Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 16 March 2006 at 23:53:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 March 2006, Liverpool vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         29   75  +40      94.34     3.71    51.06    99.28   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    28   60  +28      79.92     3.84    39.75     0.72    92.06    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   58  +19      72.66     3.68    24.11     0.00     7.45    95.65    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49  +13      63.25     4.06    15.83     0.00     0.07    24.60    74.10     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   47  +22      65.10     3.76    30.58     0.00     0.27    46.41    89.38     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +4      60.56     4.11     7.43     0.00     0.01     6.90    43.97     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   45   +9      63.31     4.46    14.31     0.00     0.15    25.24    72.89     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           29   43   -2      55.40     3.94    -1.96     0.00     0.01     0.56     7.73     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   42   +2      55.11     4.21     0.17     0.00     0.00     0.58     8.17     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    29   40   +5      51.50     4.00     3.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.12     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   40  -13      50.61     3.74   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   39   -3      51.24     3.99    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.92     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        29   39   -4      49.67     3.79    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   34   -4      47.35     3.83    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   34   -9      45.06     4.24   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.21R    0.00  
Fulham          30   32  -12      43.52     3.79   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   29   27  -17      34.06     3.49   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.33R    0.01  
Birmingham      28   24  -16      31.92     3.71   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.39R    0.01  
Portsmouth      29   21  -29      28.25     3.49   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.52R    1.00  
Sunderland      29   10  -33      15.87     3.23   -43.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Preston vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          38   90  +56     108.05     3.22    67.50   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      38   75  +25      88.99     3.87    29.49     0.00    66.86   100.00    74.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   70  +22      84.85     3.88    26.13     0.00    20.38    99.88    39.98P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   69  +24      83.48     3.68    29.74     0.00    10.96    99.66    31.99P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   63  +19      77.89     3.99    23.13     0.00     1.48    93.42    20.79P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          37   60  +22      76.88     3.82    28.55     0.00     0.33    90.92    28.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   58  +12      69.93     3.57    13.52     0.00     0.00    13.12     3.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   55   +6      66.43     3.81     6.77     0.00     0.00     2.58     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   51   -3      61.37     3.84    -3.85     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   51   -8      61.44     3.69    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -7      59.70     3.65    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            38   48   -3      59.07     3.86    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   47   -7      56.39     3.57    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        37   47   -9      58.76     3.93   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   44  -14      53.34     3.78   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Leicester        38   43   -8      51.75     3.56   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Burnley          37   43   -9      55.78     4.15    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Southampton      37   42   -3      53.41     3.92    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Derby            38   42   -6      52.24     3.62    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.01  
Hull             38   41   -7      50.11     3.60    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      38   35  -20      42.60     3.40   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.21R    3.89  
Millwall         38   33  -22      41.89     3.55   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.72R    6.53  
Brighton         38   30  -26      38.80     3.62   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.06R   22.52  
Crewe            37   28  -34      36.02     3.58   -42.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.48R   67.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        37   70  +27      87.27     3.84    34.44    74.57    95.31   100.00    96.85P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   64  +20      83.04     4.56    25.81    20.93    70.62    99.68    78.69P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   61  +11      76.07     4.11    15.25     0.84     7.97    92.20    25.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   60  +22      75.40     4.09    26.78     1.28     9.14    90.85    33.37P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        37   60  +15      74.31     4.12    17.90     0.48     4.30    84.69    25.95P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      35   59  +12      76.63     4.62    15.71     1.88    12.52    92.03    32.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          37   56   -1      68.83     4.12    -0.12     0.00     0.14    27.05     4.57P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    37   51   +1      63.49     4.12     1.05     0.00     0.00     4.79     0.91P    0.05R    0.00  
Doncaster       36   50   +1      62.89     4.21    -0.08     0.00     0.00     3.07     0.61P    0.10R    0.00  
Nottingham      37   49   +7      62.68     4.02     9.10     0.00     0.00     2.75     0.66P    0.09R    0.00  
Tranmere        37   47   +4      61.02     4.04     6.52     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.25P    0.34R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      37   47   -5      59.37     4.16    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P    2.01R    0.01  
Port_Vale       36   47   -5      60.07     4.31    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.09P    1.22R    0.01  
