Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 12 March 2006 at 23:54:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 March 2006, Manchester_U vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         29   75  +40      94.38     3.68    51.13    99.25   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    28   60  +28      79.92     3.86    39.76     0.75    94.44    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   55  +15      71.28     3.93    20.44     0.00     4.93    90.69    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49  +13      63.27     4.09    15.88     0.00     0.12    25.71    74.08     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   47  +22      65.12     3.77    30.64     0.00     0.28    48.23    89.11     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +4      60.61     4.05     7.51     0.00     0.01     7.59    44.64     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   45   +9      63.33     4.43    14.39     0.00     0.21    26.64    73.03     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           29   43   -2      55.29     3.96    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.49     7.58     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   42   +2      55.20     4.16     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.61     8.30     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    29   40   +5      51.38     3.99     3.38     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.09     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   40  -13      50.60     3.70   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   39   -3      51.28     4.00    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.02     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        29   39   -4      49.60     3.78    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   34   -4      47.43     3.86    -2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   34   -9      45.05     4.18   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.21R    0.00  
Fulham          29   32   -8      44.35     3.95    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   29   27  -17      34.10     3.56   -24.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.09R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   24  -16      31.86     3.71   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.04R    0.01  
Portsmouth      29   21  -29      28.32     3.46   -36.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.31R    0.94  
Sunderland      29   10  -33      15.91     3.22   -43.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 March 2006, Wolverhampton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          38   90  +56     108.05     3.22    67.46    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      38   75  +25      89.04     3.83    29.55     0.01    67.39   100.00    74.95P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   70  +22      84.94     3.89    26.30     0.00    20.60    99.89    40.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   69  +24      83.54     3.68    29.85     0.00    11.04    99.72    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   60  +17      76.32     4.30    21.16     0.00     0.72    87.72    18.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   58  +12      69.98     3.56    13.59     0.00     0.00    20.30     4.62P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          36   57  +20      75.87     4.09    27.36     0.00     0.25    86.98    28.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   55   +6      66.44     3.80     6.82     0.00     0.00     4.25     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   51   -3      61.32     3.79    -3.91     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          37   51   -6      62.13     3.86    -8.05     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -7      59.72     3.68    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            38   48   -3      59.04     3.84    -3.23     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   47   -7      56.38     3.54    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Queens_PR        37   47   -9      58.74     3.95   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   44  -12      54.48     4.05   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Leicester        38   43   -8      51.83     3.63   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Burnley          37   43   -9      55.77     4.14    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Southampton      37   42   -3      53.39     3.94    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Derby            38   42   -6      52.30     3.61    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Hull             38   41   -7      50.10     3.57    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      38   35  -20      42.58     3.40   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.92R    4.12  
Millwall         38   33  -22      41.78     3.57   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.24R    7.34  
Brighton         38   30  -26      38.78     3.58   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.06R   22.53  
Crewe            37   28  -34      36.08     3.60   -42.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.23R   66.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 March 2006, Swansea vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        37   70  +27      87.22     3.88    34.35    74.47    95.00   100.00    96.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   64  +20      82.94     4.54    25.66    20.83    69.61    99.55    77.54P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   61  +11      76.19     4.15    15.46     0.86     8.46    90.13    25.39P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   60  +22      75.39     4.13    26.77     1.32     8.97    88.34    33.10P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        37   60  +15      74.26     4.13    17.77     0.48     4.33    80.55    25.18P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      35   59  +12      76.69     4.63    15.81     2.00    13.12    90.13    32.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          36   56   +1      70.53     4.40     2.41     0.02     0.49    39.41     7.35P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    37   51   +1      63.48     4.16     1.06     0.00     0.01     4.46     0.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       36   50   +1      62.99     4.19     0.02     0.00     0.01     2.90     0.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Nottingham      37   49   +7      62.53     4.05     8.88     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.45P    0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere        37   47   +4      61.04     4.03     6.54     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.20P    0.32R    0.00  
Port_Vale       36   47   -5      59.99     4.30    -5.73     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.13P    1.24R    0.01  
