Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 21 March 2006 at 23:53:14 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 March 2006, Newcastle vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         30   75  +39      92.17     3.43    48.71    97.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    29   63  +29      80.83     3.53    39.79     2.02    91.71    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   61  +21      74.36     3.40    26.23     0.01     8.08    97.81    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   52  +15      64.77     3.77    17.73     0.00     0.06    27.98    81.25     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      66.00     3.52    32.53     0.00     0.10    46.93    90.59     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   49   +5      61.41     3.80     7.19     0.00     0.00     5.45    42.93     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   48  +11      63.80     4.27    14.38     0.00     0.07    20.89    70.89     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   46   -1      57.77     3.69     0.17     0.00     0.00     0.94    12.32     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   43  -10      52.78     3.44   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   42   +0      52.09     3.92    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    30   40   +4      49.54     3.69     1.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   39   -5      49.93     3.77    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        30   39   -7      48.86     3.64    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          31   35  -11      45.99     3.58    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -7      45.60     3.50    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   34  -10      44.39     4.03   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   30   27  -18      33.38     3.29   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.92R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   24  -18      30.78     3.43   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.70R    0.04  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.41     3.40   -32.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.96R    0.07  
Sunderland      30   10  -35      15.35     3.04   -44.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Leeds vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          39   91  +56     106.81     2.99    66.20   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      39   75  +24      87.18     3.57    27.83     0.00    56.62   100.00    66.82P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   72  +26      85.02     3.38    31.68     0.00    30.93    99.97    48.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            39   71  +21      82.52     3.30    24.24     0.00     9.88    99.75    32.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   67  +20      78.94     3.48    23.77     0.00     2.51    97.12    23.77P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   60  +20      74.62     3.64    25.34     0.00     0.06    77.95    23.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   59  +12      70.32     3.35    14.56     0.00     0.00    18.36     4.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   58   +7      68.33     3.55     8.12     0.00     0.00     6.46     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   53   -6      61.77     3.43    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -3      61.31     3.56    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -8      61.83     3.46    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            39   51   -2      60.35     3.56    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        38   48   -9      57.71     3.63   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   47   -8      55.01     3.25    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            38   47  -13      54.90     3.48   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -7      53.45     3.32   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Hull             39   44   -6      51.12     3.31    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Burnley          38   43  -10      54.30     3.84    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Southampton      38   42   -5      52.17     3.67    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Derby            39   42   -7      51.10     3.33    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   38  -18      45.21     3.26   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.59R    0.26  
Millwall         39   33  -23      40.36     3.27   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.08R    9.71  
Brighton         39   31  -26      39.07     3.37   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.19R   14.93  
Crewe            38   28  -35      35.10     3.33   -42.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.09R   75.11  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Gillingham vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        38   70  +26      85.19     3.57    32.44    75.04    91.33    99.98    94.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   64  +18      79.92     4.00    23.32    12.29    45.69    98.40    59.44P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   64  +14      77.44     3.87    17.81     3.42    18.82    94.40    34.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         38   63  +23      76.95     3.82    27.70     4.66    19.71    93.92    41.90P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      37   63  +13      77.32     4.11    15.85     3.87    19.18    93.58    38.11P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        38   61  +15      73.69     3.85    17.53     0.61     4.53    75.25    23.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          38   59   +2      71.01     3.85     3.64     0.11     0.73    38.90     7.42P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      38   52   +8      64.50     3.77    10.35     0.00     0.01     3.54     0.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    38   51   +0      61.39     3.80    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.14P    0.18R    0.01  
Doncaster       38   51   +0      61.08     3.64    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    0.20R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      38   50   -4      61.51     3.88    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.09P    0.39R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   49   -2      59.78     3.77    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    1.01R    0.01  
Bradford        38   48   -1      58.70     3.75    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.50R    0.01  
Tranmere        38   47   +3      58.77     3.78     4.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.04P    1.49R    0.02  
