Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 14 March 2006 at 23:53:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 March 2006, Manchester_U vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         29   75  +40      94.23     3.72    50.87    99.08   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    28   60  +28      80.01     3.84    39.92     0.93    94.83    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   55  +15      71.38     3.93    20.58     0.00     4.70    91.00    99.25     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49  +13      63.20     4.08    15.79     0.00     0.10    25.41    73.34     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   47  +22      65.02     3.78    30.53     0.00     0.22    47.40    88.69     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +4      60.67     4.05     7.55     0.00     0.01     8.32    45.62     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   45   +9      63.39     4.46    14.40     0.00     0.14    26.52    73.67     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           29   43   -2      55.24     3.92    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.57     7.41     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   42   +2      55.24     4.18     0.38     0.00     0.00     0.75     8.18     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    29   40   +5      51.52     3.96     3.62     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.85     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   40  -13      50.53     3.74   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   39   -3      51.38     4.03    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.99     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        29   39   -4      49.61     3.81    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   34   -4      47.42     3.87    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   34   -9      44.95     4.18   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.20R    0.00  
Fulham          29   32   -8      44.42     3.95    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   29   27  -17      34.08     3.53   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.53R    0.01  
Birmingham      28   24  -16      31.92     3.69   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.16R    0.03  
Portsmouth      29   21  -29      28.24     3.46   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.84R    0.98  
Sunderland      29   10  -33      15.90     3.22   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   98.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Preston vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          38   90  +56     108.06     3.21    67.51   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      38   75  +25      89.00     3.87    29.51     0.00    67.03   100.00    74.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   70  +22      84.88     3.89    26.19     0.00    20.39    99.89    40.33P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   69  +24      83.44     3.68    29.71     0.00    10.77    99.68    31.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   63  +19      77.92     4.03    23.25     0.00     1.48    93.41    21.19P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          37   60  +22      76.90     3.87    28.59     0.00     0.34    90.71    29.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   58  +12      69.94     3.56    13.55     0.00     0.00    13.40     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   55   +6      66.43     3.78     6.77     0.00     0.00     2.50     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   51   -3      61.30     3.84    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   51   -8      61.51     3.72    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -7      59.72     3.69    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            38   48   -3      59.19     3.87    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   47   -7      56.37     3.54    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Queens_PR        37   47   -9      58.88     3.95   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   44  -14      53.24     3.78   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Leicester        38   43   -8      51.72     3.59   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Burnley          37   43   -9      55.80     4.15    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Southampton      37   42   -3      53.51     3.89    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Derby            38   42   -6      52.21     3.62    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Hull             38   41   -7      50.07     3.60    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      38   35  -20      42.56     3.36   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.85R    3.99  
Millwall         38   33  -22      41.82     3.58   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.94R    6.97  
Brighton         38   30  -26      38.75     3.61   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.08R   22.34  
Crewe            37   28  -34      36.04     3.57   -42.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.47R   66.70  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        37   70  +27      87.27     3.88    34.45    74.63    95.20    99.99    96.75P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   64  +20      82.94     4.59    25.68    20.71    69.97    99.67    78.06P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   61  +11      76.15     4.11    15.39     0.93     8.19    92.60    25.65P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   60  +22      75.36     4.12    26.70     1.20     8.91    90.33    33.26P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        37   60  +15      74.23     4.11    17.76     0.46     4.51    84.09    25.48P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      35   59  +12      76.59     4.64    15.68     2.06    13.01    91.80    33.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          37   56   -1      68.85     4.11    -0.07     0.01     0.20    27.57     4.79P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    37   51   +1      63.54     4.14     1.16     0.00     0.01     4.92     0.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       36   50   +1      63.01     4.20     0.03     0.00     0.00     3.26     0.68P    0.10R    0.00  
Nottingham      37   49   +7      62.53     4.04     8.90     0.00     0.00     2.92     0.69P    0.09R    0.00  
Tranmere        37   47   +4      60.99     4.07     6.45     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.29P    0.43R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      37   47   -5      59.37     4.15    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.04P    2.15R    0.03  
Port_Vale       36   47   -5      60.09     4.27    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.10P    1.29R    0.01  
