.02     0.01    92.25    18.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       36   60  +15      70.36     3.22    18.23     0.00    52.19    10.44P    0.00     0.00  
York            35   57  +18      68.28     3.53    20.47     0.00    31.41     7.65P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       35   57  +16      68.83     3.47    19.21     0.00    34.54     8.21P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           33   56  +24      72.81     4.02    31.90     0.00    78.86    19.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          34   51  +13      65.19     3.78    17.82     0.00     9.99     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          35   50   -1      61.06     3.57     1.31     0.00     0.50     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       35   47   -9      56.63     3.63    -9.25     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       34   46   +3      57.58     3.73     3.89     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          33   45  +12      59.45     4.08    15.28     0.00     0.56     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       34   45   -2      55.58     3.80    -2.45     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     35   42  -10      50.37     3.55   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   35   42  -11      50.90     3.47   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster   36   42  -15      47.69     2.99   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Crawley         35   38   -6      47.15     3.49    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.01  
Altrincham      34   37  -22      42.77     3.24   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.45R    0.36  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.55     3.16   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.47R   11.19  
Forest_Green    35   31  -13      37.01     3.26   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.17R   19.45  
Southport       34   31  -30      36.86     3.19   -38.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.60R   29.77  
Tamworth        35   30  -28      35.94     3.09   -33.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.50R   39.22