Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 13 March 2006 at 23:53:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 March 2006, Manchester_U vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         29   75  +40      94.29     3.71    51.02    99.19   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    28   60  +28      79.98     3.88    39.83     0.81    94.53    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   55  +15      71.31     3.94    20.48     0.00     4.82    90.83    99.14     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49  +13      63.14     4.06    15.70     0.00     0.10    25.19    73.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   47  +22      65.06     3.78    30.53     0.00     0.35    48.36    89.19     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +4      60.57     4.07     7.42     0.00     0.01     7.63    44.85     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   45   +9      63.29     4.55    14.28     0.00     0.19    26.71    72.73     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           29   43   -2      55.38     3.96    -1.98     0.00     0.00     0.62     8.15     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   42   +2      55.12     4.17     0.18     0.00     0.01     0.57     7.93     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    29   40   +5      51.45     3.98     3.51     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   40  -13      50.61     3.71   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   39   -3      51.35     4.02    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.02     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        29   39   -4      49.69     3.81    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   34   -4      47.44     3.86    -2.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   34   -9      45.09     4.19   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.26R    0.00  
Fulham          29   32   -8      44.29     3.99    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   29   27  -17      34.07     3.49   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.29R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   24  -16      32.01     3.73   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.05R    0.03  
Portsmouth      29   21  -29      28.25     3.46   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.09R    0.93  
Sunderland      29   10  -33      15.92     3.21   -43.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 March 2006, Stoke vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          38   90  +56     108.06     3.18    67.54   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      38   75  +25      89.02     3.84    29.56     0.01    67.47   100.00    75.11P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   70  +22      84.82     3.89    26.12     0.00    19.95    99.88    40.09P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   69  +24      83.41     3.70    29.65     0.00    10.86    99.77    31.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   63  +19      77.96     4.03    23.25     0.00     1.56    94.07    22.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   58  +12      69.95     3.55    13.56     0.00     0.00    17.03     3.81P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          36   57  +20      75.68     4.10    27.10     0.00     0.17    85.13    26.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   55   +6      66.48     3.79     6.86     0.00     0.00     3.29     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   51   -3      61.46     3.80    -3.70     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          37   51   -6      62.19     3.84    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -7      59.76     3.69    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            38   48   -3      59.01     3.86    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   47   -7      56.47     3.57    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        37   47   -9      58.80     3.93   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   44  -14      53.27     3.78   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Leicester        38   43   -8      51.70     3.59   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Burnley          37   43   -9      55.76     4.15    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Southampton      37   42   -3      53.47     3.89    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Derby            38   42   -6      52.23     3.66    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Hull             38   41   -7      50.21     3.63    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      38   35  -20      42.69     3.41   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.26R    3.49  
Millwall         38   33  -22      41.78     3.53   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.11R    6.99  
Brighton         38   30  -26      38.72     3.56   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.65R   22.36  
Crewe            37   28  -34      35.99     3.57   -42.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.47R   67.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 March 2006, Swansea vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        37   70  +27      87.33     3.87    34.46    74.95    95.41   100.00    97.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   64  +20      83.03     4.57    25.81    20.88    70.17    99.62    78.17P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   61  +11      76.29     4.15    15.59     0.92     8.56    90.86    26.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   60  +22      75.42     4.13    26.87     1.25     9.18    88.64    33.59P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        37   60  +15      74.04     4.11    17.49     0.26     3.63    79.11    23.37P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      35   59  +12      76.59     4.57    15.65     1.72    12.38    90.06    31.18P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          36   56   +1      70.57     4.43     2.49     0.02     0.66    40.26     7.92P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    37   51   +1      63.51     4.13     1.08     0.00     0.01     4.21     0.82P    0.04R    0.00  
Doncaster       36   50   +1      62.93     4.23    -0.03     0.00     0.00     2.70     0.53P    0.12R    0.00  
Nottingham      37   49   +7      62.65     4.05     9.02     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.48P    0.07R    0.00  
Tranmere        37   47   +4      61.07     4.04     6.60     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.23P    0.22R    0.00  
Port_Vale       36   47   -5      60.02     4.25    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.11P    1.22R    0.01  
Bristol_City    37   46   -8      57.89     3.99    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.83R    0.06  
