Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 10 March 2006 at 23:53:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 March 2006, Wigan vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         28   72  +39      93.57     3.96    51.18    98.91   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    27   57  +26      78.91     4.11    38.51     1.09    87.12    99.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   55  +16      72.60     4.16    21.41     0.00    12.11    95.11    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +14      63.88     4.27    15.76     0.00     0.33    37.10    80.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   44  +21      63.52     4.06    29.67     0.00     0.28    37.98    83.30     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   43   +2      58.92     4.39     5.45     0.00     0.01     6.00    36.05     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   42   +6      61.54     4.84    10.96     0.00     0.14    19.61    61.50     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        27   42   +5      56.53     4.46     3.46     0.00     0.01     2.95    19.20     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    28   40   +6      53.62     4.29     5.72     0.00     0.00     0.71     8.01     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           28   40   -3      53.99     4.26    -2.68     0.00     0.00     0.58     7.41     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   39   -1      51.89     4.19    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.13     2.37     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   37  -15      48.30     4.02   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04R    0.00  
Charlton        28   36   -5      48.62     4.15    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   34   -2      48.58     4.13    -0.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   34   -8      46.36     4.50   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.20R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32   -6      45.94     4.23    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.12R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   28   26  -17      34.21     3.78   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.51R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -16      32.75     4.09   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.83R    0.04  
Portsmouth      28   18  -30      25.62     3.68   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.28R    7.25  
Sunderland      28   10  -32      17.17     3.55   -42.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   92.70  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Wolverhampton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          37   89  +56     109.43     3.44    69.35    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      37   75  +27      90.84     4.13    32.25     0.04    72.91   100.00    79.39P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            36   69  +22      86.28     4.10    27.65     0.00    21.52    99.97    43.03P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   68  +24      82.86     3.87    27.98     0.00     4.91    99.47    25.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   60  +17      76.23     4.31    21.08     0.00     0.34    87.08    18.20P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          35   56  +20      76.94     4.34    28.37     0.00     0.32    90.39    29.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   55  +10      68.39     3.87    11.61     0.00     0.00    11.98     2.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   55   +8      67.80     4.07     8.85     0.00     0.00     9.11     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   50   -6      63.28     4.15    -6.92     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   49   -7      59.13     3.85   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            37   48   -2      61.16     4.14    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   48   -5      59.05     4.08    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   47   -6      57.60     3.81    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Queens_PR        36   46   -9      59.10     4.15   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   44  -12      54.40     3.99   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Burnley          36   43   -6      57.44     4.44    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      36   41   -3      54.21     4.26    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Leicester        37   40   -9      49.59     3.85   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.48R    0.01  
Derby            37   39   -9      50.50     3.91   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Hull             37   38   -8      48.42     3.84   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.18R    0.04  
Sheffield_W      37   34  -20      42.92     3.72   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.80R    4.11  
Millwall         37   32  -22      41.53     3.79   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.98R    9.06  
Brighton         37   29  -26      38.44     3.77   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.41R   25.91  
Crewe            36   27  -34      36.29     3.86   -42.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.66R   60.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 March 2006, Southend vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        37   70  +27      87.17     3.86    34.30    76.50    93.72    99.99    95.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   61  +18      81.32     4.81    23.66    14.02    51.64    98.39    64.30P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   61  +11      76.00     4.15    15.17     0.77     7.95    88.81    24.19P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        36   60  +17      75.46     4.35    19.55     1.30     8.93    86.12    29.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   59  +22      76.75     4.32    28.49     2.85    15.82    92.03    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      34   59  +13      78.10     4.88    16.90     4.53    21.59    92.43    38.76P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          35   53   +0      68.79     4.64     1.19     0.02     0.31    24.17     4.47P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    36   51   +4      64.98     4.37     4.35     0.00     0.03     7.90     1.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       35   49   +1      63.94     4.50     0.91     0.00     0.01     4.58     0.91P    0.10R    0.00  
Nottingham      36   48   +7      63.72     4.27    10.03     0.00     0.01     4.16     0.94P    0.09R    0.00  
Port_Vale       35   46   -5      60.10     4.53    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.15P    1.59R    0.02  
Bristol_City    37   46   -8      58.02     4.00    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.69R    0.04  
Tranmere        36   44   +1      59.07     4.35     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.08P    1.88R    0.03  
