Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 20 March 2006 at 23:53:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 March 2006, Newcastle vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         30   75  +39      92.03     3.45    48.49    97.78    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    29   63  +29      80.81     3.57    39.70     2.21    91.99    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   61  +21      74.33     3.40    26.16     0.00     7.79    97.80    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   52  +15      64.66     3.78    17.57     0.00     0.04    28.14    80.17     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      65.89     3.54    32.37     0.00     0.08    45.33    89.94     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   49   +5      61.43     3.82     7.21     0.00     0.00     5.76    43.69     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   48  +11      63.93     4.29    14.60     0.00     0.10    22.13    72.17     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   46   -1      57.70     3.67     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.85    11.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   43  -10      52.94     3.48   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   42   +0      52.22     3.93    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    30   40   +4      49.69     3.67     1.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   39   -5      49.95     3.74    -4.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        30   39   -7      48.78     3.67    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          31   35  -11      45.99     3.58    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -7      45.63     3.52    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   34  -10      44.31     3.98   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   30   27  -18      33.35     3.26   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.56R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   24  -18      30.72     3.38   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.94R    0.03  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.43     3.40   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.17R    0.09  
Sunderland      30   10  -35      15.41     3.07   -44.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 March 2006, Southampton vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          39   91  +56     106.68     3.01    66.03   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      39   75  +24      87.13     3.58    27.76     0.00    49.94   100.00    61.13P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   72  +26      85.13     3.38    31.85     0.00    28.30    99.97    46.36P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            38   71  +22      84.37     3.59    25.93     0.00    20.89    99.88    41.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   64  +19      76.77     3.77    22.03     0.00     0.84    90.33    20.46P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   60  +20      74.67     3.58    25.40     0.00     0.04    79.56    23.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   59  +12      70.41     3.37    14.67     0.00     0.00    22.05     5.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   58   +7      68.38     3.52     8.20     0.00     0.00     7.75     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   53   -6      61.78     3.41    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -3      61.17     3.55    -3.57     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -8      61.83     3.50    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            39   51   -2      60.36     3.52    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        38   48   -9      57.67     3.63   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   47   -8      54.99     3.25    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            38   47  -13      54.94     3.50   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -7      53.57     3.35    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Hull             39   44   -6      51.14     3.32    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Burnley          38   43  -10      54.36     3.88    -9.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Southampton      38   42   -5      52.11     3.63    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Derby            39   42   -7      51.23     3.36    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   38  -18      45.13     3.25   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.61R    0.29  
Millwall         39   33  -23      40.34     3.22   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.94R    9.27  
Brighton         39   31  -26      38.95     3.34   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.71R   15.75  
Crewe            38   28  -35      35.15     3.30   -42.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.08R   74.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        38   70  +26      85.20     3.60    32.44    66.17    88.88   100.00    92.48P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   64  +19      81.93     4.26    25.26    22.86    60.47    99.33    70.69P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   64  +14      77.49     3.87    17.88     2.62    14.83    94.37    32.93P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         38   63  +23      76.91     3.81    27.63     3.50    14.88    93.59    38.54P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      36   62  +13      77.48     4.39    15.59     4.33    17.43    92.66    35.28P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        38   61  +15      73.64     3.86    17.44     0.49     3.06    74.07    21.55P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          38   59   +2      71.13     3.90     3.81     0.03     0.47    39.59     7.21P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      38   52   +8      64.68     3.78    10.60     0.00     0.00     3.69     0.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    38   51   +0      61.48     3.83    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.12P    0.14R    0.00  
Doncaster       37   50   +0      61.42     3.94    -1.30     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.16P    0.24R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      38   50   -4      61.59     3.86    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.08P    0.23R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   49   -2      59.81     3.76    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.73R    0.00  
Tranmere        38   47   +3      58.87     3.80     4.43     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    1.20R    0.00  
