Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 6 March 2006 at 23:53:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 March 2006, Wigan vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         28   72  +39      93.71     3.94    51.39    99.03    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    27   57  +26      78.90     4.15    38.59     0.96    86.53    99.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   55  +16      72.69     4.16    21.53     0.01    12.70    95.31    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +14      63.82     4.23    15.61     0.00     0.32    37.43    81.06     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   44  +21      63.42     4.09    29.51     0.00     0.31    36.94    82.22     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   43   +2      59.00     4.35     5.51     0.00     0.00     6.13    36.30     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   42   +6      61.53     4.79    10.95     0.00     0.14    20.08    61.80     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        27   42   +5      56.51     4.47     3.36     0.00     0.01     2.79    19.71     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    28   40   +6      53.56     4.29     5.68     0.00     0.00     0.68     7.92     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           28   40   -3      53.94     4.24    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.62     6.93     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   39   -1      51.96     4.22    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.18     2.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   37  -15      48.40     3.98   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.06R    0.00  
Charlton        28   36   -5      48.49     4.13    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   34   -2      48.56     4.12    -0.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   34   -8      46.43     4.54   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.39     0.17R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32   -6      45.88     4.19    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.13R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   28   26  -17      34.26     3.78   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.58R    0.01  
Birmingham      27   23  -16      32.68     4.03   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.88R    0.05  
Portsmouth      28   18  -30      25.66     3.69   -39.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.16R    7.09  
Sunderland      28   10  -32      17.13     3.59   -42.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   92.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 March 2006, Watford vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          37   89  +56     109.45     3.45    69.40    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      37   75  +27      90.94     4.13    32.38     0.03    73.89    99.99    80.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            36   69  +22      86.09     4.08    27.35     0.00    19.96    99.84    41.28P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   68  +24      82.80     3.87    27.94     0.00     5.06    99.25    25.41P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   60  +17      76.43     4.26    21.31     0.00     0.43    85.92    18.43P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   55  +20      77.73     4.59    29.04     0.00     0.65    90.16    29.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   55   +8      67.60     4.00     8.54     0.00     0.00     7.20     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   54  +10      69.43     4.09    12.53     0.00     0.00    15.94     3.53P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   50   -6      63.26     4.17    -7.02     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   49   -7      59.11     3.84   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            37   48   -2      61.20     4.15    -0.99     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   48   -5      59.11     4.08    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   46   -6      57.65     4.08    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Queens_PR        36   46   -9      59.18     4.21   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          36   43   -6      57.25     4.38    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Stoke            35   43  -12      54.19     4.23   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Southampton      36   41   -3      54.10     4.21    -3.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Leicester        37   40   -9      49.53     3.83   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.01  
Derby            37   39   -9      50.41     3.93   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.01  
Hull             37   38   -8      48.60     3.85   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.80R    0.06  
Sheffield_W      37   34  -20      43.10     3.71   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.21R    3.78  
Millwall         37   32  -22      41.50     3.77   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.70R    8.63  
Brighton         37   29  -26      38.45     3.77   -29.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.81R   25.93  
Crewe            36   27  -34      36.22     3.82   -42.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.11R   61.58  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 March 2006, Huddersfield vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        36   67  +24      86.30     4.15    32.60    71.61    89.26    99.97    92.59P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    36   61  +13      78.04     4.41    18.14     4.14    20.11    94.55    36.69P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        36   60  +17      75.55     4.36    19.71     2.00    10.06    86.15    30.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   59  +22      76.99     4.32    28.87     4.30    17.75    92.27    39.99P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      34   59  +13      78.22     4.89    17.06     5.99    23.29    92.80    39.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   58  +17      79.85     5.08    22.87    11.92    39.09    95.92    53.77P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          35   53   +0      68.64     4.66     0.98     0.04     0.40    22.66     4.15P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    36   51   +4      64.79     4.37     4.12     0.00     0.04     6.46     1.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster       35   49   +1      64.00     4.50     0.99     0.01     0.01     4.50     0.87P    0.05R    0.00  
Nottingham      36   48   +7      63.73     4.27    10.07     0.00     0.01     3.48     0.74P    0.07R    0.00  
Port_Vale       35   46   -5      59.92     4.51    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.06P    1.66R    0.03  
Scunthorpe      35   44   -4      58.84     4.57    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    3.31R    0.14  
Bristol_City    36   43   -9      56.28     4.32    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.94R    0.71  
