Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 28 March 2006 at 22:53:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 March 2006, Tottenham vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         31   78  +41      92.88     3.19    49.24    98.63   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    30   66  +32      81.31     3.41    40.66     1.37    91.73    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   64  +23      75.28     3.17    27.28     0.00     8.19    99.28   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   55  +16      65.45     3.54    17.28     0.00     0.04    35.01    87.62     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   52   +6      62.38     3.52     7.23     0.00     0.00     7.77    57.09     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      65.98     3.49    32.41     0.00     0.04    48.06    92.08     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   48  +10      61.96     3.94    12.69     0.00     0.01     9.73    55.53     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   46   -2      55.87     3.35    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.10     4.82     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   45   +1      54.26     3.65    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.23     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43  -12      52.08     3.30   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        31   42   -5      50.50     3.34    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    31   40   +2      49.10     3.52     1.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   -7      48.54     3.45    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   37   -9      46.48     3.69   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          32   36  -11      45.92     3.29    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   35   -7      44.71     3.22    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   31   27  -19      33.05     3.15   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.65R    0.00  
Birmingham      30   24  -21      30.54     3.30   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.17R    0.01  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.33     3.39   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.08R    0.03  
Sunderland      31   10  -36      14.65     2.78   -44.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2006, Preston vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          40   92  +56     105.42     2.77    64.53   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      40   78  +27      88.34     3.28    30.17     0.00    83.82   100.00    87.48P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   72  +24      82.48     3.18    27.76     0.00    10.44    99.93    31.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   72  +21      81.16     3.02    22.72     0.00     5.02    99.92    29.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   67  +19      77.18     3.14    22.13     0.00     0.70    97.77    21.95P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          40   64  +21      74.24     3.16    23.83     0.00     0.01    88.25    26.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   59  +10      68.23     3.12    11.65     0.00     0.00     8.98     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   59   +7      67.41     3.26     7.30     0.00     0.00     5.00     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   53   -8      60.46     3.13    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   53   -8      61.12     3.15    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            40   52   -2      59.88     3.27    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -6      59.29     3.22    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        39   49   -9      57.81     3.41   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         40   48   -8      55.36     3.07    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            39   48  -13      55.52     3.29   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        40   47   -7      54.13     3.17    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Burnley          40   47   -8      55.27     3.25    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Derby            40   45   -6      53.03     3.07    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Hull             40   45   -6      51.03     3.01    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Southampton      40   43   -8      50.93     3.14    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.44R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   41  -16      47.74     3.09   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.77R    0.06  
Millwall         40   36  -21      43.15     3.06   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.31R    3.78  
Brighton         40   32  -26      38.75     3.04   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.82R   27.32  
Crewe            40   31  -33      36.82     2.95   -37.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.59R   68.84  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        39   73  +29      86.17     3.34    34.52    89.78    97.67   100.00    98.45P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   67  +18      79.04     3.47    21.67     5.17    45.49    98.61    59.47P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    39   65  +14      76.99     3.61    17.75     1.77    21.11    93.69    37.84P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      38   64  +13      76.80     3.81    15.62     2.04    20.22    92.73    38.30P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.84     3.58    25.59     1.03    10.23    86.52    32.96P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        39   62  +15      72.57     3.56    16.45     0.15     3.15    63.40    18.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          39   62   +4      72.57     3.58     5.49     0.07     2.11    57.78    12.35P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      39   55  +11      65.62     3.56    12.57     0.00     0.01     5.62     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       39   54   +1      63.43     3.43     0.86     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield    39   51   -2      59.82     3.50    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.39R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      39   51   -4      60.96     3.55    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.47R    0.00  
Bradford        39   49   -1      58.40     3.46    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.54R    0.00  
Bristol_City    39   49   -4      58.39     3.48    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.43R    0.01  
Tranmere        39   48   +3      58.46     3.48     4.35     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.52R    0.01  
