Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 22 March 2006 at 23:53:19 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 March 2006, Newcastle vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         30   75  +39      92.13     3.45    48.65    97.78   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    29   63  +29      80.82     3.53    39.65     2.22    91.75    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   61  +21      74.35     3.40    26.20     0.00     8.02    97.94    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   52  +15      64.80     3.78    17.79     0.00     0.06    28.61    81.59     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      66.00     3.56    32.54     0.00     0.08    46.53    90.19     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   49   +5      61.41     3.79     7.17     0.00     0.00     5.42    43.30     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   48  +11      63.77     4.27    14.34     0.00     0.09    20.61    70.73     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   46   -1      57.67     3.71     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.93    12.29     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   43  -10      52.79     3.43   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   42   +0      52.19     3.91    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    30   40   +4      49.53     3.68     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   39   -5      49.98     3.71    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        30   39   -7      48.82     3.64    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          31   35  -11      45.96     3.57    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -7      45.61     3.55    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   34  -10      44.44     4.03   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.31R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   30   27  -18      33.30     3.26   -24.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.30R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   24  -18      30.81     3.40   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.30R    0.04  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.42     3.40   -32.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.00R    0.09  
Sunderland      30   10  -35      15.39     3.07   -44.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Leeds vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          39   91  +56     106.78     3.00    66.19   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      39   75  +24      87.13     3.52    27.76     0.00    55.78   100.00    66.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   72  +26      85.06     3.39    31.73     0.00    31.36    99.94    48.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            39   71  +21      82.57     3.31    24.27     0.00    10.43    99.77    33.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   67  +20      78.93     3.52    23.75     0.00     2.37    96.83    23.93P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   60  +20      74.65     3.65    25.38     0.00     0.06    77.83    22.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   59  +12      70.39     3.37    14.65     0.00     0.01    18.73     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   58   +7      68.35     3.50     8.19     0.00     0.00     6.49     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   53   -6      61.70     3.43    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -3      61.28     3.57    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -8      61.88     3.49    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            39   51   -2      60.34     3.58    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        38   48   -9      57.69     3.61   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   47   -8      54.91     3.27    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   47  -13      54.91     3.50   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -7      53.56     3.32    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hull             39   44   -6      51.14     3.32    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Burnley          38   43  -10      54.37     3.91    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Southampton      38   42   -5      52.09     3.64    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Derby            39   42   -7      51.15     3.36    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   38  -18      45.13     3.25   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.48R    0.34  
Millwall         39   33  -23      40.40     3.22   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.74R    9.40  
Brighton         39   31  -26      39.01     3.36   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.31R   14.96  
Crewe            38   28  -35      35.12     3.35   -42.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.88R   75.30  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Gillingham vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        38   70  +26      85.23     3.59    32.42    74.87    91.28    99.98    94.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   64  +18      79.97     4.02    23.45    12.31    46.26    98.61    60.51P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   64  +14      77.47     3.90    17.89     3.62    19.38    94.57    35.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         38   63  +23      76.93     3.86    27.66     4.76    19.68    93.99    41.70P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      37   63  +13      77.25     4.07    15.71     3.73    18.82    93.44    37.38P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        38   61  +15      73.61     3.84    17.37     0.64     3.92    74.19    21.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          38   59   +2      71.09     3.85     3.71     0.06     0.68    39.59     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      38   52   +8      64.46     3.77    10.29     0.00     0.00     3.51     0.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    38   51   +0      61.37     3.81    -1.12     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.14P    0.20R    0.00  
Doncaster       38   51   +0      60.99     3.65    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.22R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      38   50   -4      61.61     3.88    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.12P    0.43R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   49   -2      59.83     3.76    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    1.10R    0.01  
Bradford        38   48   -1      58.67     3.74    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    1.44R    0.01  
