Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 27 March 2006 at 23:56:35 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 March 2006, Tottenham vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         31   78  +41      92.94     3.21    49.33    98.54   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    30   66  +32      81.26     3.36    40.53     1.46    91.75    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   64  +23      75.29     3.16    27.29     0.00     8.20    99.28   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   55  +16      65.47     3.53    17.29     0.00     0.01    34.53    87.19     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   52   +6      62.38     3.51     7.22     0.00     0.00     7.76    57.32     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      66.03     3.52    32.51     0.00     0.04    48.33    91.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   48  +10      62.00     3.94    12.79     0.00     0.01     9.88    56.24     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   46   -2      55.78     3.34    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.18     4.50     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   45   +1      54.24     3.67    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.25     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43  -12      52.11     3.27   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        31   42   -5      50.63     3.37    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    31   40   +2      48.98     3.51     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   -7      48.53     3.46    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   37   -9      46.54     3.72   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04R    0.00  
Fulham          32   36  -11      45.97     3.30    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   35   -7      44.78     3.21    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   31   27  -19      33.00     3.15   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.72R    0.00  
Birmingham      30   24  -21      30.48     3.28   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.08R    0.01  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.29     3.39   -32.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.09R    0.03  
Sunderland      31   10  -36      14.60     2.78   -44.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, Wolverhampton vs Sheffield_W; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          40   92  +56     105.44     2.75    64.55   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      40   78  +27      88.34     3.30    30.19     0.00    84.05   100.00    87.86P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   72  +24      82.43     3.19    27.68     0.00     9.81    99.95    31.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   72  +21      81.19     3.03    22.79     0.00     5.37    99.93    29.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   67  +19      77.18     3.18    22.17     0.00     0.78    97.83    22.34P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          39   61  +20      73.62     3.39    24.49     0.00     0.00    84.03    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   59  +10      68.31     3.12    11.74     0.00     0.00    11.76     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   59   +7      67.39     3.25     7.30     0.00     0.00     6.21     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   53   -8      60.46     3.11    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   53   -8      61.22     3.18    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            40   52   -2      59.79     3.25    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -6      59.37     3.22    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        39   49   -9      57.85     3.40   -10.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   48   -8      55.25     3.08    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Stoke            39   48  -13      55.51     3.28   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Leicester        40   47   -7      54.15     3.16    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          39   46   -8      55.77     3.56    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Derby            40   45   -6      52.94     3.04    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Hull             40   45   -6      51.15     3.02    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Southampton      39   42   -8      51.05     3.42    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.85R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   41  -16      47.73     3.08   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.22R    0.07  
Millwall         40   36  -21      43.27     3.08   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.64R    4.18  
Brighton         40   32  -26      38.69     3.04   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.97R   31.00  
Crewe            39   31  -32      37.24     3.08   -38.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.27R   64.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, Yeovil vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        39   73  +29      86.15     3.36    34.50    91.21    98.02   100.00    98.58P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    39   65  +14      76.97     3.62    17.70     1.75    24.35    93.92    39.92P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   64  +17      77.72     3.79    21.11     3.71    35.50    95.72    51.40P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      38   64  +13      76.83     3.79    15.69     2.04    23.38    93.08    41.20P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.88     3.56    25.58     1.09    12.44    86.91    34.55P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        39   62  +15      72.55     3.56    16.41     0.13     3.54    64.10    19.57P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          39   62   +4      72.62     3.58     5.59     0.07     2.77    59.26    13.01P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      39   55  +11      65.62     3.52    12.53     0.00     0.01     5.55     1.45P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       39   54   +1      63.41     3.45     0.83     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    39   51   -2      59.82     3.47    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.43R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      39   51   -4      60.93     3.56    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.46R    0.01  
Bradford        39   49   -1      58.43     3.42    -1.09     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.32R    0.01  
Bristol_City    39   49   -4      58.30     3.46    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    2.42R    0.00  