Port_Vale       37   47   -6      58.81     4.04    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.69R    0.03  
Bournemouth     37   45   -4      54.74     3.97    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.60R    0.65  
Yeovil          38   45  -10      54.79     3.71   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.55R    0.61  
Blackpool       38   44   -7      53.03     3.64   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.70R    1.75  
Gillingham      38   44  -18      52.22     3.56   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.58R    4.80  
Hartlepool      37   43   -9      53.04     3.86   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.26R    3.10  
Walsall         37   42  -14      53.55     4.07   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.14R    2.52  
Rotherham       38   40  -12      49.37     3.70   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.73R   14.96  
Swindon_Town    38   39  -18      47.72     3.66   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.91R   33.88  
Milton_Keynes   36   37  -17      47.62     4.05   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.06R   37.66  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Rochdale vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         37   68  +36      86.53     3.92    46.01    81.98    99.06   100.00    99.41P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   68  +23      80.61     3.83    25.35    12.26    81.53    99.94    87.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   65  +21      78.66     3.87    25.17     4.42    68.19    99.58    77.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   63  +10      74.55     3.89    10.83     0.54    20.16    94.62    35.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   60  +16      74.98     4.00    20.03     0.78    25.73    96.23    47.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       38   58   +5      70.46     3.82     7.26     0.01     2.95    74.66    18.02P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   56  +12      68.47     3.83    14.25     0.01     1.79    59.65    17.11P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   53   +6      65.07     4.08     5.44     0.00     0.23    23.40     5.47P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          37   51  +11      65.88     4.07    14.79     0.00     0.35    34.32     9.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   50   -9      59.83     3.75   -11.26     0.00     0.00     1.76     0.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       37   49   +3      61.18     4.05     2.79     0.00     0.01     6.08     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   48   +1      59.00     3.88     0.90     0.00     0.00     1.65     0.31P    0.03R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       38   48   -2      58.44     3.80    -2.72     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.18P    0.06R    0.01  
Boston           36   48   -6      60.68     4.22    -7.64     0.00     0.01     4.17     0.76P    0.05R    0.01  
Notts_County     38   48   -9      57.35     3.68   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.09P    0.14R    0.02  
Rochdale         36   45   -1      58.68     4.38    -1.27     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.47P    0.19R    0.05  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.49     3.67   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.41R    3.92  
Macclesfield     37   42  -11      52.80     4.07   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.27R    2.26  
Oxford_Utd       38   42  -11      51.33     3.67   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.81R    3.02  
Bury             37   39  -13      49.83     4.04   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.55R    9.18  
Barnet           37   39  -14      50.23     4.04   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.27R    8.62  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.27     3.73   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.60R   19.07  
Rushden_&_D      38   38  -24      46.37     3.67   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.58R   40.59  
Chester          36   37   -9      49.06     4.26   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.05R   13.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 March 2006, Scarborough vs Canvey_Island; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      35   78  +29      91.27     3.36    35.14    96.53   100.00    97.55P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        34   67  +23      82.17     3.52    29.32     3.46    99.91    37.07P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         34   61  +12      74.43     3.75    15.68     0.01    87.17    18.00P    0.00     0.00  
York            34   57  +20      69.95     3.79    22.91     0.01    54.31    13.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       35   57  +13      68.99     3.50    16.67     0.00    39.48     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       34   54  +15      67.88     3.76    19.31     0.00    31.50     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.85     4.35    26.08     0.01    63.73    13.37P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.39     4.03    19.12     0.00    21.02     4.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          34   47   -2      59.48     3.88     0.38     0.00     0.29     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       34   47   -8      58.95     3.98    -6.65     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          32   45  +13      60.51     4.36    15.93     0.00     1.95     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       33   45   +0      56.81     4.08    -0.74     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       32   43   +3      57.73     4.31     4.52     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     34   42   -9      51.51     3.83   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   34   42  -10      51.43     3.65   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster   34   39  -11      46.57     3.52   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Altrincham      33   37  -21      43.87     3.53   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.66R    0.17  
Crawley         33   32  -10      42.99     4.02   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.81R    1.38  
Forest_Green    34   31  -10      38.81     3.69   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.51R    8.21  
Southport       33   30  -30      37.12     3.53   -39.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.14R   27.43  
Scarborough     34   29  -21      36.26     3.38   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.63R   29.81  
Tamworth        33   28  -28      36.60     3.75   -34.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.26R   33.01