Port_Vale       38   48   -6      58.69     3.74    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.29R    0.01  
Gillingham      39   47  -17      54.52     3.32   -20.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.35R    0.89  
Bournemouth     38   46   -4      55.06     3.72    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.71R    0.27  
Yeovil          39   46  -10      54.40     3.47   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.68R    0.53  
Blackpool       39   44   -9      52.02     3.35   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.86R    2.48  
Rotherham       39   43  -10      51.24     3.39   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.21R    5.46  
Hartlepool      38   43  -12      52.20     3.61   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.75R    4.40  
Walsall         38   43  -14      53.04     3.82   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.08R    2.77  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.73     3.39   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.45R   15.05  
Milton_Keynes   38   37  -21      45.45     3.58   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.24R   68.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2006, Carlisle vs Lincoln_C; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         39   74  +39      88.32     3.42    46.75    95.42    99.89   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   68  +18      78.52     3.55    19.29     2.65    58.70    99.67    69.97P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   66  +19      77.82     3.45    22.46     0.91    54.36    99.61    68.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   66  +11      76.35     3.60    12.14     0.42    32.49    98.14    47.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          39   65  +20      77.13     3.55    23.89     0.59    49.13    99.08    63.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   61   +7      71.69     3.53     8.71     0.00     4.32    83.83    20.52P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   56  +11      66.76     3.58    12.74     0.00     0.47    35.52     9.40P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        39   56  +10      66.84     3.57    11.86     0.00     0.27    36.34     8.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          38   54  +12      66.98     3.83    14.97     0.00     0.36    41.22    11.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   53   -7      61.64     3.42    -8.85     0.00     0.00     2.85     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   49   +2      59.34     3.77     1.13     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        39   48   -1      57.26     3.56    -1.67     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    0.07R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       39   48   -4      56.96     3.47    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.17R    0.03  
Boston           38   48   -9      58.82     3.75    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.12P    0.11R    0.01  
Notts_County     39   48  -11      56.33     3.41   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.31R    0.01  
Rochdale         37   45   -2      57.08     4.06    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.12P    0.58R    0.10  
Macclesfield     38   45   -9      54.51     3.79   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.94R    0.47  
Oxford_Utd       39   45  -10      53.26     3.42   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.69R    0.50  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.51     3.64   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.62R    3.92  
Bury             38   42  -12      51.66     3.73   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.94R    3.10  
Barnet           38   42  -13      52.04     3.77   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.20R    3.29  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.39     3.74   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.16R   19.23  
Rushden_&_D      39   38  -26      45.59     3.42   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.59R   52.06  
Chester          37   37  -10      48.28     4.03   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.60R   17.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2006, Tamworth vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      36   81  +31      93.24     3.03    37.68    99.81   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        35   67  +22      79.90     3.30    26.95     0.19    99.62    33.30P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         35   64  +13      75.72     3.49    16.18     0.01    92.39    19.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       36   60  +15      70.23     3.21    18.05     0.00    51.07     9.95P    0.00     0.00  
York            35   57  +18      68.30     3.56    20.52     0.00    32.50     7.79P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       35   57  +16      68.75     3.47    19.14     0.00    34.57     8.15P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           33   56  +24      72.65     3.99    31.59     0.00    78.58    18.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          34   51  +13      65.19     3.78    17.79     0.00    10.22     2.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          35   50   -1      60.92     3.55     1.10     0.00     0.41     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       35   47   -9      56.62     3.66    -9.28     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       34   46   +3      57.53     3.76     3.83     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          33   45  +12      59.54     4.04    15.44     0.00     0.53     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       34   45   -2      55.77     3.81    -2.25     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     35   42  -10      50.41     3.55   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   35   42  -11      50.80     3.46   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   36   42  -15      47.70     2.98   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Crawley         35   38   -6      47.12     3.50    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87R    0.00  
Altrincham      34   37  -22      42.73     3.23   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.31R    0.41  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.63     3.15   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.80R   10.79  
Forest_Green    35   31  -13      37.05     3.27   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.39R   20.24  
Southport       34   31  -30      36.88     3.21   -38.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.59R   30.43  
Tamworth        35   30  -28      36.04     3.13   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.92R   38.15