Bristol_City    37   46   -8      57.86     3.96    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    4.14R    0.06  
Bradford        36   45   +1      59.38     4.29     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.18P    1.54R    0.01  
Bournemouth     36   42   -5      53.35     4.18    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.26R    1.36  
Hartlepool      36   42   -9      53.38     4.10   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.73R    1.78  
Yeovil          36   42  -11      53.79     4.25   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.47R    1.31  
Blackpool       36   41   -7      52.47     4.16   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.14R    2.42  
Gillingham      36   41  -13      51.78     4.15   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.33R    5.03  
Rotherham       37   40   -9      50.50     3.89   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    48.65R    6.48  
Walsall         35   39  -13      52.99     4.62   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.75R    3.37  
Swindon_Town    37   39  -17      48.46     3.85   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.42R   19.40  
Milton_Keynes   35   34  -18      44.84     4.19   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.78R   58.75  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 March 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         36   65  +31      84.57     4.22    40.27    60.92    93.80    99.97    95.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   65  +22      81.05     4.07    27.93    17.11    75.82    99.87    82.40P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   64  +22      80.34     4.34    25.81    15.98    67.39    99.62    76.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   63  +11      76.58     4.22    12.77     2.88    27.64    96.96    42.35P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   60  +17      76.70     4.26    21.59     3.06    31.42    97.70    51.69P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   55  +12      69.50     4.11    15.13     0.01     1.89    66.22    18.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   54   +4      69.24     4.35     6.29     0.03     1.45    58.28    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   53   +7      66.40     4.30     6.49     0.01     0.40    32.23     7.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   50   -8      61.15     4.02   -10.35     0.00     0.00     3.51     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   49   +8      63.10     4.34     8.65     0.00     0.04    13.66     3.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          35   47  +10      64.16     4.67    13.12     0.00     0.14    21.95     6.09P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     37   47   -9      57.93     3.94   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.11P    0.12R    0.01  
Mansfield        37   45   +0      57.17     4.18    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.13P    0.14R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       37   45   -3      57.04     4.06    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.11P    0.20R    0.01  
Boston           35   45   -7      58.93     4.45    -8.70     0.00     0.00     2.01     0.36P    0.13R    0.01  
Rochdale         34   44   +0      60.27     4.86    -0.47     0.00     0.01     5.88     1.13P    0.12R    0.01  
Macclesfield     36   42   -9      54.12     4.37   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    2.96R    0.59  
Oxford_Utd       36   40  -11      51.46     4.15   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.82R    1.74  
Stockport        37   40  -19      50.14     3.98   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.77R    5.18  
Bury             35   38  -12      50.91     4.48   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.87R    3.28  
Barnet           36   38  -14      49.59     4.24   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.76R    6.37  
Chester          35   37   -8      50.79     4.55    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   11.61R    3.51  
Torquay          37   36  -19      45.55     3.86   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.15R   29.86  
Rushden_&_D      37   35  -25      44.21     3.88   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.36R   49.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      33   77  +31      94.86     3.84    40.26    99.54   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        33   64  +22      80.52     3.79    28.39     0.46    99.34    33.30P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         33   60  +12      75.00     4.02    16.05     0.01    85.93    17.98P    0.00     0.00  
York            33   56  +20      70.48     4.15    23.05     0.00    54.06    13.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       34   56  +13      68.59     3.78    15.42     0.00    31.25     6.11P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       33   54  +17      69.55     4.00    21.70     0.00    44.55    11.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.58     4.33    25.67     0.00    57.22    11.85P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.50     4.07    19.28     0.00    19.05     4.42P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          33   47   -1      60.84     4.10     1.43     0.00     1.04     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          31   45  +14      63.21     4.58    19.14     0.00     7.30     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       32   42   -2      55.92     4.36    -1.64     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     33   41   -9      51.62     4.12   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Aldershot       32   41  -12      54.12     4.42   -13.42     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       31   40   +1      55.66     4.53     1.82     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   33   39   -8      48.70     3.85   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   32   38  -11      49.54     4.14   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.01  
Altrincham      32   36  -21      44.06     3.83   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.44R    0.40  
Forest_Green    33   31   -9      39.90     3.94   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.30R    5.21  
Crawley         32   29  -11      41.74     4.35   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.54R    3.89  
Scarborough     33   29  -20      37.85     3.73   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.02R   14.95  
Tamworth        32   28  -26      37.59     3.92   -32.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.73R   20.66  
Southport       31   26  -32      34.80     3.98   -43.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.94R   54.89