Tranmere        38   47   +3      58.82     3.78     4.35     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    1.45R    0.01  
Port_Vale       37   47   -6      58.77     4.00    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.60R    0.07  
Bournemouth     37   45   -4      54.75     3.95    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.44R    0.51  
Yeovil          38   45  -10      54.80     3.75   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.87R    0.62  
Blackpool       38   44   -7      53.00     3.63   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.29R    1.67  
Gillingham      38   44  -18      52.31     3.62   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.73R    4.50  
Hartlepool      37   43   -9      53.00     3.81   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.05R    2.98  
Walsall         37   42  -14      53.52     4.09   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.48R    2.62  
Rotherham       38   40  -12      49.44     3.73   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.77R   14.59  
Swindon_Town    38   39  -18      47.62     3.64   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.59R   34.77  
Milton_Keynes   36   37  -17      47.59     4.10   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.33R   37.66  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 March 2006, Boston vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         37   68  +36      86.67     3.87    46.19    82.86    98.88   100.00    99.31P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   68  +23      80.51     3.81    25.20    11.26    77.44    99.91    84.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   65  +21      78.66     3.89    25.12     4.16    64.06    99.59    73.95P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   63  +17      76.56     3.72    20.93     1.19    36.42    98.78    55.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   63  +10      74.65     3.88    10.98     0.52    18.61    94.98    34.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       38   58   +5      70.57     3.76     7.42     0.02     2.62    75.58    17.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   56  +12      68.50     3.84    14.31     0.00     1.46    60.09    17.57P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   53   +6      65.01     4.06     5.37     0.00     0.20    22.54     5.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          37   51  +11      65.87     4.11    14.81     0.00     0.30    33.91     9.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   50   -9      59.83     3.74   -11.21     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington       37   49   +3      61.11     4.07     2.73     0.00     0.01     5.87     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   48   +1      58.94     3.84     0.81     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   48   -2      58.50     3.82    -2.63     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.28P    0.06R    0.01  
Boston           37   48   -7      59.44     3.97    -8.49     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.24P    0.09R    0.03  
Notts_County     38   48   -9      57.30     3.65   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    0.14R    0.01  
Rochdale         36   45   -1      58.62     4.35    -1.39     0.00     0.00     2.25     0.43P    0.25R    0.06  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.54     3.64   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.19R    3.83  
Macclesfield     37   42  -11      52.80     4.04   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     6.97R    2.15  
Oxford_Utd       38   42  -11      51.27     3.65   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.11R    3.06  
Bury             37   39  -13      49.84     4.03   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.23R    8.70  
Barnet           37   39  -14      50.20     4.05   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.11R    8.68  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.25     3.74   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.71R   18.77  
Rushden_&_D      38   38  -24      46.30     3.67   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.09R   41.33  
Chester          36   37   -9      49.04     4.25   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.98R   13.39  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Scarborough vs Canvey_Island; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      35   78  +29      91.35     3.36    35.23    96.86   100.00    97.64P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        34   67  +23      82.11     3.51    29.26     3.13    99.92    37.09P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         34   61  +12      74.34     3.73    15.57     0.01    86.61    18.23P    0.00     0.00  
York            34   57  +20      69.87     3.83    22.79     0.00    54.55    13.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       35   57  +13      68.91     3.48    16.55     0.00    39.01     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       34   54  +15      67.93     3.73    19.32     0.00    32.03     7.50P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.65     4.36    25.73     0.01    62.88    13.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.38     4.01    19.12     0.00    21.66     4.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          34   47   -2      59.48     3.87     0.39     0.00     0.30     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       34   47   -8      59.01     3.94    -6.48     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          32   45  +13      60.44     4.35    15.82     0.00     2.29     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       33   45   +0      57.04     4.10    -0.39     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       32   43   +3      57.78     4.28     4.62     0.00     0.28     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     34   42   -9      51.50     3.84   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   34   42  -10      51.37     3.68   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Kidderminster   34   39  -11      46.59     3.53   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.00  
Altrincham      33   37  -21      43.92     3.55   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.70R    0.20  
Crawley         33   32  -10      43.07     4.05   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.46R    1.47  
Forest_Green    34   31  -10      38.81     3.64   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.99R    8.16  
Southport       33   30  -30      37.06     3.52   -39.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.92R   27.86  
Scarborough     34   29  -21      36.32     3.42   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.05R   29.19  
Tamworth        33   28  -28      36.54     3.68   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.97R   33.12