Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 9 March 2006 at 23:53:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 March 2006, Wigan vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         28   72  +39      93.58     3.93    51.22    99.04   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    27   57  +26      78.89     4.12    38.55     0.96    87.39    99.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   55  +16      72.51     4.14    21.25     0.00    11.74    94.98    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +14      63.94     4.27    15.80     0.00     0.37    37.60    81.17     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   44  +21      63.54     4.05    29.60     0.00     0.32    37.61    83.53     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   43   +2      58.97     4.36     5.50     0.00     0.01     5.68    35.63     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   42   +6      61.60     4.81    11.08     0.00     0.16    19.92    61.73     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        27   42   +5      56.59     4.46     3.58     0.00     0.01     3.03    19.69     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    28   40   +6      53.38     4.31     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.73     7.47     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           28   40   -3      54.04     4.25    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.52     7.12     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   39   -1      52.05     4.25    -1.87     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.65     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   37  -15      48.38     3.98   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.06R    0.00  
Charlton        28   36   -5      48.47     4.12    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   34   -2      48.69     4.14    -0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   34   -8      46.30     4.50   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.15R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32   -6      45.98     4.26    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.13R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   28   26  -17      34.18     3.78   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.99R    0.01  
Birmingham      27   23  -16      32.59     4.06   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.67R    0.07  
Portsmouth      28   18  -30      25.75     3.70   -39.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.97R    6.75  
Sunderland      28   10  -32      17.09     3.58   -43.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   93.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Wolverhampton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          37   89  +56     109.30     3.47    69.15    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      37   75  +27      90.90     4.13    32.31     0.03    73.17   100.00    79.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            36   69  +22      86.35     4.10    27.77     0.00    20.98    99.94    42.75P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   68  +24      82.88     3.89    28.00     0.00     5.13    99.55    25.48P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   60  +17      76.26     4.34    21.14     0.00     0.36    86.89    18.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          35   56  +20      77.06     4.32    28.56     0.00     0.35    90.95    29.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   55  +10      68.45     3.87    11.71     0.00     0.00    12.00     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   55   +8      67.73     4.03     8.76     0.00     0.00     8.65     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   50   -6      63.28     4.15    -6.95     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   49   -7      59.07     3.85   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            37   48   -2      61.22     4.10    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   48   -5      59.03     4.08    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         37   47   -6      57.58     3.81    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Queens_PR        36   46   -9      59.16     4.21   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   44  -12      54.37     4.06   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          36   43   -6      57.37     4.35    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      36   41   -3      54.15     4.22    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Leicester        37   40   -9      49.63     3.84   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.45R    0.03  
Derby            37   39   -9      50.48     3.91   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.02  
Hull             37   38   -8      48.44     3.82   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.93R    0.05  
Sheffield_W      37   34  -20      43.00     3.73   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.56R    3.62  
Millwall         37   32  -22      41.49     3.78   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.87R    9.09  
Brighton         37   29  -26      38.40     3.74   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.71R   25.84  
Crewe            36   27  -34      36.22     3.81   -42.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.10R   61.35  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Swindon_Town vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        36   67  +24      86.12     4.12    32.33    66.37    87.25    99.98    91.08P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   61  +18      81.50     4.86    23.90    18.30    49.84    98.28    62.19P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    36   61  +13      77.98     4.39    18.07     3.79    17.52    94.32    34.41P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        36   60  +17      75.59     4.33    19.67     1.93     8.79    85.78    29.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   59  +22      76.95     4.33    28.83     4.03    15.80    92.32    38.29P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      34   59  +13      78.13     4.90    16.96     5.55    20.39    91.96    37.21P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          35   53   +0      68.67     4.65     1.03     0.03     0.34    21.86     4.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    36   51   +4      64.81     4.40     4.09     0.00     0.04     6.51     1.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       35   49   +1      64.02     4.51     1.04     0.00     0.01     4.12     0.79P    0.07R    0.00  
Nottingham      36   48   +7      63.74     4.32    10.13     0.00     0.01     3.57     0.74P    0.06R    0.00  
Port_Vale       35   46   -5      59.93     4.57    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    1.59R    0.03  
Tranmere        36   44   +1      59.12     4.31     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    1.65R    0.04  