Bristol_City    37   46   -8      57.96     3.97    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    4.00R    0.04  
Bradford        36   45   +1      59.40     4.28     2.20     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.13P    1.44R    0.01  
Bournemouth     36   42   -5      53.33     4.20    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   23.66R    1.41  
Hartlepool      36   42   -9      53.27     4.09   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.71R    2.24  
Yeovil          36   42  -11      53.83     4.24   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.72R    1.50  
Blackpool       36   41   -7      52.48     4.14   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.75R    2.40  
Gillingham      36   41  -13      51.71     4.13   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.59R    5.30  
Rotherham       37   40   -9      50.49     3.94   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.00R    6.75  
Walsall         35   39  -13      53.00     4.57   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.38R    3.22  
Swindon_Town    37   39  -17      48.55     3.87   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.30R   18.90  
Milton_Keynes   35   34  -18      44.94     4.25   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.40R   58.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Macclesfield vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         36   65  +31      84.60     4.19    40.36    60.88    94.22   100.00    96.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   65  +22      81.03     4.09    27.89    17.29    75.90    99.84    82.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   64  +22      80.43     4.35    25.88    16.11    68.39    99.64    77.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   63  +11      76.55     4.17    12.78     2.79    27.47    96.96    42.55P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   60  +17      76.50     4.25    21.34     2.85    29.85    97.33    49.90P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   55  +12      69.58     4.11    15.23     0.05     2.09    65.70    19.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   54   +4      69.22     4.35     6.34     0.02     1.45    57.45    12.69P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   53   +7      66.42     4.31     6.50     0.01     0.46    32.05     7.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   50   -7      62.61     4.34    -9.14     0.00     0.01     8.02     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   49   +8      63.03     4.35     8.54     0.00     0.04    12.87     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          35   47  +10      64.07     4.68    13.04     0.00     0.12    20.49     5.45P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     37   47   -9      57.97     3.91   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.04P    0.06R    0.00  
Mansfield        37   45   +0      57.07     4.12    -0.55     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.17P    0.17R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       37   45   -3      57.04     4.05    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.09P    0.18R    0.01  
Boston           35   45   -7      58.97     4.44    -8.71     0.00     0.01     1.91     0.24P    0.15R    0.01  
Rochdale         34   44   +0      60.22     4.92    -0.57     0.00     0.01     5.88     1.07P    0.10R    0.01  
Macclesfield     36   42   -9      54.23     4.39   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    2.33R    0.48  
Stockport        37   40  -19      50.06     3.99   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.07R    4.86  
Bury             35   38  -12      50.93     4.47   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.22R    3.15  
Barnet           36   38  -14      49.74     4.23   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.43R    5.57  
Chester          35   37   -8      50.89     4.56    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.60R    3.29  
Oxford_Utd       35   37  -12      49.78     4.46   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.27R    5.19  
Torquay          37   36  -19      45.52     3.88   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.38R   29.00  
Rushden_&_D      37   35  -25      44.15     3.89   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.04R   48.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 March 2006, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      33   77  +31      94.95     3.86    40.44    99.49   100.00    99.64P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        33   64  +22      80.47     3.85    28.26     0.50    99.25    33.55P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         33   60  +12      74.94     4.03    15.99     0.01    85.50    17.68P    0.00     0.00  
York            33   56  +20      70.57     4.13    23.22     0.00    54.51    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       34   56  +13      68.56     3.76    15.38     0.00    30.83     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       33   54  +17      69.66     4.08    21.86     0.00    45.55    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.66     4.31    25.77     0.00    57.43    11.95P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          33   50  +13      66.35     4.05    19.03     0.00    18.07     3.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          33   47   -1      60.86     4.09     1.51     0.00     0.90     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          31   45  +14      63.35     4.60    19.29     0.00     7.81     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       32   42   -2      55.75     4.34    -1.90     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     33   41   -9      51.67     4.08   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Aldershot       32   41  -12      54.18     4.40   -13.32     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       31   40   +1      55.62     4.54     1.78     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   33   39   -8      48.55     3.85   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   32   38  -11      49.48     4.22   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Altrincham      32   36  -21      44.22     3.83   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.48R    0.30  
Forest_Green    33   31   -9      39.94     3.94   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.49R    4.88  
Crawley         32   29  -11      41.74     4.36   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.52R    3.83  
Scarborough     33   29  -20      37.78     3.74   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.58R   14.62  
Tamworth        32   28  -26      37.61     3.94   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.12R   20.62  
Southport       31   26  -32      34.68     3.92   -43.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.58R   55.74