Scunthorpe      36   44   -7      57.93     4.37    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    4.86R    0.12  
Bradford        35   42   +0      57.27     4.51     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    5.21R    0.13  
Bournemouth     35   42   -4      55.17     4.56    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   13.08R    0.52  
Hartlepool      35   42   -7      54.40     4.38   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    17.66R    1.02  
Yeovil          35   41  -11      54.69     4.54   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.62R    1.25  
Blackpool       35   40   -7      53.32     4.44   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.98R    1.79  
Gillingham      35   40  -13      51.44     4.31   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.72R    5.37  
Walsall         34   38  -13      52.22     4.75   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   37.63R    4.50  
Swindon_Town    36   38  -17      48.47     4.17   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.76R   18.39  
Rotherham       35   36  -11      48.75     4.42   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.47R   14.98  
Milton_Keynes   35   34  -18      44.98     4.25   -23.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.66R   51.83  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 March 2006, Northampton vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         36   65  +31      84.69     4.24    40.50    67.60    95.00    99.94    96.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   62  +20      79.81     4.38    26.49    13.82    69.02    98.67    77.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   61  +19      79.01     4.55    23.23    12.29    59.09    97.69    70.33P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   60  +17      76.81     4.25    21.80     3.98    38.55    95.67    55.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   60  +10      75.01     4.45    11.92     1.85    21.92    87.44    35.34P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   55  +13      71.44     4.39    16.93     0.21     7.61    69.46    24.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       35   54   +5      70.66     4.62     7.43     0.15     4.86    57.62    15.70P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   52   +7      67.86     4.51     8.17     0.05     1.55    34.06     8.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   50   -6      64.41     4.61    -7.50     0.01     0.25    11.04     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          33   46  +11      67.35     5.19    16.32     0.03     2.06    35.71    11.24P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   46   +7      61.77     4.63     8.10     0.00     0.05     5.99     1.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   45   -1      58.01     4.32    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.15P    0.09R    0.01  
Boston           34   45   -2      61.01     4.78    -2.63     0.00     0.04     3.86     0.82P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County     36   44  -10      55.80     4.17   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.41R    0.01  
Mansfield        36   42   -5      54.83     4.38    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.83R    0.10  
Rochdale         33   41   -2      57.90     5.15    -3.76     0.00     0.01     1.69     0.33P    0.45R    0.06  
Macclesfield     34   39   -8      54.23     4.94    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    2.69R    0.59  
Barnet           35   38  -11      50.82     4.44   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.57R    2.02  
Chester          34   37   -7      51.44     4.77   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    6.61R    1.54  
Oxford_Utd       34   37  -11      51.10     4.76   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.52R    1.99  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.75     4.68   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.31R    2.37  
Stockport        36   37  -20      48.38     4.21   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.87R    7.05  
Rushden_&_D      36   34  -25      43.58     4.08   -31.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.88R   41.55  
Torquay          36   33  -20      43.13     4.10   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.75R   42.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Gravesend vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      32   76  +31      94.99     4.14    39.90    98.91   100.00    99.20P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        31   60  +21      80.43     4.33    28.99     1.08    98.58    34.80P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         32   57  +10      73.37     4.34    14.08     0.01    73.11    14.02P    0.00     0.00  
York            32   53  +19      69.51     4.38    23.10     0.00    43.84    10.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       32   53  +12      68.16     4.26    14.13     0.00    28.90     5.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           31   52  +19      71.35     4.57    26.35     0.01    62.38    13.18P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       32   51  +15      68.26     4.31    20.22     0.00    32.12     7.73P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          31   50  +17      70.09     4.56    24.75     0.00    51.09    12.56P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          30   44  +14      63.42     4.83    18.82     0.00     8.84     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          32   44   -2      58.34     4.32    -0.86     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       31   42   -1      56.87     4.55    -1.33     0.00     0.32     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       30   40   +3      57.46     4.85     4.45     0.00     0.52     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     32   40   -9      52.15     4.36   -11.16     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Kidderminster   32   39   -6      49.52     4.13   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Aldershot       31   38  -14      52.07     4.63   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.88     4.15   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.62R    0.12  
Canvey_Island   31   35  -12      47.24     4.45   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.73R    0.05  
Forest_Green    32   31   -8      42.48     4.25   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.59R    1.32  
Scarborough     32   29  -18      39.13     4.03   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.42R    6.38  
Tamworth        31   27  -26      38.03     4.26   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.28R   13.96  
Crawley         31   26  -13      40.15     4.56   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.49R    6.46  
Southport       29   23  -32      32.55     4.28   -46.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.85R   71.71