Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 8 March 2006 at 23:53:09 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 March 2006, Wigan vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         28   72  +39      93.66     3.95    51.32    98.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    27   57  +26      78.97     4.17    38.75     1.01    87.43    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   55  +16      72.59     4.17    21.38     0.01    11.63    95.06    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +14      63.81     4.26    15.60     0.00     0.38    37.27    80.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   44  +21      63.45     4.08    29.57     0.00     0.33    37.37    82.11     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   43   +2      58.99     4.35     5.52     0.00     0.01     5.78    36.03     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   42   +6      61.58     4.79    11.07     0.00     0.20    20.35    61.98     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        27   42   +5      56.54     4.46     3.43     0.00     0.03     2.85    19.96     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    28   40   +6      53.66     4.31     5.76     0.00     0.00     0.80     8.32     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           28   40   -3      53.96     4.26    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.57     7.20     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   39   -1      52.05     4.21    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.58     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   37  -15      48.27     3.98   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.06R    0.00  
Charlton        28   36   -5      48.49     4.15    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   34   -2      48.58     4.17    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   34   -8      46.24     4.45   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.15R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32   -6      45.90     4.25    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.10R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   28   26  -17      34.22     3.80   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.41R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -16      32.70     4.08   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.98R    0.08  
Portsmouth      28   18  -30      25.61     3.63   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.25R    7.44  
Sunderland      28   10  -32      17.20     3.59   -42.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   92.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Wolverhampton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          37   89  +56     109.47     3.44    69.41    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      37   75  +27      90.85     4.13    32.29     0.02    73.35   100.00    80.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            36   69  +22      86.19     4.12    27.51     0.01    20.76    99.91    42.22P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   68  +24      82.82     3.89    27.89     0.00     5.22    99.53    25.34P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   60  +17      76.33     4.27    21.23     0.00     0.34    88.08    18.73P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          35   56  +20      76.95     4.28    28.40     0.00     0.32    91.00    29.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   55  +10      68.38     3.81    11.61     0.00     0.00    10.91     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   55   +8      67.76     4.06     8.80     0.00     0.00     8.69     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   50   -6      63.23     4.12    -7.04     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   49   -7      59.22     3.86   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            37   48   -2      61.18     4.16    -0.99     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   48   -5      59.07     4.07    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   47   -6      57.70     3.85    -7.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        36   46   -9      59.13     4.16   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   44  -12      54.42     4.05   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Burnley          36   43   -6      57.41     4.37    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      36   41   -3      54.09     4.22    -3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Leicester        37   40   -9      49.46     3.85   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.49R    0.01  
Derby            37   39   -9      50.52     3.89   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.01  
Hull             37   38   -8      48.50     3.87   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.46R    0.08  
Sheffield_W      37   34  -20      42.90     3.70   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.60R    4.36  
Millwall         37   32  -22      41.52     3.77   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.55R    9.04  
Brighton         37   29  -26      38.45     3.77   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.83R   26.22  
Crewe            36   27  -34      36.31     3.88   -42.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.75R   60.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Swindon_Town vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        36   67  +24      86.32     4.10    32.63    68.74    88.44    99.97    91.81P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   61  +18      81.36     4.82    23.73    16.31    48.88    98.33    61.88P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    36   61  +13      77.91     4.44    17.95     3.77    16.76    93.60    33.98P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        36   60  +17      75.46     4.38    19.55     1.80     8.66    85.12    28.49P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   59  +22      76.81     4.36    28.61     3.73    15.27    91.66    37.48P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      34   59  +13      78.27     4.84    17.20     5.62    21.65    92.47    38.56P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          35   53   +0      68.73     4.67     1.14     0.02     0.32    22.83     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    36   51   +4      64.88     4.41     4.23     0.00     0.03     6.95     1.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       35   49   +1      63.91     4.51     0.87     0.00     0.01     4.16     0.81P    0.06R    0.00  
Nottingham      36   48   +7      63.59     4.29     9.90     0.00     0.00     3.49     0.88P    0.07R    0.00  
Port_Vale       35   46   -5      59.89     4.51    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.07P    1.70R    0.03  
Tranmere        36   44   +1      59.16     4.33     3.24     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.08P    1.69R    0.04  
Scunthorpe      35   44   -4      58.77     4.59    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    3.22R    0.10  
