Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 23 March 2006 at 23:53:14 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 March 2006, Newcastle vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         30   75  +39      92.06     3.45    48.53    97.68   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    29   63  +29      80.91     3.56    39.87     2.32    91.67    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   61  +21      74.40     3.40    26.25     0.00     8.12    98.04    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   52  +15      64.67     3.79    17.55     0.00     0.04    27.70    80.23     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      65.89     3.51    32.35     0.00     0.09    45.95    89.94     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   49   +5      61.39     3.80     7.16     0.00     0.00     5.46    43.21     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   48  +11      63.96     4.24    14.62     0.00     0.08    22.04    72.75     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   46   -1      57.70     3.71     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.86    11.90     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   43  -10      52.85     3.49   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   42   +0      52.12     3.91    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.96     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    30   40   +4      49.53     3.66     1.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   39   -5      49.87     3.73    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01R    0.00  
Charlton        30   39   -7      48.91     3.65    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   35  -11      46.04     3.59    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -7      45.55     3.58    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   34  -10      44.24     3.96   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   30   27  -18      33.46     3.31   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.31R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   24  -18      30.86     3.41   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.44R    0.03  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.38     3.42   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.83R    0.12  
Sunderland      30   10  -35      15.45     3.10   -44.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Leeds vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          39   91  +56     106.71     2.99    66.05   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      39   75  +24      87.14     3.56    27.80     0.00    55.70   100.00    65.58P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   72  +26      85.03     3.36    31.66     0.00    31.22    99.95    47.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            39   71  +21      82.59     3.29    24.31     0.00    10.41    99.81    33.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   67  +20      78.95     3.46    23.80     0.00     2.60    97.05    24.61P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   60  +20      74.57     3.65    25.26     0.00     0.06    76.97    22.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   59  +12      70.40     3.39    14.67     0.00     0.00    19.34     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   58   +7      68.34     3.54     8.19     0.00     0.00     6.49     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   53   -6      61.78     3.40    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -3      61.21     3.57    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -8      61.84     3.48    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            39   51   -2      60.39     3.57    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        38   48   -9      57.69     3.63   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   47   -8      54.91     3.24    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            38   47  -13      54.99     3.51   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -7      53.56     3.35    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Hull             39   44   -6      51.14     3.30    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Burnley          38   43  -10      54.28     3.84    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Southampton      38   42   -5      52.04     3.60    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Derby            39   42   -7      51.18     3.35    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   38  -18      45.17     3.24   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.30R    0.33  
Millwall         39   33  -23      40.47     3.28   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.00R    9.28  
Brighton         39   31  -26      38.99     3.35   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.85R   15.27  
Crewe            38   28  -35      35.14     3.34   -42.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.93R   75.12  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Gillingham vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        38   70  +26      85.07     3.61    32.24    74.12    90.95    99.98    93.81P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   64  +18      79.81     4.05    23.20    12.87    45.87    98.33    59.80P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   64  +14      77.46     3.88    17.84     3.69    19.77    94.39    36.46P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         38   63  +23      76.97     3.87    27.72     4.96    20.14    93.87    42.48P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      37   63  +13      77.12     4.07    15.58     3.77    18.16    92.83    36.35P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        38   61  +15      73.60     3.84    17.40     0.56     4.36    74.16    22.24P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          38   59   +2      71.15     3.82     3.84     0.04     0.76    40.61     7.63P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      38   52   +8      64.46     3.81    10.28     0.00     0.01     3.66     0.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    38   51   +0      61.41     3.80    -1.10     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.18P    0.14R    0.00  
Doncaster       38   51   +0      61.17     3.66    -1.10     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.20R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      38   50   -4      61.53     3.87    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.09P    0.42R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   49   -2      59.84     3.77    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.99R    0.01  
Bradford        38   48   -1      58.77     3.72    -1.10     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     1.39R    0.01  
