Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 18 March 2006 at 23:53:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, West_Ham vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         29   75  +40      94.46     3.70    51.32    99.16   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    29   63  +29      80.82     3.53    39.70     0.84    94.99    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   58  +19      72.60     3.70    24.03     0.00     4.70    93.69    99.62     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   52  +15      64.64     3.78    17.54     0.00     0.10    28.59    79.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   50  +25      65.94     3.56    32.45     0.00     0.14    47.33    90.02     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   49   +5      61.54     3.84     7.34     0.00     0.00     6.24    44.47     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   48  +11      63.94     4.28    14.61     0.00     0.07    23.34    71.57     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   46   -1      57.72     3.64     0.10     0.00     0.00     0.82    11.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   43  -10      52.86     3.44   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   42   +0      52.20     3.93    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.97     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    30   40   +4      49.61     3.67     1.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   39   -3      51.30     3.97    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        30   39   -7      48.80     3.61    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   34   -7      45.73     3.57    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   34  -10      44.33     3.98   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22R    0.00  
Fulham          30   32  -12      43.47     3.77   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   30   27  -18      33.38     3.30   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.55R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   24  -18      30.60     3.34   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.86R    0.06  
Portsmouth      30   24  -27      31.34     3.40   -32.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.89R    0.07  
Sunderland      30   10  -35      15.37     3.04   -44.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Stoke vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          39   91  +56     106.75     2.99    66.09   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      39   75  +24      87.15     3.58    27.79     0.00    56.99   100.00    67.07P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            38   71  +22      84.39     3.59    25.97     0.00    24.09    99.92    43.75P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   69  +24      83.41     3.69    29.65     0.00    17.84    99.69    37.41P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   64  +19      76.76     3.73    21.96     0.00     0.97    90.73    20.81P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          38   60  +20      74.73     3.62    25.47     0.00     0.10    79.94    24.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   59  +12      70.41     3.38    14.68     0.00     0.00    21.85     5.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   58   +7      68.26     3.53     8.03     0.00     0.00     7.33     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   53   -6      61.76     3.43    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   52   -3      61.23     3.56    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -8      61.93     3.50    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            39   51   -2      60.44     3.56    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        38   48   -9      57.79     3.63   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   47   -8      54.89     3.24    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            38   47  -13      54.85     3.52   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        39   46   -7      53.51     3.35    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hull             39   44   -6      51.05     3.30    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Burnley          38   43  -10      54.21     3.84    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Southampton      37   42   -3      53.53     3.93    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Derby            39   42   -7      51.20     3.37    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      39   38  -18      45.19     3.22   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.55R    0.36  
Millwall         39   33  -23      40.38     3.22   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.81R    8.99  
Brighton         39   31  -26      38.94     3.32   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.06R   15.57  
Crewe            38   28  -35      35.16     3.35   -42.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.06R   75.07  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        38   70  +26      85.18     3.62    32.43    65.92    88.37    99.98    91.77P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   64  +19      81.83     4.27    25.09    22.43    59.94    99.33    70.61P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   64  +14      77.55     3.92    17.99     2.98    15.06    94.55    33.12P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         38   63  +23      76.99     3.80    27.74     3.71    15.31    94.08    39.09P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      36   62  +13      77.65     4.39    15.86     4.54    18.11    92.82    36.74P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        38   61  +15      73.56     3.87    17.32     0.41     2.81    73.30    20.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          38   59   +2      71.10     3.86     3.72     0.01     0.41    39.81     7.24P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      38   52   +8      64.61     3.79    10.46     0.00     0.00     3.73     0.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    38   51   +0      61.39     3.82    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.15P    0.15R    0.00  
Doncaster       37   50   +0      61.41     3.93    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.11P    0.26R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      38   50   -4      61.48     3.85    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P    0.35R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   49   -2      59.80     3.76    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.78R    0.01  
Tranmere        38   47   +3      58.81     3.79     4.34     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P    1.26R    0.01  
