Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 26 March 2006 at 00:58:02 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, Wigan vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         31   78  +41      92.74     3.21    49.03    98.78   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   64  +23      75.33     3.15    27.30     0.00    11.06    98.92    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    29   63  +29      80.73     3.58    39.50     1.22    88.72    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   52  +15      64.74     3.80    17.70     0.00     0.04    26.96    79.18     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   52   +6      62.48     3.54     7.41     0.00     0.00     7.42    52.76     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      66.09     3.50    32.67     0.00     0.10    45.79    90.28     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   48  +11      63.95     4.28    14.59     0.00     0.09    20.79    71.18     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   46   -2      55.76     3.35    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.10     4.03     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   45   +1      54.36     3.67    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.14     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43  -12      52.19     3.28   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    31   40   +2      48.99     3.47     1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   39   -5      49.97     3.76    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        30   39   -7      48.86     3.64    -9.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   36  -11      46.12     3.29    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   35   -7      44.85     3.21    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   34  -10      44.28     4.00   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   30   27  -18      33.29     3.29   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.56R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   24  -18      30.80     3.41   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.94R    0.00  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.33     3.40   -32.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.14R    0.01  
Sunderland      31   10  -36      14.52     2.78   -44.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, Wolverhampton vs Sheffield_W; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          40   92  +56     105.43     2.73    64.55   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      40   78  +27      88.29     3.31    30.10     0.00    83.47   100.00    87.42P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   72  +24      82.39     3.17    27.64     0.00    10.24    99.94    31.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   72  +21      81.17     3.05    22.75     0.00     5.55    99.92    29.61P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   67  +19      77.21     3.17    22.23     0.00     0.72    97.99    22.53P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          39   61  +20      73.59     3.37    24.44     0.00     0.02    83.48    24.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   59  +10      68.29     3.15    11.69     0.00     0.00    11.98     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   59   +7      67.47     3.25     7.39     0.00     0.00     6.46     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   53   -8      60.39     3.13    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   53   -8      61.14     3.15    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            40   52   -2      59.88     3.25    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -6      59.29     3.23    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        39   49   -9      57.93     3.38   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   48   -8      55.33     3.07    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            39   48  -13      55.59     3.30   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Leicester        40   47   -7      54.18     3.18    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Burnley          39   46   -8      55.75     3.55    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Derby            40   45   -6      52.93     3.07    -7.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Hull             40   45   -6      51.14     3.02    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Southampton      39   42   -8      51.01     3.44    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.05R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      40   41  -16      47.81     3.06   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.32R    0.07  
Millwall         40   36  -21      43.21     3.09   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.06R    4.13  
Brighton         40   32  -26      38.63     3.04   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.02R   31.27  
Crewe            39   31  -32      37.21     3.06   -38.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.44R   64.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, Yeovil vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        39   73  +29      86.25     3.35    34.64    91.23    98.07   100.00    98.65P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    39   65  +14      76.90     3.57    17.58     1.76    23.38    93.88    39.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   64  +17      77.73     3.79    21.15     3.47    35.70    95.94    51.27P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      38   64  +13      76.86     3.78    15.71     2.10    23.61    93.09    41.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   63  +22      74.94     3.57    25.71     1.15    12.68    87.29    35.49P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        39   62  +15      72.55     3.58    16.41     0.17     3.96    63.69    19.70P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          39   62   +4      72.62     3.56     5.60     0.11     2.60    58.77    12.75P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      39   55  +11      65.69     3.53    12.64     0.00     0.01     5.85     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       39   54   +1      63.35     3.44     0.76     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    39   51   -2      59.77     3.51    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.43R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      39   51   -4      60.93     3.56    -3.53     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.43R    0.00  
Bradford        39   49   -1      58.41     3.43    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.33R    0.01  
Bristol_City    39   49   -4      58.27     3.47    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.50R    0.03  
