Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 15 March 2006 at 23:53:16 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 March 2006, Liverpool vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         29   75  +40      94.42     3.65    51.22    99.42   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    28   60  +28      79.81     3.83    39.49     0.58    91.78    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   58  +19      72.62     3.69    24.00     0.00     7.70    95.72    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49  +13      63.24     4.06    15.87     0.00     0.07    24.56    74.06     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   47  +22      65.10     3.79    30.60     0.00     0.30    47.23    89.14     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +4      60.55     4.07     7.38     0.00     0.00     6.67    44.05     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   45   +9      63.31     4.49    14.28     0.00     0.15    24.91    73.23     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           29   43   -2      55.42     3.95    -1.91     0.00     0.00     0.51     7.88     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   42   +2      55.15     4.18     0.22     0.00     0.00     0.44     8.05     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    29   40   +5      51.45     3.95     3.51     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.84     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   40  -13      50.62     3.72   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   39   -3      51.13     4.01    -2.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        29   39   -4      49.67     3.80    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   34   -4      47.30     3.87    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   34   -9      45.09     4.23   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.27R    0.00  
Fulham          30   32  -12      43.41     3.77   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   29   27  -17      34.11     3.51   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.88R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   24  -16      31.99     3.73   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.62R    0.03  
Portsmouth      29   21  -29      28.30     3.49   -36.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.75R    1.04  
Sunderland      29   10  -33      15.96     3.22   -43.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.92  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Preston vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          38   90  +56     108.02     3.24    67.40   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      38   75  +25      89.01     3.86    29.52     0.01    66.71   100.00    74.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   70  +22      84.90     3.86    26.25     0.00    20.55    99.89    40.56P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   69  +24      83.43     3.71    29.68     0.00    11.09    99.68    30.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   63  +19      77.97     4.02    23.31     0.00     1.42    93.51    21.41P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          37   60  +22      76.88     3.83    28.58     0.00     0.24    90.75    29.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   58  +12      69.98     3.53    13.57     0.00     0.00    13.38     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   55   +6      66.48     3.78     6.88     0.00     0.00     2.50     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   51   -3      61.33     3.80    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   51   -8      61.42     3.70    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -7      59.65     3.67    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            38   48   -3      59.16     3.87    -3.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   47   -7      56.34     3.55    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        37   47   -9      58.86     3.90   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   44  -14      53.22     3.76   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.01  
Leicester        38   43   -8      51.79     3.61   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Burnley          37   43   -9      55.67     4.14    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Southampton      37   42   -3      53.64     3.90    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Derby            38   42   -6      52.27     3.68    -7.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Hull             38   41   -7      50.14     3.60    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      38   35  -20      42.72     3.41   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.01R    3.56  
Millwall         38   33  -22      41.78     3.54   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.38R    6.88  
Brighton         38   30  -26      38.70     3.58   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.38R   22.16  
Crewe            37   28  -34      35.92     3.55   -42.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.70R   67.40  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        37   70  +27      87.45     3.85    34.69    76.05    95.56   100.00    96.91P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   64  +20      82.98     4.57    25.75    19.92    70.39    99.69    78.37P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   61  +11      76.09     4.18    15.28     0.72     8.61    92.02    26.11P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   60  +22      75.31     4.13    26.67     1.15     8.79    90.39    33.25P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        37   60  +15      74.22     4.11    17.72     0.42     4.20    83.93    25.56P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      35   59  +12      76.59     4.62    15.67     1.74    12.27    91.81    32.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          37   56   -1      68.93     4.11     0.06     0.00     0.15    28.09     4.95P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    37   51   +1      63.57     4.12     1.19     0.00     0.01     4.97     0.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Doncaster       36   50   +1      62.97     4.22    -0.04     0.00     0.01     3.29     0.59P    0.12R    0.00  
Nottingham      37   49   +7      62.61     4.03     8.99     0.00     0.00     2.75     0.61P    0.10R    0.00  
Tranmere        37   47   +4      60.98     4.08     6.46     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.21P    0.52R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      37   47   -5      59.38     4.14    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.06P    1.88R    0.03  
Port_Vale       36   47   -5      60.14     4.29    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.14P    1.25R    0.01  