Bristol_City    36   43   -9      56.22     4.27    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.24R    0.61  
Bradford        35   42   +0      57.42     4.52     0.78     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    4.81R    0.14  
Bournemouth     35   42   -4      55.09     4.54    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.47R    0.71  
Yeovil          35   41  -11      54.65     4.50   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   17.34R    1.51  
Blackpool       35   40   -7      53.38     4.46   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.02R    2.38  
Gillingham      35   40  -13      51.25     4.31   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.63R    7.21  
Hartlepool      34   39   -9      52.18     4.61   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.05R    5.33  
Walsall         34   38  -13      52.32     4.70   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.02R    4.97  
Swindon_Town    36   38  -17      48.45     4.14   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.93R   21.23  
Rotherham       35   36  -11      48.49     4.46   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.58R   19.09  
Milton_Keynes   34   34  -17      46.83     4.61   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.16R   36.63  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Chester vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         35   62  +28      82.27     4.55    36.25    46.63    83.97    99.61    88.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   62  +20      79.79     4.37    26.49    18.44    66.50    98.75    74.61P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   61  +19      78.93     4.59    23.11    15.65    55.41    97.52    67.78P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   60  +20      78.91     4.47    25.82    15.41    57.86    98.03    70.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   60  +10      75.04     4.46    11.95     2.94    21.34    87.11    34.80P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   55  +13      71.24     4.36    16.68     0.36     6.31    66.86    22.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       35   54   +5      70.82     4.60     7.68     0.33     4.88    58.31    15.95P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   52   +7      68.10     4.54     8.55     0.11     1.64    35.57     9.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   50   -6      64.61     4.62    -7.19     0.00     0.20    11.57     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          33   46  +11      67.19     5.22    16.13     0.11     1.81    34.41    10.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   46   +7      61.70     4.62     7.96     0.00     0.04     5.61     1.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   45   -1      57.99     4.33    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.18P    0.07R    0.00  
Boston           34   45   -2      60.99     4.77    -2.60     0.00     0.03     3.95     0.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County     36   44  -10      55.67     4.17   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.48R    0.04  
Mansfield        36   42   -5      54.69     4.34    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.79R    0.07  
Rochdale         33   41   -2      57.98     5.16    -3.61     0.00     0.01     1.51     0.25P    0.41R    0.07  
Macclesfield     34   39   -8      54.31     4.93    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    2.50R    0.43  
Barnet           35   38  -11      50.89     4.43   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    8.39R    2.03  
Chester          34   37   -7      51.42     4.73   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    6.67R    1.43  
Oxford_Utd       34   37  -11      51.05     4.74   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.53R    2.00  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.89     4.65   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    8.91R    2.14  
Stockport        36   37  -20      48.22     4.23   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.93R    7.69  
Rushden_&_D      36   34  -25      43.44     4.00   -31.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.26R   43.06  
Torquay          36   33  -20      43.26     4.17   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.03R   41.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Gravesend vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      32   76  +31      94.96     4.09    39.79    99.01   100.00    99.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        31   60  +21      80.32     4.31    28.82     0.97    98.47    34.23P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         32   57  +10      73.27     4.30    13.94     0.01    73.05    13.82P    0.00     0.00  
York            32   53  +19      69.45     4.37    23.01     0.00    43.38    10.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       32   53  +12      68.19     4.28    14.14     0.00    29.65     5.62P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           31   52  +19      71.19     4.62    26.14     0.01    60.31    13.21P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       32   51  +15      68.52     4.27    20.58     0.00    34.45     8.66P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          31   50  +17      70.10     4.55    24.73     0.00    51.01    12.68P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          30   44  +14      63.28     4.86    18.58     0.00     8.64     2.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          32   44   -2      58.32     4.35    -0.92     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       31   42   -1      57.03     4.52    -1.05     0.00     0.30     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       30   40   +3      57.40     4.76     4.42     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     32   40   -9      52.11     4.39   -11.25     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Kidderminster   32   39   -6      49.63     4.11   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Aldershot       31   38  -14      52.20     4.65   -15.92     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.46R    0.01  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.77     4.14   -28.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.94R    0.10  
Canvey_Island   31   35  -12      47.40     4.43   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.49R    0.06  
Forest_Green    32   31   -8      42.47     4.25   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.59R    1.50  
Scarborough     32   29  -18      39.12     4.05   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.43R    6.18  
Tamworth        31   27  -26      37.85     4.20   -32.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.33R   14.35  
Crawley         31   26  -13      40.32     4.55   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.19R    5.71  
Southport       29   23  -32      32.47     4.27   -46.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.96R   72.09