Bradford        36   45   +1      59.43     4.29     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.10P    1.34R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      36   44   -7      57.93     4.41    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    4.91R    0.11  
Bournemouth     36   42   -5      53.28     4.19    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.16R    1.17  
Hartlepool      35   42   -7      54.47     4.37   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   16.65R    0.96  
Yeovil          36   42  -11      53.97     4.23   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.96R    1.17  
Blackpool       36   41   -7      52.51     4.16   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.85R    1.99  
Gillingham      36   41  -13      51.59     4.13   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.80R    4.63  
Walsall         35   39  -13      53.01     4.58   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.38R    2.66  
Swindon_Town    37   39  -17      48.43     3.87   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.45R   17.55  
Rotherham       36   37  -11      48.46     4.19   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.70R   15.72  
Milton_Keynes   35   34  -18      44.96     4.25   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.30R   53.97  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 March 2006, Wycombe vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         36   65  +31      84.54     4.25    40.26    60.52    93.67    99.97    95.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   65  +22      81.05     4.08    27.95    17.74    75.98    99.70    82.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   64  +22      80.35     4.33    25.77    15.76    67.52    99.53    77.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   63  +11      76.50     4.13    12.70     2.77    26.66    96.34    41.58P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   60  +17      76.65     4.29    21.55     3.12    31.52    96.86    51.38P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   55  +12      69.52     4.06    15.17     0.03     2.00    62.45    17.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   54   +4      69.26     4.38     6.39     0.05     1.45    55.04    12.31P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   53   +7      66.56     4.35     6.73     0.01     0.57    30.68     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   50   -7      62.52     4.33    -9.32     0.00     0.01     7.10     0.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       36   49   +8      63.00     4.33     8.46     0.00     0.04    11.84     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          34   47  +11      65.81     4.91    14.58     0.01     0.57    31.61     9.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     37   47   -9      58.06     3.93   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P    0.07R    0.01  
Mansfield        37   45   +0      57.16     4.13    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.07P    0.16R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       37   45   -3      57.06     4.04    -3.33     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.20R    0.02  
Boston           35   45   -7      58.89     4.47    -8.81     0.00     0.01     1.84     0.30P    0.14R    0.02  
Rochdale         34   44   +0      60.22     4.92    -0.58     0.00     0.01     5.29     0.89P    0.07R    0.01  
Stockport        37   40  -19      49.98     3.93   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.47R    4.75  
Macclesfield     35   39  -10      52.15     4.61   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    7.39R    2.17  
Bury             35   38  -12      50.92     4.43   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   11.20R    3.17  
Barnet           36   38  -14      49.74     4.23   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.61R    5.47  
Chester          35   37   -8      50.85     4.57    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.82R    3.31  
Oxford_Utd       35   37  -12      49.83     4.44   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.19R    4.89  
Torquay          37   36  -19      45.65     3.89   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.44R   27.73  
Rushden_&_D      37   35  -25      44.13     3.88   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.23R   48.44  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 March 2006, York vs Gravesend; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      33   77  +31      94.94     3.89    40.37    99.69   100.00    99.81P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        32   61  +21      79.68     4.04    28.46     0.30    98.39    32.10P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         33   60  +12      75.12     4.04    16.21     0.01    86.47    18.05P    0.00     0.00  
York            33   56  +20      70.58     4.12    23.20     0.00    54.59    13.57P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       33   54  +17      69.62     4.04    21.83     0.00    44.72    10.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.55     4.35    25.64     0.00    55.73    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       33   53  +11      66.19     4.00    12.16     0.00    15.03     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          32   50  +15      68.65     4.25    22.53     0.00    37.22     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          33   47   -1      60.91     4.12     1.55     0.00     1.00     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          31   45  +14      63.19     4.51    19.09     0.00     6.69     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       32   42   -2      55.92     4.33    -1.65     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     33   41   -9      51.66     4.06   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Aldershot       32   41  -12      54.13     4.41   -13.42     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       31   40   +1      55.55     4.47     1.66     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   33   39   -8      48.79     3.89   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   32   38  -11      49.31     4.14   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.01  
Altrincham      32   36  -21      44.17     3.80   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.20R    0.46  
Forest_Green    33   31   -9      39.99     3.96   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.98R    5.33  
Crawley         32   29  -11      41.65     4.30   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.48R    4.36  
Scarborough     33   29  -20      37.80     3.71   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.94R   15.85  
Tamworth        32   28  -26      37.53     3.90   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.73R   22.70  
Southport       30   26  -31      35.26     4.16   -43.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.34R   51.30