Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 26 March 2006 at 23:56:43 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 March 2006, Middlesbrough vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         31   78  +41      92.86     3.20    49.22    98.52   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    30   66  +32      81.32     3.39    40.66     1.49    91.89    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   64  +23      75.31     3.13    27.26     0.00     8.02    99.39   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   52  +15      64.83     3.77    17.81     0.00     0.04    30.57    83.26     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   52   +6      62.47     3.50     7.35     0.00     0.00     8.79    59.59     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      66.03     3.51    32.53     0.00     0.06    51.02    92.30     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   48  +10      61.96     3.96    12.74     0.00     0.00    10.03    56.73     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   46   -2      55.75     3.35    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.17     4.75     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   45   +1      54.31     3.68    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.66     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43  -12      52.04     3.24   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        31   42   -5      50.55     3.36    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    31   40   +2      48.96     3.49     1.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   -7      48.55     3.45    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   37   -9      46.51     3.74   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03R    0.00  
Fulham          32   36  -11      45.99     3.31    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   35   -7      44.77     3.19    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   30   27  -18      33.35     3.27   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.51R    0.00  
Birmingham      30   24  -21      30.61     3.32   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.86R    0.01  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.29     3.40   -32.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.52R    0.01  
Sunderland      31   10  -36      14.66     2.79   -44.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, Wolverhampton vs Sheffield_W; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          40   92  +56     105.36     2.76    64.43   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      40   78  +27      88.30     3.28    30.09     0.00    83.11   100.00    87.03P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   72  +24      82.49     3.18    27.75     0.00    10.29    99.95    31.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   72  +21      81.27     3.07    22.92     0.00     5.85    99.92    30.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   67  +19      77.15     3.15    22.13     0.00     0.73    97.81    21.70P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          39   61  +20      73.64     3.38    24.52     0.00     0.01    84.33    25.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   59  +10      68.24     3.14    11.67     0.00     0.00    11.40     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   59   +7      67.44     3.25     7.33     0.00     0.00     6.29     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   53   -8      60.43     3.13    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   53   -8      61.14     3.19    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            40   52   -2      59.85     3.24    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -6      59.35     3.22    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        39   49   -9      57.86     3.40   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         40   48   -8      55.26     3.08    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Stoke            39   48  -13      55.52     3.34   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        40   47   -7      54.13     3.17    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          39   46   -8      55.82     3.60    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Derby            40   45   -6      53.02     3.07    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Hull             40   45   -6      51.09     3.03    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Southampton      39   42   -8      51.10     3.43    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.85R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      40   41  -16      47.73     3.10   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.99R    0.07  
Millwall         40   36  -21      43.21     3.09   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.72R    4.21  
Brighton         40   32  -26      38.72     3.04   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.84R   30.66  
Crewe            39   31  -32      37.21     3.08   -38.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   65.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, Yeovil vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        39   73  +29      86.17     3.36    34.53    91.19    97.87   100.00    98.59P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    39   65  +14      76.86     3.59    17.54     1.88    23.89    93.81    40.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   64  +17      77.68     3.79    21.11     3.55    35.65    96.11    51.02P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      38   64  +13      76.69     3.78    15.50     2.02    23.14    92.62    40.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.80     3.61    25.47     1.13    12.68    86.62    34.82P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        39   62  +15      72.59     3.54    16.46     0.17     4.02    64.89    20.52P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          39   62   +4      72.57     3.59     5.52     0.06     2.75    58.80    12.95P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      39   55  +11      65.57     3.53    12.50     0.00     0.01     5.55     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       39   54   +1      63.42     3.42     0.85     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    39   51   -2      59.93     3.51    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.40R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      39   51   -4      60.99     3.55    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.53R    0.01  
Bradford        39   49   -1      58.37     3.44    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.36R    0.01  
Bristol_City    39   49   -4      58.28     3.48    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    2.74R    0.02  