Port_Vale       37   47   -6      58.85     4.06    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    1.99R    0.03  
Bradford        37   45   -2      57.23     4.01    -1.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    4.17R    0.13  
Bournemouth     37   45   -4      54.73     3.92    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.63R    0.42  
Blackpool       37   44   -6      54.15     3.88    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.00R    0.81  
Hartlepool      37   43   -9      53.00     3.85   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.18R    2.39  
Walsall         36   42  -12      55.54     4.40   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.33R    1.02  
Yeovil          37   42  -12      52.50     3.95   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.47R    3.23  
Gillingham      37   41  -19      49.85     3.79   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.99R   14.59  
Rotherham       38   40  -12      49.44     3.67   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.42R   12.15  
Swindon_Town    38   39  -18      47.63     3.65   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.16R   30.11  
Milton_Keynes   36   37  -17      47.51     4.07   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.11R   35.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Wycombe vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         37   68  +36      86.59     3.88    46.06    79.53    99.06   100.00    99.37P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   67  +23      81.25     4.11    25.75    15.60    83.11    99.89    88.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   65  +21      78.65     3.86    25.14     3.71    66.77    99.57    75.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   63  +10      74.57     3.89    10.89     0.43    19.21    94.20    35.37P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   60  +16      75.02     3.99    20.06     0.67    25.00    96.17    46.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       37   57   +5      71.02     4.09     7.50     0.06     4.43    76.17    19.91P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   56  +12      68.52     3.80    14.34     0.00     1.57    59.28    16.91P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   53   +6      65.19     4.06     5.61     0.00     0.20    23.00     5.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   50  +11      66.09     4.36    14.58     0.01     0.60    35.81     9.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   50   -9      59.86     3.75   -11.20     0.00     0.01     1.65     0.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       37   49   +3      61.02     4.06     2.58     0.00     0.00     5.21     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   48   +1      58.93     3.86     0.78     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   48   -2      58.30     3.77    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.14P    0.06R    0.01  
Boston           36   48   -6      60.68     4.16    -7.61     0.00     0.01     3.78     0.65P    0.04R    0.01  
Notts_County     38   48   -9      57.34     3.68   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.11R    0.01  
Rochdale         35   44   -1      58.76     4.64    -1.69     0.00     0.01     2.65     0.59P    0.41R    0.10  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.59     3.66   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.90R    3.69  
Macclesfield     37   42  -11      52.71     4.06   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    7.66R    2.32  
Oxford_Utd       37   41  -11      51.40     3.91   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   11.72R    3.84  
Barnet           37   39  -14      50.14     4.04   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.91R    9.06  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.19     3.74   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.63R   19.72  
Bury             36   38  -13      50.32     4.33   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.05R    8.72  
Rushden_&_D      38   38  -24      46.39     3.62   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.64R   40.38  
Chester          36   37   -9      49.34     4.27   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.82R   12.13  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Southport vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      34   78  +31      93.83     3.61    39.16    98.84   100.00    99.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        34   67  +23      82.11     3.48    29.27     1.15    99.89    34.69P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         34   61  +12      74.39     3.74    15.68     0.01    86.22    17.84P    0.00     0.00  
York            34   57  +20      69.94     3.80    22.86     0.00    53.49    13.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       35   57  +13      68.90     3.53    16.55     0.00    38.06     7.21P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       34   54  +15      67.84     3.75    19.21     0.00    30.01     6.73P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.70     4.31    25.90     0.01    62.02    13.68P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.42     4.05    19.18     0.00    21.30     5.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          34   47   -2      59.54     3.80     0.49     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          31   45  +14      63.26     4.55    19.13     0.00     8.27     2.22P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       33   45   +0      56.89     4.11    -0.62     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       33   44   -9      56.49     4.18    -9.20     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       32   43   +3      57.75     4.29     4.52     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     34   42   -9      51.53     3.80   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   33   39  -11      49.63     3.95   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Kidderminster   34   39  -11      46.58     3.49   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Altrincham      33   37  -21      43.80     3.53   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.06R    0.13  
Crawley         33   32  -10      43.13     4.03   -11.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.43R    1.01  
Forest_Green    34   31  -10      38.69     3.63   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.92R    5.67  
Scarborough     33   29  -20      37.79     3.76   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.84R   11.93  
Tamworth        33   28  -28      36.63     3.67   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.26R   23.84  
Southport       32   27  -32      34.15     3.64   -43.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.12R   57.44