Bradford        35   42   +0      57.50     4.56     0.89     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.06P    4.99R    0.18  
Bournemouth     35   42   -4      54.98     4.52    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   13.72R    0.77  
Tranmere        35   41   +0      57.29     4.62     1.94     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    5.86R    0.44  
Yeovil          34   41  -10      55.90     4.82   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   13.55R    1.01  
Blackpool       35   40   -7      53.33     4.45   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   24.48R    2.60  
Gillingham      35   40  -13      51.28     4.31   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.20R    8.03  
Hartlepool      34   39   -9      52.20     4.61   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.24R    5.25  
Walsall         34   38  -13      52.30     4.73   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.15R    5.46  
Swindon_Town    35   38  -16      49.71     4.36   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.54R   15.29  
Rotherham       35   36  -11      48.39     4.42   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.67R   20.43  
Milton_Keynes   34   34  -17      46.74     4.59   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.54R   39.65  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 March 2006, Shrewsbury vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         35   62  +28      82.21     4.55    36.15    46.31    84.20    99.54    89.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   62  +20      79.68     4.36    26.29    18.30    65.52    98.54    74.39P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   61  +19      78.83     4.59    22.99    15.18    55.09    97.22    66.63P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   60  +20      78.97     4.51    25.95    16.26    58.69    98.02    71.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   60  +10      75.08     4.40    12.04     2.97    21.60    87.20    35.40P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   55  +13      71.26     4.37    16.69     0.41     6.26    67.74    22.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       35   54   +5      70.74     4.64     7.62     0.36     4.90    57.95    15.41P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   52   +7      68.12     4.55     8.56     0.11     1.68    35.56     9.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   50   -6      64.52     4.57    -7.25     0.01     0.11    10.89     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          33   46  +11      67.25     5.16    16.18     0.08     1.90    34.78    11.13P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   46   +7      61.77     4.65     8.11     0.00     0.04     5.98     1.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   45   -1      58.08     4.32    -1.98     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.17P    0.07R    0.01  
Boston           34   45   -2      60.94     4.75    -2.65     0.00     0.01     3.70     0.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County     36   44  -10      55.66     4.17   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.38R    0.04  
Mansfield        36   42   -5      54.80     4.38    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.65R    0.09  
Rochdale         33   41   -2      57.90     5.13    -3.71     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.33P    0.23R    0.02  
Macclesfield     34   39   -8      54.22     4.90    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    2.39R    0.52  
Barnet           35   38  -11      50.91     4.45   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.32R    1.82  
Bury             33   37  -11      53.06     5.01   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    4.42R    0.93  
Oxford_Utd       34   37  -11      50.95     4.78   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.30R    1.98  
Chester          33   36   -7      52.24     5.04    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    5.32R    1.24  
Stockport        35   34  -21      46.04     4.48   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.02R   16.74  
Rushden_&_D      36   34  -25      43.55     4.08   -31.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.62R   38.09  
Torquay          35   32  -20      43.24     4.37   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.27R   38.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 March 2006, Woking vs Cambridge_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      31   73  +28      93.54     4.46    37.11    98.17   100.00    98.59P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        30   57  +20      79.00     4.62    28.27     1.72    96.62    34.84P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         32   57  +10      73.36     4.31    14.06     0.03    74.44    14.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       32   53  +12      68.37     4.29    14.40     0.00    32.95     6.26P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           30   51  +19      71.94     4.89    26.82     0.07    67.11    14.62P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       32   51  +15      68.40     4.25    20.41     0.01    34.86     8.61P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          31   50  +17      70.02     4.50    24.65     0.00    52.21    13.26P    0.00     0.00  
York            31   50  +17      67.44     4.67    20.46     0.01    29.34     7.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          30   44  +14      63.19     4.85    18.37     0.00     8.94     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          32   44   -2      58.40     4.32    -0.75     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend       30   42   +0      58.01     4.80    -0.49     0.00     0.83     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       29   40   +5      59.29     5.15     7.21     0.00     2.19     0.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   32   39   -6      49.55     4.07   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     31   39   -9      52.21     4.66   -11.75     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Aldershot       30   38  -11      53.39     4.91   -13.24     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.26R    0.01  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.71     4.12   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.66R    0.14  
Canvey_Island   31   35  -12      47.44     4.48   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.16R    0.06  
Forest_Green    32   31   -8      42.46     4.24   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.41R    1.50  
Scarborough     32   29  -18      39.19     4.01   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.60R    6.04  
Tamworth        31   27  -26      37.92     4.22   -32.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.96R   14.12  
Crawley         31   26  -13      39.99     4.56   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.92R    6.81  
Southport       29   23  -32      32.57     4.30   -46.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.43R   71.33