Bristol_City    37   46   -8      57.88     3.94    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.52R    0.05  
Bradford        36   45   +1      59.48     4.26     2.32     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.16P    1.26R    0.03  
Scunthorpe      36   44   -7      57.94     4.43    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    4.88R    0.14  
Bournemouth     36   42   -5      53.48     4.24    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   20.68R    1.09  
Hartlepool      35   42   -7      54.58     4.37   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    16.48R    1.00  
Yeovil          36   42  -11      53.84     4.28   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.28R    1.11  
Blackpool       36   41   -7      52.49     4.12   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.46R    1.93  
Gillingham      36   41  -13      51.73     4.12   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.72R    4.22  
Walsall         35   39  -13      52.85     4.56   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.00R    3.07  
Swindon_Town    37   39  -17      48.46     3.84   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.26R   17.21  
Rotherham       36   37  -11      48.49     4.17   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.55R   14.95  
Milton_Keynes   35   34  -18      44.83     4.23   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.23R   55.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 March 2006, Wycombe vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         36   65  +31      84.48     4.18    40.22    60.26    93.83    99.98    95.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   65  +22      81.08     4.09    28.00    17.93    75.74    99.78    82.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   64  +22      80.34     4.29    25.81    15.99    67.60    99.53    77.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   63  +11      76.57     4.19    12.75     2.62    27.48    96.50    42.24P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   60  +17      76.64     4.30    21.45     3.10    30.96    96.81    50.52P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   55  +12      69.51     4.06    15.11     0.04     1.80    62.34    18.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   54   +4      69.15     4.37     6.23     0.04     1.44    54.47    12.03P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   53   +7      66.51     4.30     6.61     0.01     0.54    30.38     6.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   50   -7      62.47     4.29    -9.39     0.00     0.01     6.97     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   49   +8      62.98     4.33     8.45     0.00     0.06    11.61     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          34   47  +11      65.98     4.91    14.82     0.01     0.53    32.69     8.85P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     37   47   -9      58.03     3.94   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.09P    0.07R    0.00  
Mansfield        37   45   +0      57.06     4.14    -0.56     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.17P    0.15R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       37   45   -3      57.08     4.08    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P    0.18R    0.01  
Boston           35   45   -7      58.96     4.46    -8.69     0.00     0.01     1.81     0.31P    0.15R    0.04  
Rochdale         34   44   +0      60.30     4.90    -0.41     0.00     0.01     5.38     1.08P    0.06R    0.00  
Stockport        37   40  -19      50.06     3.92   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.26R    4.73  
Macclesfield     35   39  -10      52.15     4.59   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    7.05R    1.86  
Bury             35   38  -12      51.00     4.44   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.32R    3.01  
Barnet           36   38  -14      49.65     4.22   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.69R    5.94  
Chester          35   37   -8      50.75     4.60    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.15R    3.43  
Oxford_Utd       35   37  -12      49.88     4.44   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.18R    4.92  
Torquay          37   36  -19      45.59     3.89   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.76R   28.63  
Rushden_&_D      37   35  -25      44.19     3.90   -29.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.97R   47.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 March 2006, York vs Gravesend; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      33   77  +31      94.94     3.89    40.37    99.59   100.00    99.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        32   61  +21      79.59     4.07    28.38     0.39    98.24    32.32P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         33   60  +12      75.15     4.02    16.29     0.03    86.53    18.39P    0.00     0.00  
York            33   56  +20      70.58     4.08    23.24     0.00    53.96    13.64P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       33   54  +17      69.60     4.04    21.80     0.00    44.14    10.57P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.54     4.31    25.59     0.00    56.23    11.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       33   53  +11      66.12     4.01    12.09     0.00    14.36     2.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          32   50  +15      68.65     4.27    22.56     0.00    37.60     8.86P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          33   47   -1      60.87     4.10     1.48     0.00     1.00     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          31   45  +14      63.37     4.60    19.34     0.00     7.79     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       32   42   -2      55.85     4.34    -1.74     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     33   41   -9      51.69     4.09   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot       32   41  -12      54.07     4.43   -13.52     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       31   40   +1      55.70     4.56     1.80     0.00     0.07     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster   33   39   -8      48.75     3.88   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   32   38  -11      49.30     4.19   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.01  
Altrincham      32   36  -21      44.20     3.82   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.35R    0.38  
Forest_Green    33   31   -9      39.96     3.93   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.37R    5.46  
Crawley         32   29  -11      41.68     4.30   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.46R    4.21  
Scarborough     33   29  -20      37.85     3.76   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.18R   15.83  
Tamworth        32   28  -26      37.59     3.92   -32.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.36R   22.48  
Southport       30   26  -31      35.18     4.10   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.01R   51.65