Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 17 March 2006 at 23:53:15 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 March 2006, Liverpool vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         29   75  +40      94.38     3.71    51.15    99.30   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    28   60  +28      79.87     3.83    39.61     0.70    92.20    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   58  +19      72.64     3.69    24.07     0.00     7.27    95.50    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49  +13      63.26     4.05    15.89     0.00     0.12    24.25    74.28     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   47  +22      65.13     3.79    30.68     0.00     0.23    47.14    89.16     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +4      60.58     4.09     7.48     0.00     0.01     7.12    44.61     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   45   +9      63.29     4.46    14.18     0.00     0.17    24.84    73.16     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           29   43   -2      55.40     3.94    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.54     7.57     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   42   +2      55.08     4.17     0.12     0.00     0.00     0.58     7.60     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    29   40   +5      51.45     3.96     3.55     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.93     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   40  -13      50.46     3.68   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   39   -3      51.13     4.00    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.97     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        29   39   -4      49.75     3.85    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   34   -4      47.47     3.81    -2.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   34   -9      45.12     4.19   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.20R    0.00  
Fulham          30   32  -12      43.42     3.74   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   29   27  -17      34.01     3.49   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.37R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   24  -16      31.98     3.72   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.38R    0.03  
Portsmouth      29   21  -29      28.26     3.48   -37.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.51R    1.16  
Sunderland      29   10  -33      15.98     3.24   -43.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.81  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Preston vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          38   90  +56     108.04     3.20    67.50   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      38   75  +25      88.91     3.86    29.35     0.01    65.91   100.00    73.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   70  +22      84.94     3.85    26.28     0.00    21.30    99.88    41.16P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   69  +24      83.45     3.67    29.68     0.00    11.04    99.67    31.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   63  +19      78.00     3.99    23.35     0.00     1.40    93.97    21.17P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          37   60  +22      76.95     3.84    28.66     0.00     0.35    91.17    29.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   58  +12      69.88     3.56    13.47     0.00     0.00    12.62     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   55   +6      66.45     3.79     6.81     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   51   -3      61.35     3.81    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   51   -8      61.40     3.66    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -7      59.78     3.67    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            38   48   -3      59.25     3.88    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   47   -7      56.31     3.56    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        37   47   -9      58.83     3.92   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   44  -14      53.17     3.76   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Leicester        38   43   -8      51.76     3.59   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Burnley          37   43   -9      55.70     4.14    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Southampton      37   42   -3      53.50     3.91    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Derby            38   42   -6      52.20     3.64    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Hull             38   41   -7      50.17     3.61    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      38   35  -20      42.67     3.42   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.81R    3.84  
Millwall         38   33  -22      41.76     3.55   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.08R    6.83  
Brighton         38   30  -26      38.80     3.56   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.03R   21.80  
Crewe            37   28  -34      35.94     3.57   -42.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.52R   67.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 March 2006, Tranmere vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        37   70  +27      87.27     3.88    34.43    80.00    95.05   100.00    96.70P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   64  +19      81.75     4.29    24.99    14.30    60.95    99.53    71.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         38   63  +23      76.83     3.83    27.50     2.06    14.53    95.58    39.28P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   61  +11      76.08     4.16    15.25     0.84     9.35    91.50    26.77P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        37   60  +15      74.19     4.14    17.70     0.57     4.86    83.45    25.50P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      35   59  +12      76.69     4.66    15.80     2.21    15.07    91.64    32.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          37   56   -1      68.87     4.13    -0.06     0.01     0.19    26.04     4.55P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    37   51   +1      63.53     4.13     1.16     0.00     0.01     4.60     0.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Doncaster       36   50   +1      63.02     4.20     0.07     0.00     0.01     3.31     0.60P    0.07R    0.00  
Nottingham      37   49   +7      62.56     4.06     8.90     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.60P    0.14R    0.00  
Tranmere        38   47   +3      58.92     3.81     4.49     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    1.23R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      37   47   -5      59.37     4.16    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.06P    2.21R    0.05  
