Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 24 March 2006 at 23:53:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 March 2006, Newcastle vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         30   75  +39      92.01     3.45    48.47    97.78   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    29   63  +29      80.91     3.50    39.88     2.23    91.92    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   61  +21      74.38     3.41    26.22     0.00     7.84    97.94    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   52  +15      64.74     3.81    17.68     0.00     0.07    28.37    80.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      65.93     3.55    32.43     0.00     0.08    45.41    90.17     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   49   +5      61.44     3.83     7.19     0.00     0.00     5.67    43.52     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   48  +11      63.85     4.30    14.47     0.00     0.09    21.79    71.74     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   46   -1      57.74     3.67     0.13     0.00     0.00     0.84    11.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   43  -10      52.78     3.43   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   42   +0      52.16     3.89    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    30   40   +4      49.52     3.69     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   39   -5      50.05     3.75    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01R    0.00  
Charlton        30   39   -7      48.87     3.66    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          31   35  -11      46.06     3.60    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -7      45.57     3.54    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   34  -10      44.32     3.99   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   30   27  -18      33.44     3.27   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.45R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   24  -18      30.73     3.39   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.27R    0.03  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.32     3.40   -32.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.90R    0.07  
Sunderland      30   10  -35      15.40     3.06   -44.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.90  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 March 2006, Burnley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          39   91  +56     106.79     2.97    66.22   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      39   75  +24      87.17     3.56    27.80     0.00    56.20   100.00    66.19P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   72  +26      84.99     3.40    31.61     0.00    30.77    99.92    47.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            39   71  +21      82.57     3.32    24.30     0.00    10.61    99.81    34.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   67  +20      78.89     3.52    23.71     0.00     2.37    96.83    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   60  +20      74.61     3.60    25.33     0.00     0.04    77.67    22.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   59  +12      70.45     3.36    14.75     0.00     0.00    19.25     4.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   58   +7      68.31     3.55     8.15     0.00     0.00     6.26     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   53   -8      60.52     3.12    -8.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -3      61.19     3.52    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -8      61.86     3.48    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            39   51   -2      60.39     3.57    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        38   48   -9      57.67     3.65   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   47   -8      54.96     3.27    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            38   47  -13      54.92     3.50   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -7      53.58     3.35    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          39   46   -8      55.97     3.55    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Hull             39   44   -6      51.13     3.30    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Southampton      38   42   -5      52.05     3.65    -6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.01  
Derby            39   42   -7      51.14     3.35    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   38  -18      45.04     3.20   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.62R    0.41  
Millwall         39   33  -23      40.41     3.24   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.48R    9.62  
Brighton         39   31  -26      39.01     3.34   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.48R   14.99  
Crewe            38   28  -35      35.16     3.34   -42.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.78R   74.97  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Gillingham vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        38   70  +26      85.08     3.64    32.24    73.69    90.70    99.99    93.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   64  +18      79.93     4.04    23.34    13.11    46.45    98.55    60.43P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   64  +14      77.41     3.96    17.83     3.90    19.68    93.97    36.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         38   63  +23      77.01     3.81    27.84     4.93    19.93    94.33    42.35P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      37   63  +13      77.15     4.10    15.61     3.71    18.19    93.12    36.37P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        38   61  +15      73.61     3.85    17.39     0.62     4.35    74.33    22.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          38   59   +2      71.08     3.83     3.73     0.04     0.69    39.48     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      38   52   +8      64.59     3.80    10.48     0.00     0.00     3.94     0.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    38   51   +0      61.37     3.82    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.14P    0.17R    0.00  
Doncaster       38   51   +0      61.13     3.67    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.19R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      38   50   -4      61.47     3.88    -3.29     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.10P    0.41R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   49   -2      59.84     3.76    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.86R    0.00  
Bradford        38   48   -1      58.62     3.73    -1.32     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    1.59R    0.01  