Port_Vale       37   47   -6      58.60     4.02    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.27R    0.03  
Bradford        37   45   -2      57.36     4.04    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.13R    0.07  
Bournemouth     37   45   -4      54.71     3.98    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.44R    0.39  
Blackpool       37   44   -6      54.15     3.90    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.48R    0.83  
Hartlepool      37   43   -9      53.00     3.81   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.66R    2.42  
Walsall         36   42  -12      55.52     4.44   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   14.86R    1.09  
Yeovil          37   42  -12      52.50     3.99   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.95R    3.65  
Gillingham      37   41  -19      50.00     3.80   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.84R   14.34  
Rotherham       38   40  -12      49.34     3.70   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.46R   13.55  
Swindon_Town    38   39  -18      47.72     3.67   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.77R   30.41  
Milton_Keynes   36   37  -17      47.79     4.12   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.32R   33.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Wycombe vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         37   68  +36      86.54     3.87    46.02    79.63    99.06   100.00    99.42P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   67  +23      81.20     4.14    25.65    15.13    82.53    99.89    87.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          38   65  +21      78.69     3.85    25.23     4.12    67.48    99.70    76.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   63  +10      74.68     3.89    11.05     0.42    19.61    94.83    36.16P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   60  +16      74.96     4.02    20.00     0.63    24.47    95.92    46.11P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       37   57   +5      71.11     4.08     7.70     0.07     4.74    77.22    19.88P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   56  +12      68.42     3.82    14.22     0.00     1.38    58.27    16.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        37   53   +6      65.01     4.04     5.36     0.00     0.23    21.98     4.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   50  +11      65.98     4.32    14.43     0.00     0.51    34.84     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   50   -9      59.89     3.78   -11.14     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       37   49   +3      61.06     4.08     2.63     0.00     0.01     5.46     1.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        38   48   +1      58.93     3.87     0.74     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   48   -2      58.39     3.79    -2.75     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.17P    0.04R    0.01  
Boston           36   48   -6      60.80     4.20    -7.46     0.00     0.00     4.08     0.69P    0.03R    0.01  
Notts_County     38   48   -9      57.36     3.63   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    0.18R    0.02  
Rochdale         35   44   -1      58.85     4.67    -1.53     0.00     0.01     3.18     0.67P    0.43R    0.12  
Stockport        38   43  -17      51.56     3.68   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.38R    3.85  
Macclesfield     37   42  -11      52.72     4.04   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     7.26R    2.21  
Oxford_Utd       37   41  -11      51.48     3.91   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    10.69R    3.33  
Barnet           37   39  -14      50.11     4.05   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.01R    9.21  
Torquay          38   39  -18      48.19     3.74   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.81R   19.24  
Bury             36   38  -13      50.41     4.28   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.59R    8.04  
Rushden_&_D      38   38  -24      46.26     3.67   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.94R   41.88  
Chester          36   37   -9      49.18     4.26   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.61R   12.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2006, Southport vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      34   78  +31      93.91     3.57    39.27    99.03   100.00    99.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        34   67  +23      82.11     3.52    29.27     0.97    99.94    35.16P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         34   61  +12      74.33     3.72    15.57     0.00    85.94    17.36P    0.00     0.00  
York            34   57  +20      69.85     3.84    22.77     0.00    52.00    12.64P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       35   57  +13      68.98     3.53    16.63     0.00    39.00     7.68P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       34   54  +15      67.94     3.72    19.33     0.00    31.16     7.54P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.79     4.31    26.04     0.00    62.38    13.51P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.37     4.04    19.10     0.00    20.51     4.71P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          34   47   -2      59.50     3.85     0.41     0.00     0.30     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          31   45  +14      63.25     4.58    19.13     0.00     8.29     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       33   45   +0      56.93     4.07    -0.50     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       33   44   -9      56.41     4.17    -9.32     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       32   43   +3      57.88     4.31     4.71     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     34   42   -9      51.49     3.82   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   33   39  -11      49.53     3.92   -13.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Kidderminster   34   39  -11      46.60     3.50   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.00  
Altrincham      33   37  -21      43.89     3.51   -29.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.44R    0.08  
Crawley         33   32  -10      43.07     4.04   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.82R    0.88  
Forest_Green    34   31  -10      38.69     3.66   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.92R    5.96  
Scarborough     33   29  -20      37.75     3.71   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.60R   12.09  
Tamworth        33   28  -28      36.69     3.69   -33.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.89R   22.71  
Southport       32   27  -32      34.10     3.61   -43.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.07R   58.28