Port_Vale       36   47   -5      59.97     4.26    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.17P    1.44R    0.01  
Bristol_City    37   46   -8      57.89     4.00    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P    4.75R    0.07  
Bradford        36   45   +1      59.36     4.26     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.12P    1.75R    0.01  
Bournemouth     36   42   -5      53.42     4.19    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    24.57R    1.33  
Hartlepool      36   42   -9      53.38     4.12   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.72R    2.01  
Yeovil          36   42  -11      53.64     4.18   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.44R    1.61  
Walsall         36   42  -12      55.51     4.38   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   15.57R    0.71  
Blackpool       36   41   -7      52.46     4.19   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   33.23R    2.67  
Gillingham      36   41  -13      51.77     4.14   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.01R    5.14  
Rotherham       37   40   -9      50.53     3.93   -11.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.24R    7.20  
Swindon_Town    37   39  -17      48.48     3.88   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.57R   19.91  
Milton_Keynes   35   34  -18      44.92     4.24   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.03R   59.26  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 March 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         36   65  +31      84.62     4.24    40.38    61.09    94.06    99.99    96.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   65  +22      81.04     4.08    27.92    17.71    76.25    99.85    83.23P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   64  +22      80.36     4.31    25.79    15.76    68.62    99.63    77.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   63  +11      76.34     4.15    12.47     2.45    25.41    96.85    40.47P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   60  +17      76.64     4.22    21.47     2.93    31.51    97.61    51.70P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   55  +12      69.50     4.08    15.14     0.01     1.96    65.52    18.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   54   +4      69.22     4.33     6.38     0.03     1.42    57.84    12.91P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   53   +7      66.61     4.29     6.79     0.01     0.55    34.16     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   50   -8      61.22     4.04   -10.18     0.00     0.00     3.96     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   49   +8      63.04     4.38     8.51     0.01     0.04    13.78     3.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          35   47  +10      64.15     4.61    13.17     0.00     0.15    20.95     5.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     37   47   -9      57.95     3.92   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.11P    0.07R    0.01  
Mansfield        37   45   +0      57.06     4.15    -0.55     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.14P    0.20R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       37   45   -3      56.99     4.05    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.07P    0.20R    0.02  
Boston           35   45   -7      58.92     4.47    -8.75     0.00     0.01     2.24     0.40P    0.27R    0.04  
Rochdale         34   44   +0      60.16     4.83    -0.64     0.00     0.02     5.51     0.95P    0.07R    0.00  
Macclesfield     36   42   -9      54.24     4.38   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    2.73R    0.57  
Oxford_Utd       36   40  -11      51.50     4.19   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.12R    2.00  
Stockport        37   40  -19      49.95     3.96   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.00R    5.21  
Bury             35   38  -12      51.12     4.47   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    10.85R    3.06  
Barnet           36   38  -14      49.69     4.21   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.15R    6.16  
Chester          35   37   -8      50.82     4.60    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.04R    3.55  
Torquay          37   36  -19      45.55     3.89   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.05R   30.21  
Rushden_&_D      37   35  -25      44.23     3.87   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.26R   49.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      33   77  +31      94.78     3.87    40.12    99.53   100.00    99.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        33   64  +22      80.44     3.83    28.32     0.46    99.31    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         33   60  +12      75.00     3.99    16.05     0.01    85.86    17.68P    0.00     0.00  
York            33   56  +20      70.59     4.17    23.24     0.01    54.71    14.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       34   56  +13      68.68     3.71    15.58     0.00    31.48     6.16P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       33   54  +17      69.70     4.03    21.95     0.00    45.20    11.87P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.71     4.30    25.86     0.00    57.69    12.48P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.48     4.02    19.29     0.00    17.78     4.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          33   47   -1      60.82     4.12     1.43     0.00     0.89     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          31   45  +14      63.28     4.59    19.20     0.00     6.91     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       32   42   -2      55.75     4.27    -1.87     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     33   41   -9      51.67     4.08   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Aldershot       32   41  -12      54.23     4.40   -13.28     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       31   40   +1      55.75     4.57     1.97     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   33   39   -8      48.59     3.87   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   32   38  -11      49.43     4.20   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.01  
Altrincham      32   36  -21      44.18     3.80   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.79R    0.36  
Forest_Green    33   31   -9      39.88     3.91   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.00R    4.72  
Crawley         32   29  -11      41.76     4.34   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.89R    3.71  
Scarborough     33   29  -20      37.79     3.77   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.36R   14.76  
Tamworth        32   28  -26      37.44     3.90   -32.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.80R   21.82  
Southport       31   26  -32      34.70     4.00   -43.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.83R   54.61