Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 7 March 2006 at 23:53:18 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 March 2006, Wigan vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         28   72  +39      93.64     3.99    51.28    98.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    27   57  +26      78.85     4.14    38.47     1.02    87.01    99.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   55  +16      72.57     4.16    21.37     0.00    12.16    94.77    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +14      63.80     4.26    15.59     0.00     0.38    37.00    80.44     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   44  +21      63.48     4.09    29.59     0.00     0.28    38.31    82.64     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   43   +2      59.01     4.38     5.53     0.00     0.01     6.08    36.58     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   42   +6      61.42     4.85    10.84     0.00     0.17    19.52    61.04     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        27   42   +5      56.70     4.43     3.72     0.00     0.00     3.13    20.71     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    28   40   +6      53.48     4.29     5.50     0.00     0.00     0.66     7.64     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           28   40   -3      53.95     4.27    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.56     7.15     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   39   -1      51.98     4.25    -2.01     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.62     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   37  -15      48.47     3.99   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03R    0.00  
Charlton        28   36   -5      48.42     4.14    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   34   -2      48.59     4.15    -0.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   34   -8      46.40     4.53   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.17R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32   -6      45.99     4.27    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.12R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   28   26  -17      34.21     3.81   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.33R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -16      32.78     4.04   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.27R    0.04  
Portsmouth      28   18  -30      25.72     3.67   -39.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.07R    6.52  
Sunderland      28   10  -32      17.03     3.55   -43.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   93.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Wolverhampton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          37   89  +56     109.34     3.44    69.21    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      37   75  +27      90.88     4.12    32.30     0.02    73.77   100.00    80.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            36   69  +22      86.14     4.13    27.47     0.00    20.69    99.93    41.62P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   68  +24      82.87     3.84    28.05     0.00     4.83    99.57    25.95P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   60  +17      76.37     4.29    21.25     0.00     0.41    87.56    18.80P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          35   56  +20      77.02     4.29    28.46     0.00     0.30    90.78    29.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   55  +10      68.43     3.84    11.68     0.00     0.00    11.50     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   55   +8      67.76     4.06     8.85     0.00     0.00     8.66     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   50   -6      63.36     4.16    -6.86     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   49   -7      59.15     3.84   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            37   48   -2      61.02     4.15    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   48   -5      59.16     4.07    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   47   -6      57.66     3.87    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        36   46   -9      59.19     4.25   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   44  -12      54.34     4.01   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          36   43   -6      57.51     4.39    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      36   41   -3      53.99     4.21    -3.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.23R    0.00  
Leicester        37   40   -9      49.52     3.85   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.56R    0.01  
Derby            37   39   -9      50.44     3.93   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.22R    0.01  
Hull             37   38   -8      48.48     3.90   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.13R    0.07  
Sheffield_W      37   34  -20      43.01     3.71   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.74R    3.87  
Millwall         37   32  -22      41.57     3.75   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.72R    7.97  
Brighton         37   29  -26      38.42     3.79   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.26R   26.02  
Crewe            36   27  -34      36.17     3.86   -42.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.03R   62.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Swindon_Town vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        36   67  +24      86.28     4.11    32.55    67.37    88.25    99.94    91.86P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   61  +18      81.54     4.83    24.02    17.77    50.23    98.39    62.75P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    36   61  +13      78.07     4.39    18.20     3.83    17.64    94.33    34.69P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        36   60  +17      75.53     4.36    19.64     1.83     8.45    85.81    28.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   59  +22      76.88     4.32    28.68     3.89    14.81    92.17    37.46P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      34   59  +13      78.12     4.93    16.96     5.29    20.25    91.88    37.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          35   53   +0      68.75     4.68     1.14     0.01     0.34    22.24     4.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    36   51   +4      64.88     4.36     4.18     0.01     0.03     6.48     1.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       35   49   +1      63.92     4.48     0.91     0.00     0.00     4.09     0.76P    0.07R    0.00  
Nottingham      36   48   +7      63.69     4.30    10.01     0.00     0.00     3.28     0.74P    0.06R    0.00  
Port_Vale       35   46   -5      60.10     4.54    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.12P    1.42R    0.01  
Tranmere        36   44   +1      59.16     4.32     3.20     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P    1.40R    0.04  