Tranmere        39   48   +3      58.53     3.52     4.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.58R    0.04  
Port_Vale       38   48   -6      58.65     3.74    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.62R    0.04  
Gillingham      39   47  -17      54.48     3.30   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.48R    1.20  
Bournemouth     38   46   -4      55.07     3.70    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.95R    0.41  
Yeovil          39   46  -10      54.48     3.44   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.04R    0.76  
Blackpool       39   44   -9      52.08     3.40   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.91R    3.69  
Rotherham       39   43  -10      51.20     3.40   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.31R    7.14  
Hartlepool      38   43  -12      52.14     3.61   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.13R    5.73  
Walsall         38   43  -14      53.02     3.82   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.49R    3.75  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.75     3.38   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.30R   18.18  
Milton_Keynes   37   37  -20      46.56     3.87   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.55R   59.06  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 March 2006, Wrexham vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         38   71  +38      87.45     3.67    46.99    92.53    99.56   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   68  +18      78.43     3.53    19.13     3.50    58.01    99.58    68.78P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   66  +19      77.93     3.42    22.59     1.87    56.16    99.58    70.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   66  +11      76.36     3.57    12.12     0.83    31.77    98.21    46.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          39   65  +20      77.10     3.59    23.85     1.25    48.44    98.79    62.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   61   +7      71.75     3.54     8.76     0.03     4.53    82.53    20.73P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        38   56  +11      67.62     3.78    11.85     0.00     0.84    42.74    10.72P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   56  +11      66.76     3.53    12.77     0.00     0.27    33.35     8.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          38   54  +12      66.92     3.85    14.89     0.00     0.42    38.70    10.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   53   -7      61.74     3.47    -8.72     0.00     0.00     3.02     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   49   +2      59.38     3.79     1.18     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        39   48   -1      57.17     3.55    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.01P    0.14R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       39   48   -4      56.91     3.48    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    0.20R    0.04  
Boston           38   48   -9      58.80     3.71    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.10P    0.12R    0.01  
Notts_County     39   48  -11      56.31     3.39   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.30R    0.05  
Rochdale         37   45   -2      57.00     4.08    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.14P    0.59R    0.12  
Macclesfield     38   45   -9      54.63     3.81   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.70R    0.49  
Oxford_Utd       39   45  -10      53.23     3.39   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    3.73R    0.58  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.50     3.66   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.91R    3.92  
Bury             38   42  -12      51.66     3.76   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.05R    3.10  
Barnet           38   42  -13      52.01     3.77   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.00R    3.42  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.31     3.72   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.02R   19.43  
Rushden_&_D      39   38  -26      45.61     3.43   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.57R   52.27  
Chester          37   37  -10      48.31     4.02   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.65R   16.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, York vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      36   81  +31      93.21     3.06    37.67    99.81   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        35   67  +22      79.76     3.31    26.76     0.17    99.69    32.98P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         34   61  +12      74.30     3.80    15.48     0.01    85.30    17.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       36   60  +15      70.30     3.23    18.16     0.00    54.58    11.56P    0.00     0.00  
York            35   57  +18      68.17     3.54    20.29     0.00    33.87     8.04P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       35   57  +16      68.83     3.49    19.29     0.00    38.87     9.48P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.81     4.34    25.98     0.00    63.19    14.28P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.36     4.09    19.03     0.00    21.26     5.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          35   50   -1      60.96     3.56     1.11     0.00     0.42     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       35   47   -9      56.76     3.64    -9.03     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       33   46   +6      59.87     3.98     8.33     0.00     0.63     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          32   45  +13      60.72     4.31    16.22     0.00     2.21     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       34   45   -2      55.85     3.84    -2.09     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     35   42  -10      50.22     3.54   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster   35   42  -10      49.16     3.35   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   35   42  -11      50.67     3.46   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Altrincham      34   37  -22      42.75     3.22   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.46R    0.36  
Crawley         34   35   -9      44.49     3.74   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.51R    0.27  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.73     3.20   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.83R   10.07  
Forest_Green    35   31  -13      37.05     3.29   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.22R   19.61  
Southport       34   31  -30      37.03     3.21   -38.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.36R   26.98  
Tamworth        34   29  -28      35.73     3.34   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.55R   42.71