Tranmere        38   47   +3      58.70     3.78     4.21     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    1.59R    0.01  
Port_Vale       37   47   -6      58.77     4.03    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.00R    0.03  
Bournemouth     37   45   -4      54.93     3.94    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.21R    0.46  
Yeovil          38   45  -10      54.94     3.74   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.10R    0.60  
Blackpool       38   44   -7      53.18     3.68   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.66R    1.58  
Gillingham      38   44  -18      52.27     3.58   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.50R    4.77  
Hartlepool      37   43   -9      53.01     3.83   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.07R    2.94  
Walsall         37   42  -14      53.42     4.09   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.62R    2.90  
Rotherham       38   40  -12      49.34     3.67   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.45R   14.56  
Swindon_Town    38   39  -18      47.64     3.67   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.91R   34.52  
Milton_Keynes   36   37  -17      47.63     4.07   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.66R   37.60  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 March 2006, Boston vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         37   68  +36      86.58     3.88    46.08    81.69    98.81   100.00    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   68  +23      80.68     3.83    25.44    12.36    78.75    99.94    85.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   65  +21      78.70     3.90    25.21     4.25    63.83    99.59    74.06P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   63  +17      76.58     3.70    20.97     1.16    36.14    98.98    55.52P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   63  +10      74.67     3.86    11.02     0.55    18.39    95.31    35.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       38   58   +5      70.41     3.79     7.22     0.01     2.31    74.84    16.87P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   56  +12      68.45     3.86    14.24     0.00     1.36    59.52    17.11P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   53   +6      65.07     4.07     5.44     0.00     0.18    23.02     4.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          37   51  +11      65.84     4.07    14.72     0.00     0.23    33.65     9.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   50   -9      59.91     3.75   -11.10     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       37   49   +3      60.98     4.09     2.57     0.00     0.00     5.79     1.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        38   48   +1      59.03     3.87     0.89     0.00     0.00     1.78     0.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   48   -2      58.42     3.80    -2.73     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Boston           37   48   -7      59.44     3.96    -8.50     0.00     0.00     1.86     0.29P    0.07R    0.01  
Notts_County     38   48   -9      57.26     3.65   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.20R    0.01  
Rochdale         36   45   -1      58.64     4.39    -1.34     0.00     0.00     2.49     0.43P    0.23R    0.04  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.52     3.67   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.47R    4.10  
Macclesfield     37   42  -11      52.61     4.08   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    8.12R    2.54  
Oxford_Utd       38   42  -11      51.28     3.66   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.21R    3.13  
Bury             37   39  -13      49.94     4.06   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.47R    8.79  
Barnet           37   39  -14      50.14     4.05   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.32R    9.24  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.29     3.75   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.65R   18.95  
Rushden_&_D      38   38  -24      46.37     3.66   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.70R   40.72  
Chester          36   37   -9      49.22     4.27   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.50R   12.46  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Scarborough vs Canvey_Island; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      35   78  +29      91.25     3.36    35.07    96.44   100.00    97.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        34   67  +23      82.08     3.52    29.20     3.52    99.91    37.24P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         34   61  +12      74.27     3.79    15.51     0.03    85.94    17.84P    0.00     0.00  
York            34   57  +20      69.97     3.83    22.90     0.01    55.17    13.84P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       35   57  +13      68.91     3.50    16.58     0.00    39.76     7.61P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       34   54  +15      67.84     3.73    19.21     0.00    31.34     7.39P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.72     4.34    25.83     0.01    63.12    13.42P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.35     4.06    19.08     0.00    21.25     4.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          34   47   -2      59.43     3.83     0.29     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       34   47   -8      59.07     3.96    -6.43     0.00     0.28     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          32   45  +13      60.64     4.34    16.09     0.00     2.40     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       33   45   +0      57.03     4.11    -0.42     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       32   43   +3      57.88     4.28     4.75     0.00     0.30     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     34   42   -9      51.55     3.88   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   34   42  -10      51.43     3.69   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   34   39  -11      46.56     3.49   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
Altrincham      33   37  -21      43.89     3.50   -29.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.61R    0.12  
Crawley         33   32  -10      42.90     4.02   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.14R    1.59  
Forest_Green    34   31  -10      38.80     3.66   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.48R    8.37  
Southport       33   30  -30      37.06     3.52   -39.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.80R   27.85  
Scarborough     34   29  -21      36.34     3.43   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.28R   29.20  
Tamworth        33   28  -28      36.56     3.67   -34.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.87R   32.87