Tranmere        39   48   +3      58.49     3.51     4.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Port_Vale       38   48   -6      58.61     3.71    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.79R    0.07  
Gillingham      39   47  -17      54.53     3.33   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.16R    1.25  
Bournemouth     38   46   -4      55.17     3.71    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.79R    0.53  
Yeovil          39   46  -10      54.40     3.46   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.00R    0.77  
Blackpool       39   44   -9      52.09     3.36   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.49R    3.52  
Rotherham       39   43  -10      51.22     3.36   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.65R    7.16  
Hartlepool      38   43  -12      52.24     3.64   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.41R    5.73  
Walsall         38   43  -14      53.09     3.85   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.33R    3.78  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.87     3.38   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.62R   17.36  
Milton_Keynes   37   37  -20      46.48     3.86   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.06R   59.81  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 March 2006, Wrexham vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         38   71  +38      87.52     3.65    47.11    92.53    99.42   100.00    99.62P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   68  +18      78.38     3.56    19.07     3.78    57.58    99.53    68.39P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   66  +19      77.88     3.46    22.52     1.72    56.04    99.47    69.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   66  +11      76.36     3.56    12.13     0.78    32.67    98.02    47.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          39   65  +20      77.03     3.59    23.75     1.18    47.98    98.85    62.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   61   +7      71.77     3.53     8.74     0.01     4.80    82.89    21.48P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        38   56  +11      67.67     3.75    11.85     0.00     0.77    42.59    10.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   56  +11      66.82     3.55    12.84     0.00     0.34    34.28     9.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          38   54  +12      66.90     3.83    14.89     0.00     0.41    38.40    10.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   53   -7      61.66     3.44    -8.87     0.00     0.00     2.79     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   49   +2      59.33     3.75     1.17     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        39   48   -1      57.21     3.57    -1.70     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.12R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       39   48   -4      56.91     3.49    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.23R    0.02  
Boston           38   48   -9      58.75     3.71    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.10P    0.15R    0.01  
Notts_County     39   48  -11      56.34     3.40   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.32R    0.04  
Rochdale         37   45   -2      56.92     4.05    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    0.50R    0.10  
Macclesfield     38   45   -9      54.57     3.80   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     3.03R    0.51  
Oxford_Utd       39   45  -10      53.25     3.40   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.58R    0.53  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.44     3.65   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.12R    4.20  
Bury             38   42  -12      51.73     3.75   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.08R    3.15  
Barnet           38   42  -13      52.12     3.79   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.03R    3.37  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.35     3.69   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.23R   18.80  
Rushden_&_D      39   38  -26      45.59     3.43   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.88R   52.87  
Chester          37   37  -10      48.34     4.04   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.72R   16.41  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, York vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      36   81  +31      93.17     3.06    37.59    99.80   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        35   67  +22      79.68     3.34    26.69     0.20    99.64    33.26P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         34   61  +12      74.25     3.78    15.44     0.00    85.53    18.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       36   60  +15      70.26     3.23    18.11     0.00    54.04    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
York            35   57  +18      68.20     3.54    20.34     0.00    34.09     8.03P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       35   57  +16      68.94     3.47    19.41     0.00    39.62     9.99P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.78     4.33    25.90     0.00    62.59    13.80P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.43     4.02    19.14     0.00    20.84     4.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          35   50   -1      60.93     3.58     1.10     0.00     0.44     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       35   47   -9      56.71     3.63    -9.09     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       33   46   +6      59.89     3.95     8.37     0.00     0.64     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          32   45  +13      60.85     4.36    16.40     0.00     2.52     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       34   45   -2      55.80     3.85    -2.17     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     35   42  -10      50.13     3.52   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster   35   42  -10      49.23     3.36   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   35   42  -11      50.65     3.46   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham      34   37  -22      42.74     3.23   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.55R    0.34  
Crawley         34   35   -9      44.44     3.73   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.50R    0.35  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.74     3.17   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.06R    9.93  
Forest_Green    35   31  -13      37.00     3.23   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.12R   20.36  
Southport       34   31  -30      37.06     3.23   -38.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.32R   26.70  
Tamworth        34   29  -28      35.81     3.33   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.39R   42.33