Scunthorpe      35   44   -4      58.88     4.59    -4.84     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    3.33R    0.10  
Bristol_City    36   43   -9      56.38     4.33    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.69R    0.55  
Bradford        35   42   +0      57.39     4.53     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    4.63R    0.15  
Bournemouth     35   42   -4      55.03     4.54    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.41R    0.69  
Yeovil          35   41  -11      54.60     4.55   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   17.89R    1.47  
Blackpool       35   40   -7      53.35     4.43   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.84R    2.17  
Gillingham      35   40  -13      51.24     4.36   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.18R    7.24  
Hartlepool      34   39   -9      52.11     4.60   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.11R    5.07  
Walsall         34   38  -13      52.27     4.71   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.71R    5.18  
Swindon_Town    36   38  -17      48.29     4.13   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.08R   21.95  
Rotherham       35   36  -11      48.48     4.48   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.67R   18.57  
Milton_Keynes   34   34  -17      46.79     4.56   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.05R   36.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Chester vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         35   62  +28      82.44     4.56    36.45    48.31    84.94    99.69    89.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   62  +20      79.67     4.35    26.30    17.62    65.34    98.54    73.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   61  +19      78.81     4.59    22.94    14.80    54.81    97.20    66.69P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   60  +20      78.88     4.52    25.78    15.41    57.74    97.97    70.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   60  +10      75.21     4.42    12.19     2.94    22.04    87.97    35.66P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   55  +13      71.56     4.32    17.10     0.45     7.08    69.86    24.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       35   54   +5      70.62     4.62     7.38     0.25     4.43    56.54    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   52   +7      68.07     4.52     8.51     0.07     1.50    34.81     8.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   50   -6      64.54     4.60    -7.24     0.00     0.17    10.78     1.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          33   46  +11      67.28     5.20    16.16     0.12     1.91    34.50    10.71P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   46   +7      61.79     4.65     8.08     0.01     0.04     5.96     1.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   45   -1      58.10     4.28    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.11P    0.07R    0.01  
Boston           34   45   -2      60.89     4.74    -2.78     0.00     0.01     3.50     0.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County     36   44  -10      55.66     4.19   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.42R    0.02  
Mansfield        36   42   -5      54.79     4.39    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.79R    0.07  
Rochdale         33   41   -2      57.86     5.19    -3.77     0.00     0.01     1.51     0.24P    0.38R    0.09  
Macclesfield     34   39   -8      54.21     4.96   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    2.73R    0.59  
Barnet           35   38  -11      50.93     4.44   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.30R    2.06  
Chester          34   37   -7      51.43     4.78   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.61R    1.59  
Oxford_Utd       34   37  -11      50.93     4.71   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    8.96R    2.26  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.68     4.70   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   10.35R    2.62  
Stockport        36   37  -20      48.29     4.22   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.21R    7.58  
Rushden_&_D      36   34  -25      43.53     4.03   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.94R   42.45  
Torquay          36   33  -20      43.28     4.15   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.18R   40.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Gravesend vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      32   76  +31      94.91     4.11    39.80    98.86   100.00    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        31   60  +21      80.42     4.32    28.98     1.13    98.50    34.58P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         32   57  +10      73.12     4.31    13.73     0.00    71.12    13.69P    0.00     0.00  
York            32   53  +19      69.58     4.44    23.14     0.00    45.52    11.48P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       32   53  +12      68.15     4.29    14.08     0.00    29.05     5.47P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           31   52  +19      71.24     4.57    26.15     0.01    60.92    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       32   51  +15      68.43     4.25    20.46     0.00    33.38     8.09P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          31   50  +17      70.12     4.55    24.77     0.00    51.13    12.29P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          30   44  +14      63.51     4.86    18.98     0.00     9.23     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          32   44   -2      58.26     4.38    -1.01     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       31   42   -1      57.02     4.53    -1.06     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       30   40   +3      57.38     4.86     4.37     0.00     0.48     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     32   40   -9      52.22     4.34   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Kidderminster   32   39   -6      49.54     4.12   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Aldershot       31   38  -14      52.01     4.67   -16.26     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.76     4.12   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.99R    0.09  
Canvey_Island   31   35  -12      47.37     4.47   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.58R    0.03  
Forest_Green    32   31   -8      42.43     4.28   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.04R    1.67  
Scarborough     32   29  -18      39.23     4.06   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.41R    6.02  
Tamworth        31   27  -26      37.75     4.24   -32.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.45R   15.39  
Crawley         31   26  -13      40.32     4.55   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.99R    6.12  
Southport       29   23  -32      32.66     4.33   -46.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.46R   70.68