Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 11 March 2006 at 23:53:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 March 2006, Sunderland vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         29   75  +40      94.51     3.69    51.32    99.42   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    27   57  +26      79.05     4.07    38.96     0.57    88.11    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   55  +16      72.51     4.17    21.35     0.00    11.13    94.09    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49  +13      63.27     4.10    15.85     0.00     0.17    29.52    75.33     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +4      60.47     4.07     7.31     0.00     0.02     8.29    45.69     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   45   +9      63.33     4.50    14.33     0.00     0.28    29.97    74.75     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   44  +21      63.64     4.03    29.81     0.00     0.29    36.48    81.20     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           29   43   -2      55.36     3.95    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.72     8.78     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   42   +2      55.33     4.19     0.56     0.00     0.01     0.89     9.44     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    29   40   +5      51.39     3.98     3.39     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.08     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   40  -13      50.64     3.75   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   39   -1      52.03     4.19    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.08     0.01R    0.00  
Charlton        28   36   -5      48.29     4.13    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   34   -4      47.36     3.87    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   34   -8      46.05     4.49   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.16R    0.00  
Fulham          29   32   -8      44.29     3.94    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   29   27  -17      34.01     3.54   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.45R    0.01  
Birmingham      28   24  -16      31.92     3.68   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.24R    0.01  
Portsmouth      29   21  -29      28.23     3.44   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.73R    0.98  
Sunderland      29   10  -33      15.90     3.22   -43.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 March 2006, Wolverhampton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          38   90  +56     108.03     3.22    67.40   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      38   75  +25      88.98     3.90    29.51     0.01    67.46   100.00    74.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   70  +22      84.85     3.85    26.13     0.00    20.29    99.92    40.40P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   69  +24      83.38     3.73    29.54     0.00    11.35    99.73    32.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   60  +17      76.36     4.29    21.27     0.00     0.71    87.95    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   58  +12      69.96     3.55    13.56     0.00     0.00    20.00     4.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          36   57  +20      75.81     4.12    27.28     0.00     0.19    86.52    28.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   55   +6      66.46     3.80     6.85     0.00     0.00     4.66     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   51   -3      61.32     3.80    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          37   51   -6      62.17     3.89    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   50   -7      59.74     3.75    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            38   48   -3      59.11     3.85    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         38   47   -7      56.36     3.52    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Queens_PR        37   47   -9      58.80     3.92   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            36   44  -12      54.50     4.02   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Leicester        38   43   -8      51.87     3.59   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Burnley          37   43   -9      55.70     4.12    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Southampton      37   42   -3      53.46     3.93    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Derby            38   42   -6      52.24     3.63    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Hull             38   41   -7      50.18     3.62    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      38   35  -20      42.70     3.41   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.06R    3.77  
Millwall         38   33  -22      41.85     3.54   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.43R    6.87  
Brighton         38   30  -26      38.74     3.58   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.61R   22.05  
Crewe            37   28  -34      35.97     3.59   -42.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.39R   67.32  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 March 2006, Yeovil vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        37   70  +27      87.29     3.89    34.41    73.92    94.17   100.00    96.14P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   64  +20      82.93     4.51    25.63    19.89    66.37    99.61    75.44P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   61  +11      76.29     4.10    15.55     0.78     7.63    90.41    25.34P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        37   60  +15      74.18     4.08    17.67     0.26     3.58    79.49    23.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   59  +22      76.93     4.37    28.73     3.17    15.70    92.13    39.48P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      35   59  +12      76.72     4.59    15.88     1.96    12.04    90.10    31.46P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          36   56   +1      70.50     4.38     2.34     0.04     0.51    37.67     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    37   51   +1      63.47     4.13     1.07     0.00     0.01     3.58     0.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster       36   50   +1      63.02     4.23     0.11     0.00     0.00     2.79     0.58P    0.08R    0.00  
Nottingham      37   49   +7      62.58     4.04     8.92     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.51P    0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere        37   47   +4      61.00     4.06     6.46     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.19P    0.30R    0.01  
Port_Vale       36   47   -5      59.98     4.28    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.11P    1.11R    0.01  
Bristol_City    37   46   -8      57.91     4.00    -8.75     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    3.43R    0.07  
