Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 19 March 2006 at 23:53:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 March 2006, Newcastle vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         30   75  +39      91.98     3.48    48.38    97.48    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    29   63  +29      80.88     3.57    39.91     2.52    91.40    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   61  +21      74.41     3.42    26.27     0.00     8.40    97.94    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   52  +15      64.63     3.79    17.50     0.00     0.04    27.71    80.36     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      65.94     3.50    32.44     0.00     0.10    46.17    90.27     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   49   +5      61.45     3.80     7.20     0.00     0.00     5.61    44.12     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   48  +11      63.86     4.31    14.48     0.00     0.09    21.79    71.36     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   46   -1      57.72     3.68     0.10     0.00     0.00     0.78    11.92     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   43  -10      52.79     3.45   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   42   +0      52.15     3.91    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    30   40   +4      49.71     3.69     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   39   -5      49.95     3.75    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        30   39   -7      48.85     3.65    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   35  -11      45.95     3.56    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -7      45.61     3.52    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   34  -10      44.28     4.00   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   30   27  -18      33.49     3.31   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.65R    0.01  
Birmingham      29   24  -18      30.75     3.39   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.60R    0.03  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.40     3.43   -32.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.40R    0.09  
Sunderland      30   10  -35      15.38     3.05   -44.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Stoke vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          39   91  +56     106.71     3.01    66.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      39   75  +24      87.18     3.55    27.81     0.00    56.85   100.00    67.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            38   71  +22      84.45     3.57    26.08     0.00    24.48    99.94    44.63P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   69  +24      83.44     3.67    29.67     0.00    17.54    99.79    37.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   64  +19      76.73     3.76    21.93     0.00     1.03    90.34    20.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   60  +20      74.53     3.66    25.24     0.00     0.10    78.14    23.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   59  +12      70.47     3.35    14.75     0.00     0.00    22.82     5.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   58   +7      68.34     3.58     8.14     0.00     0.00     8.31     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   53   -6      61.71     3.42    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -3      61.23     3.58    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -8      61.87     3.49    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            39   51   -2      60.40     3.54    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        38   48   -9      57.79     3.64   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   47   -8      54.92     3.23    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            38   47  -13      54.88     3.46   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -7      53.58     3.33    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Hull             39   44   -6      51.19     3.33    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Burnley          38   43  -10      54.28     3.85    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Southampton      37   42   -3      53.54     3.94    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Derby            39   42   -7      51.14     3.36    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   38  -18      45.20     3.25   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.66R    0.33  
Millwall         39   33  -23      40.32     3.19   -26.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.76R    9.53  
Brighton         39   31  -26      38.88     3.33   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.08R   15.88  
Crewe            38   28  -35      35.19     3.32   -42.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.98R   74.27  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        38   70  +26      85.16     3.63    32.43    65.42    88.73    99.97    92.31P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   64  +19      82.00     4.27    25.28    23.57    61.62    99.24    71.86P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   64  +14      77.39     3.92    17.76     2.75    14.43    94.09    32.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         38   63  +23      76.96     3.87    27.71     3.73    15.21    93.56    38.30P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      36   62  +13      77.47     4.38    15.53     4.12    16.59    92.62    34.95P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        38   61  +15      73.65     3.85    17.45     0.38     2.99    74.39    21.62P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          38   59   +2      71.05     3.89     3.66     0.04     0.42    39.85     7.14P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      38   52   +8      64.56     3.80    10.42     0.00     0.00     3.67     0.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    38   51   +0      61.38     3.80    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.15P    0.12R    0.00  
Doncaster       37   50   +0      61.44     3.94    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.14P    0.21R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      38   50   -4      61.64     3.86    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.12P    0.29R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   49   -2      59.87     3.76    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.01P    0.82R    0.01  
Tranmere        38   47   +3      58.90     3.77     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.14R    0.02  
Port_Vale       37   47   -6      58.88     4.05    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    1.86R    0.01  