Bristol_City    37   46   -8      57.89     3.97    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.27R    0.06  
Bradford        36   45   +1      59.41     4.26     2.21     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.14P    1.52R    0.03  
Bournemouth     36   42   -5      53.34     4.24    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.53R    1.56  
Hartlepool      36   42   -9      53.25     4.11   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   25.44R    1.92  
Yeovil          36   42  -11      53.74     4.28   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.66R    1.53  
Blackpool       36   41   -7      52.46     4.17   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.61R    2.67  
Gillingham      36   41  -13      51.73     4.15   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.70R    5.23  
Rotherham       37   40   -9      50.45     3.92   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   48.97R    6.74  
Walsall         35   39  -13      52.97     4.58   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.23R    3.22  
Swindon_Town    37   39  -17      48.49     3.90   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.27R   19.55  
Milton_Keynes   35   34  -18      44.95     4.26   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.89R   57.46  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 March 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         36   65  +31      84.45     4.25    40.07    60.16    93.89    99.99    96.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   65  +22      80.90     4.07    27.72    17.02    75.36    99.81    82.04P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   64  +22      80.37     4.34    25.81    17.02    68.11    99.61    77.95P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   63  +11      76.51     4.15    12.72     2.85    27.34    96.97    42.60P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   60  +17      76.60     4.25    21.48     2.88    31.32    97.44    51.35P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   55  +12      69.44     4.09    15.05     0.02     1.81    65.31    18.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   54   +4      69.21     4.38     6.33     0.04     1.46    57.58    12.57P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   53   +7      66.56     4.32     6.75     0.01     0.47    33.53     7.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   50   -8      61.16     4.02   -10.33     0.00     0.01     3.54     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   49   +8      63.16     4.31     8.73     0.00     0.04    13.95     3.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          35   47  +10      64.16     4.69    13.15     0.01     0.17    21.93     5.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     37   47   -9      57.93     3.99   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.14P    0.07R    0.00  
Mansfield        37   45   +0      57.12     4.13    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.12P    0.16R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       37   45   -3      57.04     4.09    -3.41     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.18P    0.24R    0.02  
Boston           35   45   -7      59.04     4.43    -8.58     0.00     0.01     2.09     0.35P    0.17R    0.01  
Rochdale         34   44   +0      60.26     4.93    -0.49     0.00     0.04     6.12     1.26P    0.09R    0.03  
Macclesfield     36   42   -9      54.24     4.36   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P    2.82R    0.54  
Oxford_Utd       36   40  -11      51.52     4.16   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     7.66R    1.73  
Stockport        37   40  -19      50.01     3.98   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.03R    5.25  
Bury             35   38  -12      51.01     4.48   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.02R    3.35  
Barnet           36   38  -14      49.68     4.22   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.13R    5.87  
Chester          35   37   -8      50.71     4.51   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.04R    3.58  
Torquay          37   36  -19      45.56     3.89   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.52R   29.77  
Rushden_&_D      37   35  -25      44.22     3.87   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.06R   49.82  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      33   77  +31      94.88     3.87    40.32    99.56   100.00    99.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        33   64  +22      80.52     3.79    28.36     0.44    99.30    33.94P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         33   60  +12      75.06     4.00    16.13     0.01    86.14    17.44P    0.00     0.00  
York            33   56  +20      70.45     4.13    23.04     0.00    54.08    13.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       34   56  +13      68.61     3.74    15.43     0.00    31.25     5.87P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       33   54  +17      69.69     4.02    21.90     0.00    45.93    11.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.61     4.27    25.69     0.00    57.38    11.98P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.28     4.07    18.96     0.00    17.46     3.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          33   47   -1      60.87     4.11     1.50     0.00     1.07     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          31   45  +14      63.22     4.57    19.14     0.00     7.19     1.74P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       32   42   -2      55.78     4.29    -1.83     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     33   41   -9      51.73     4.11   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot       32   41  -12      54.09     4.48   -13.49     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       31   40   +1      55.61     4.56     1.79     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster   33   39   -8      48.64     3.87   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.01  
Canvey_Island   32   38  -11      49.44     4.23   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.01  
Altrincham      32   36  -21      44.13     3.80   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.28R    0.40  
Forest_Green    33   31   -9      40.01     3.92   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.41R    4.77  
Crawley         32   29  -11      41.83     4.31   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.13R    3.62  
Scarborough     33   29  -20      37.90     3.79   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.89R   14.20  
Tamworth        32   28  -26      37.60     3.89   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.22R   20.69  
Southport       31   26  -32      34.65     3.95   -43.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.89R   56.30