Tranmere        38   47   +3      58.73     3.82     4.22     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    1.57R    0.01  
Port_Vale       37   47   -6      58.69     4.00    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     2.88R    0.02  
Bournemouth     37   45   -4      54.86     3.94    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.68R    0.58  
Yeovil          38   45  -10      54.78     3.73   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.20R    0.67  
Blackpool       38   44   -7      53.08     3.68   -10.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.07R    1.69  
Gillingham      38   44  -18      52.29     3.61   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.45R    5.10  
Hartlepool      37   43   -9      53.07     3.83   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.78R    2.83  
Walsall         37   42  -14      53.43     4.07   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.25R    3.00  
Rotherham       38   40  -12      49.44     3.70   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.22R   14.54  
Swindon_Town    38   39  -18      47.66     3.68   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.50R   34.70  
Milton_Keynes   36   37  -17      47.71     4.09   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.25R   36.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 March 2006, Boston vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         37   68  +36      86.65     3.90    46.21    82.36    98.91   100.00    99.36P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   68  +23      80.60     3.80    25.37    11.74    78.15    99.93    84.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   65  +21      78.78     3.85    25.28     4.33    65.03    99.65    74.59P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   63  +17      76.58     3.68    20.97     1.15    36.02    98.83    55.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   63  +10      74.52     3.87    10.83     0.41    17.54    94.64    33.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       38   58   +5      70.53     3.80     7.35     0.01     2.46    74.77    16.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   56  +12      68.53     3.80    14.35     0.01     1.42    59.60    17.08P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   53   +6      65.19     4.08     5.63     0.00     0.20    23.77     5.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          37   51  +11      65.93     4.09    14.88     0.00     0.26    34.69     9.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   50   -9      59.80     3.75   -11.27     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       37   49   +3      61.12     4.08     2.75     0.00     0.01     5.65     1.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        38   48   +1      58.98     3.91     0.84     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.32P    0.03R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       38   48   -2      58.39     3.79    -2.82     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Boston           37   48   -7      59.42     3.93    -8.54     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.31P    0.06R    0.01  
Notts_County     38   48   -9      57.29     3.63   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    0.14R    0.01  
Rochdale         36   45   -1      58.58     4.37    -1.44     0.00     0.00     2.21     0.38P    0.20R    0.04  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.52     3.66   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.18R    4.04  
Macclesfield     37   42  -11      52.62     4.04   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.96R    2.45  
Oxford_Utd       38   42  -11      51.24     3.65   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.51R    3.12  
Bury             37   39  -13      49.77     4.00   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.43R    9.38  
Barnet           37   39  -14      50.20     4.08   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.18R    8.96  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.20     3.74   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.27R   19.51  
Rushden_&_D      38   38  -24      46.35     3.60   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.65R   40.03  
Chester          36   37   -9      49.21     4.27   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.32R   12.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Scarborough vs Canvey_Island; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      35   78  +29      91.26     3.36    35.08    96.44   100.00    97.52P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        34   67  +23      82.11     3.52    29.25     3.55    99.92    36.71P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         34   61  +12      74.31     3.80    15.56     0.01    86.26    17.47P    0.00     0.00  
York            34   57  +20      69.93     3.80    22.88     0.00    54.40    13.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       35   57  +13      68.94     3.50    16.58     0.00    40.02     7.84P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       34   54  +15      67.88     3.78    19.26     0.00    31.43     7.30P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.73     4.35    25.79     0.01    62.70    13.52P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.35     4.04    19.12     0.00    21.55     4.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          34   47   -2      59.41     3.87     0.22     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       34   47   -8      59.06     3.94    -6.52     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          32   45  +13      60.68     4.37    16.10     0.00     2.67     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       33   45   +0      56.86     4.14    -0.62     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       32   43   +3      57.85     4.29     4.67     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     34   42   -9      51.53     3.82   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   34   42  -10      51.39     3.69   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster   34   39  -11      46.60     3.52   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Altrincham      33   37  -21      43.94     3.50   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.39R    0.13  
Crawley         33   32  -10      42.99     4.03   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.96R    1.43  
Forest_Green    34   31  -10      38.80     3.62   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.56R    7.90  
Southport       33   30  -30      37.15     3.54   -39.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.29R   26.77  
Scarborough     34   29  -21      36.33     3.43   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.49R   29.73  
Tamworth        33   28  -28      36.50     3.69   -34.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.51R   34.04