Bradford        37   45   -2      57.18     3.99    -2.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    4.08R    0.07  
Bournemouth     37   45   -4      54.71     3.93    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.90R    0.44  
Blackpool       37   44   -6      54.14     3.88    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.62R    0.93  
Hartlepool      37   43   -9      53.08     3.82   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.16R    2.13  
Walsall         36   42  -12      55.52     4.42   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.88R    1.08  
Yeovil          37   42  -12      52.60     3.96   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.42R    3.05  
Gillingham      37   41  -19      50.01     3.79   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.98R   13.69  
Rotherham       38   40  -12      49.27     3.72   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.23R   13.14  
Swindon_Town    38   39  -18      47.66     3.67   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.50R   30.30  
Milton_Keynes   36   37  -17      47.56     4.09   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.74R   35.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Wycombe vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         37   68  +36      86.69     3.90    46.25    80.19    99.03   100.00    99.35P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   67  +23      81.20     4.15    25.65    14.86    82.53    99.87    87.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   65  +21      78.64     3.88    25.16     3.89    67.23    99.51    75.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   63  +10      74.59     3.88    10.91     0.41    19.48    94.65    35.44P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   60  +16      75.01     4.00    20.08     0.62    24.95    95.91    46.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       37   57   +5      71.05     4.04     7.61     0.02     4.42    76.83    19.53P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   56  +12      68.51     3.86    14.29     0.00     1.55    58.63    16.88P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   53   +6      65.09     4.08     5.49     0.01     0.20    22.69     5.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   50  +11      65.98     4.41    14.41     0.00     0.57    34.96    10.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   50   -9      59.88     3.76   -11.11     0.00     0.01     1.70     0.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       37   49   +3      61.11     4.10     2.76     0.00     0.01     5.71     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   48   +1      58.99     3.93     0.86     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.34P    0.05R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       38   48   -2      58.42     3.75    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.24P    0.06R    0.01  
Boston           36   48   -6      60.76     4.22    -7.52     0.00     0.01     4.08     0.66P    0.04R    0.01  
Notts_County     38   48   -9      57.19     3.61   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.17R    0.01  
Rochdale         35   44   -1      58.75     4.65    -1.70     0.00     0.01     2.77     0.55P    0.38R    0.07  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.54     3.68   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.37R    3.99  
Macclesfield     37   42  -11      52.76     4.09   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.64R    2.19  
Oxford_Utd       37   41  -11      51.49     3.92   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   11.16R    3.71  
Barnet           37   39  -14      50.20     4.05   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.27R    8.64  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.22     3.74   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.33R   19.36  
Bury             36   38  -13      50.28     4.32   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.93R    8.60  
Rushden_&_D      38   38  -24      46.31     3.67   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.90R   41.04  
Chester          36   37   -9      49.20     4.29   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.71R   12.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Southport vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      34   78  +31      93.83     3.60    39.17    98.83   100.00    99.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        34   67  +23      82.11     3.49    29.25     1.17    99.92    35.06P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         34   61  +12      74.39     3.76    15.68     0.01    86.36    17.87P    0.00     0.00  
York            34   57  +20      69.89     3.87    22.81     0.00    52.25    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       35   57  +13      68.94     3.50    16.58     0.00    38.23     7.42P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       34   54  +15      67.86     3.76    19.26     0.00    30.67     7.37P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.79     4.30    26.04     0.01    63.30    13.52P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.37     4.04    19.07     0.00    20.11     4.41P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          34   47   -2      59.45     3.86     0.33     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          31   45  +14      63.21     4.61    19.13     0.00     8.41     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       33   45   +0      56.89     4.08    -0.59     0.00     0.15     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       33   44   -9      56.35     4.15    -9.45     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       32   43   +3      57.80     4.31     4.65     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     34   42   -9      51.58     3.84   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   33   39  -11      49.54     3.94   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Kidderminster   34   39  -11      46.51     3.50   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89R    0.00  
Altrincham      33   37  -21      43.85     3.52   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.88R    0.12  
Crawley         33   32  -10      43.17     4.02   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.05R    0.99  
Forest_Green    34   31  -10      38.77     3.64   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.23R    5.92  
Scarborough     33   29  -20      37.82     3.72   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.02R   11.74  
Tamworth        33   28  -28      36.64     3.72   -34.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.34R   24.14  
Southport       32   27  -32      34.19     3.64   -43.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.14R   57.10