Scunthorpe      35   44   -4      58.75     4.55    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.01P    3.30R    0.15  
Bristol_City    36   43   -9      56.35     4.35    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.87R    0.54  
Bradford        35   42   +0      57.36     4.54     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    4.62R    0.13  
Bournemouth     35   42   -4      54.85     4.43    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.86R    0.62  
Yeovil          35   41  -11      54.82     4.58   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   16.98R    1.42  
Blackpool       35   40   -7      53.48     4.50    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.98R    2.20  
Gillingham      35   40  -13      51.14     4.29   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.07R    7.18  
Hartlepool      34   39   -9      52.15     4.64   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   34.11R    4.90  
Walsall         34   38  -13      52.18     4.74   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.76R    5.17  
Swindon_Town    36   38  -17      48.31     4.11   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.92R   21.51  
Rotherham       35   36  -11      48.47     4.40   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.78R   17.98  
Milton_Keynes   34   34  -17      46.61     4.58   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.82R   38.16  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Chester vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         35   62  +28      82.37     4.53    36.40    46.58    84.28    99.67    89.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   62  +20      79.95     4.36    26.79    19.20    67.58    98.86    76.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   61  +19      78.93     4.58    23.10    15.14    55.62    97.59    67.58P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   60  +20      78.94     4.48    25.87    15.51    57.09    98.33    70.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   60  +10      75.09     4.43    12.00     2.79    21.49    87.64    34.80P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   55  +13      71.32     4.37    16.78     0.35     6.42    68.45    23.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       35   54   +5      70.59     4.61     7.33     0.29     4.18    56.83    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   52   +7      67.97     4.56     8.32     0.08     1.50    35.23     8.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   50   -6      64.42     4.55    -7.46     0.00     0.20    10.41     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          33   46  +11      67.11     5.16    15.94     0.06     1.58    34.11    10.34P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   46   +7      61.80     4.63     8.11     0.00     0.04     6.05     1.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   45   -1      58.08     4.33    -1.98     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.18P    0.08R    0.00  
Boston           34   45   -2      60.95     4.76    -2.66     0.00     0.01     4.02     0.69P    0.06R    0.01  
Notts_County     36   44  -10      55.77     4.20   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.37R    0.03  
Mansfield        36   42   -5      54.71     4.35    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.84R    0.12  
Rochdale         33   41   -2      58.08     5.13    -3.37     0.00     0.01     1.66     0.34P    0.34R    0.05  
Macclesfield     34   39   -8      54.19     4.94   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    2.81R    0.59  
Barnet           35   38  -11      50.91     4.46   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.57R    2.06  
Chester          34   37   -7      51.40     4.82   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     7.02R    1.58  
Oxford_Utd       34   37  -11      51.09     4.68   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.36R    1.98  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.79     4.70   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.35R    2.40  
Stockport        36   37  -20      48.26     4.24   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.41R    7.58  
Rushden_&_D      36   34  -25      43.43     4.03   -31.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.96R   42.98  
Torquay          36   33  -20      43.29     4.14   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.84R   40.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2006, Gravesend vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      32   76  +31      94.97     4.12    39.83    98.93   100.00    99.20P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        31   60  +21      80.24     4.32    28.74     1.06    98.41    34.70P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         32   57  +10      73.28     4.34    13.90     0.01    72.46    13.48P    0.00     0.00  
York            32   53  +19      69.52     4.36    23.07     0.00    44.27    10.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       32   53  +12      68.31     4.30    14.36     0.00    30.47     5.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           31   52  +19      71.28     4.60    26.21     0.00    61.43    13.10P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       32   51  +15      68.36     4.27    20.37     0.00    32.85     8.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          31   50  +17      70.00     4.53    24.61     0.00    50.26    12.71P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          30   44  +14      63.33     4.87    18.73     0.00     8.72     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          32   44   -2      58.31     4.35    -0.93     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       31   42   -1      56.88     4.48    -1.22     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       30   40   +3      57.45     4.82     4.50     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     32   40   -9      52.15     4.34   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Kidderminster   32   39   -6      49.55     4.10   -10.26     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Aldershot       31   38  -14      52.10     4.68   -16.17     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.45R    0.01  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.72     4.15   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.22R    0.15  
Canvey_Island   31   35  -12      47.48     4.45   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.00R    0.09  
Forest_Green    32   31   -8      42.36     4.23   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.07R    1.70  
Scarborough     32   29  -18      39.16     4.06   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.95R    6.83  
Tamworth        31   27  -26      37.91     4.19   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.33R   14.59  
Crawley         31   26  -13      40.20     4.54   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.44R    6.71  
Southport       29   23  -32      32.80     4.34   -46.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.94R   69.92