Tranmere        39   48   +3      58.44     3.53     4.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.75R    0.03  
Port_Vale       38   48   -6      58.70     3.73    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     2.58R    0.06  
Gillingham      39   47  -17      54.50     3.35   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.36R    1.28  
Bournemouth     38   46   -4      55.11     3.71    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.03R    0.52  
Yeovil          39   46  -10      54.43     3.45   -11.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.57R    0.77  
Blackpool       39   44   -9      52.04     3.37   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.47R    3.73  
Rotherham       39   43  -10      51.24     3.36   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.46R    6.89  
Hartlepool      38   43  -12      52.19     3.62   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.57R    5.71  
Walsall         38   43  -14      53.07     3.83   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.27R    3.68  
Swindon_Town    39   42  -16      49.70     3.35   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.45R   17.57  
Milton_Keynes   37   37  -20      46.49     3.85   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.79R   59.74  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         38   71  +38      87.50     3.66    47.08    92.64    99.49   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   68  +18      78.48     3.51    19.18     3.67    58.35    99.78    69.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   66  +19      77.81     3.43    22.46     1.61    54.69    99.58    68.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   66  +11      76.36     3.60    12.13     0.80    31.93    98.22    46.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          39   65  +20      77.18     3.58    23.93     1.24    49.51    99.00    63.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   61   +7      71.77     3.53     8.81     0.04     4.68    84.20    21.48P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        38   56  +11      67.55     3.80    11.71     0.01     0.74    44.74    10.82P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   56  +11      66.76     3.54    12.75     0.00     0.33    36.03     9.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   53   -7      61.64     3.44    -8.87     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          37   51  +11      65.84     4.09    14.71     0.00     0.27    31.34     8.51P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       38   49   +2      59.39     3.76     1.25     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        39   48   -1      57.26     3.58    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.12R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       39   48   -4      56.88     3.43    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.19R    0.01  
Boston           38   48   -9      58.91     3.78    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.12P    0.13R    0.01  
Notts_County     39   48  -11      56.23     3.39   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.53R    0.04  
Rochdale         37   45   -2      57.03     4.07    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.14P    0.56R    0.11  
Macclesfield     38   45   -9      54.58     3.78   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.80R    0.47  
Oxford_Utd       39   45  -10      53.31     3.37   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.58  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.56     3.66   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   15.45R    4.17  
Bury             38   42  -12      51.62     3.75   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.04R    3.33  
Barnet           38   42  -13      52.05     3.77   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.27R    3.33  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.18     3.74   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.72R   21.32  
Rushden_&_D      39   38  -26      45.65     3.42   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.23R   53.09  
Chester          36   37   -9      49.07     4.23   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.41R   13.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 March 2006, York vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      36   81  +31      93.21     3.04    37.62    99.84   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        35   67  +22      79.68     3.30    26.67     0.15    99.64    32.80P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         34   61  +12      74.20     3.77    15.38     0.01    85.22    18.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       36   60  +15      70.29     3.22    18.18     0.00    54.72    11.64P    0.00     0.00  
York            35   57  +18      68.21     3.55    20.36     0.00    34.53     8.24P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       35   57  +16      68.82     3.46    19.24     0.00    38.64     9.53P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.76     4.33    25.87     0.00    62.75    13.85P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.32     4.06    18.98     0.00    20.59     4.76P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          35   50   -1      61.00     3.58     1.22     0.00     0.58     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       35   47   -9      56.73     3.64    -9.05     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       33   46   +6      59.81     4.05     8.22     0.00     0.70     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          32   45  +13      60.78     4.36    16.28     0.00     2.58     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       34   45   -2      55.90     3.85    -2.05     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     35   42  -10      50.24     3.56   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster   35   42  -10      49.13     3.37   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   35   42  -11      50.74     3.49   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Altrincham      34   37  -22      42.82     3.23   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.15R    0.34  
Crawley         34   35   -9      44.57     3.72   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.18R    0.31  
Scarborough     35   32  -20      38.66     3.16   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.19R   10.24  
Forest_Green    35   31  -13      37.02     3.27   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.47R   19.75  
Southport       34   31  -30      36.98     3.25   -38.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.85R   28.21  
Tamworth        34   29  -28      35.82     3.34   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.11R   41.15