Bradford        36   45   +1      59.32     4.27     2.11     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.10P    1.19R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      36   44   -7      57.93     4.44    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    4.75R    0.14  
Bournemouth     36   42   -5      53.52     4.24    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.50R    0.88  
Hartlepool      35   42   -7      54.63     4.40   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.56R    0.91  
Yeovil          36   42  -11      53.85     4.28   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.64R    1.33  
Blackpool       36   41   -7      52.56     4.20   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   27.97R    2.04  
Gillingham      36   41  -13      51.73     4.11   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.52R    4.25  
Swindon_Town    37   39  -17      48.48     3.88   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.36R   16.64  
Walsall         34   38  -13      52.19     4.71   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.66R    4.41  
Rotherham       36   37  -11      48.38     4.15   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.67R   15.54  
Milton_Keynes   35   34  -18      44.91     4.24   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.16R   53.77  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 March 2006, Wycombe vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         36   65  +31      84.54     4.25    40.23    60.31    93.78    99.98    95.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          37   65  +22      81.06     4.08    27.96    17.69    75.94    99.80    82.61P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   64  +22      80.32     4.35    25.74    16.04    67.30    99.48    77.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   63  +11      76.54     4.19    12.73     2.85    27.34    96.20    41.98P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   60  +17      76.65     4.31    21.52     3.05    31.34    96.83    51.15P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   55  +12      69.48     4.04    15.12     0.01     1.66    62.27    17.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   54   +4      69.22     4.34     6.32     0.03     1.33    54.23    12.04P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   53   +7      66.66     4.40     6.85     0.02     0.54    31.34     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   50   -7      62.70     4.32    -9.03     0.00     0.01     7.12     0.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       36   49   +8      62.99     4.34     8.49     0.00     0.08    11.76     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          34   47  +11      65.98     4.95    14.81     0.01     0.67    32.55     9.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     37   47   -9      58.00     3.95   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.07P    0.05R    0.00  
Mansfield        37   45   +0      57.11     4.17    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.12P    0.14R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       37   45   -3      56.95     4.09    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.23R    0.03  
Boston           35   45   -7      58.95     4.45    -8.74     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.36P    0.16R    0.02  
Rochdale         34   44   +0      60.17     4.93    -0.68     0.00     0.03     5.11     0.99P    0.06R    0.01  
Stockport        37   40  -19      50.01     3.99   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.75R    4.65  
Macclesfield     35   39  -10      52.23     4.56   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.96R    1.95  
Bury             35   38  -12      50.96     4.48   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    10.74R    3.12  
Barnet           36   38  -14      49.75     4.21   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.82R    5.34  
Chester          35   37   -8      50.73     4.52   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.69R    3.25  
Oxford_Utd       35   37  -12      49.79     4.44   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.55R    4.94  
Torquay          37   36  -19      45.56     3.88   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.55R   28.39  
Rushden_&_D      37   35  -25      44.11     3.93   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.28R   48.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 March 2006, York vs Gravesend; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      33   77  +31      94.96     3.87    40.50    99.67   100.00    99.75P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        32   61  +21      79.61     4.03    28.41     0.31    98.44    32.92P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         33   60  +12      74.97     4.02    16.01     0.01    86.10    17.12P    0.00     0.00  
York            33   56  +20      70.64     4.11    23.30     0.00    54.71    13.97P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       33   54  +17      69.63     4.03    21.83     0.00    44.66    11.21P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           32   53  +19      70.51     4.30    25.53     0.00    55.59    11.67P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       33   53  +11      66.18     4.05    12.11     0.00    15.11     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          32   50  +15      68.56     4.32    22.47     0.00    36.92     8.68P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          33   47   -1      60.89     4.07     1.54     0.00     0.94     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          31   45  +14      63.21     4.55    19.14     0.00     7.28     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       32   42   -2      56.02     4.33    -1.47     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     33   41   -9      51.56     4.06   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Aldershot       32   41  -12      54.03     4.42   -13.62     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       31   40   +1      55.63     4.47     1.75     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   33   39   -8      48.65     3.90   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Canvey_Island   32   38  -11      49.45     4.17   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.01  
Altrincham      32   36  -21      44.11     3.76   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.57R    0.48  
Forest_Green    33   31   -9      40.01     3.95   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.38R    5.36  
Crawley         32   29  -11      41.82     4.33   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.48R    4.25  
Scarborough     33   29  -20      37.85     3.74   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.81R   15.94  
Tamworth        32   28  -26      37.52     3.92   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.42R   23.50  
Southport       30   26  -31      35.35     4.14   -43.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.15R   50.45