Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 5 March 2006 at 00:47:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 March 2006, West_Ham vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         28   72  +39      93.69     3.90    51.35    99.47   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   55  +16      72.57     4.12    21.39     0.02    18.25    95.18    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.47     4.40    37.95     0.51    80.31    99.42    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +13      62.61     4.51    15.22     0.00     0.41    28.95    70.12     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   44  +21      63.53     4.09    29.67     0.00     0.62    39.35    82.14     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   43   +3      59.96     4.59     5.95     0.00     0.07    10.71    44.78     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   42   +6      61.58     4.85    11.13     0.00     0.32    20.98    61.09     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        27   42   +5      56.51     4.49     3.37     0.00     0.01     3.10    19.39     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           27   40   -2      55.24     4.47    -1.87     0.00     0.01     1.46    11.64     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   39   -1      51.99     4.19    -1.94     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.54     0.01R    0.00  
Manchester_C    27   37   +5      53.10     4.48     6.62     0.00     0.00     0.70     7.32     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   37  -15      48.48     3.96   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.01R    0.00  
Charlton        28   36   -5      48.56     4.14    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   34   -2      48.69     4.12    -0.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   34   -8      46.34     4.51   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.17R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32   -6      45.84     4.21    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.15R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   28   26  -17      34.09     3.79   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.48R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -16      32.59     4.03   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.02R    0.06  
Portsmouth      28   18  -30      25.63     3.62   -39.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.17R    7.88  
Sunderland      27   10  -31      17.30     3.68   -44.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   92.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 March 2006, Watford vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          37   89  +56     109.40     3.43    69.29    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      37   75  +27      90.87     4.17    32.26     0.02    72.92   100.00    79.72P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            36   69  +22      86.22     4.12    27.59     0.00    20.77    99.89    42.59P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   68  +24      82.82     3.87    27.92     0.01     5.08    99.28    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   60  +17      76.43     4.31    21.37     0.00     0.45    85.43    18.14P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   55  +20      77.70     4.58    28.89     0.00     0.78    90.28    29.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   55   +8      67.69     4.05     8.69     0.00     0.00     7.61     1.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   54  +10      69.45     4.10    12.56     0.00     0.00    15.93     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   50   -6      63.21     4.18    -7.06     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   49   -7      59.22     3.85   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            37   48   -2      61.20     4.14    -0.93     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   48   -5      59.06     4.05    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   46   -6      57.60     4.09    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        36   46   -9      59.25     4.16   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          36   43   -6      57.39     4.43    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            35   43  -12      54.07     4.22   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Southampton      36   41   -3      53.99     4.25    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Leicester        37   40   -9      49.43     3.84   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.00  
Derby            37   39   -9      50.40     3.92   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.31R    0.01  
Hull             37   38   -8      48.44     3.87   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.46R    0.06  
Sheffield_W      37   34  -20      42.94     3.67   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.50R    4.11  
Millwall         37   32  -22      41.74     3.82   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.86R    8.41  
Brighton         37   29  -26      38.55     3.79   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.92R   25.48  
Crewe            36   27  -34      36.30     3.88   -42.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.64R   61.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 March 2006, Huddersfield vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        36   67  +24      86.14     4.17    32.38    70.31    88.50    99.97    91.81P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    36   61  +13      77.96     4.37    18.03     4.26    19.68    94.44    36.09P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        36   60  +17      75.54     4.35    19.65     2.19    10.24    86.11    30.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   59  +22      76.95     4.31    28.82     4.36    17.85    92.21    40.09P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      34   59  +13      78.20     4.92    17.02     6.30    23.80    92.50    39.92P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   58  +17      79.76     5.11    22.72    12.54    39.44    95.86    53.92P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          35   53   +0      68.66     4.67     1.02     0.03     0.44    22.46     4.37P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    36   51   +4      64.79     4.42     4.09     0.00     0.04     6.96     1.64P    0.04R    0.00  
Doncaster       35   49   +1      63.97     4.48     0.96     0.00     0.03     4.42     0.88P    0.07R    0.01  
Nottingham      36   48   +7      63.71     4.32    10.03     0.00     0.00     3.69     0.86P    0.11R    0.00  
Port_Vale       35   46   -5      59.95     4.52    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.10P    1.83R    0.04  
Scunthorpe      35   44   -4      58.79     4.59    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    3.68R    0.13  
Bristol_City    36   43   -9      56.32     4.27    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    9.44R    0.64  
Bradford        35   42   +0      57.47     4.53     0.87     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    5.03R    0.19  
Bournemouth     35   42   -4      55.08     4.50    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   13.27R    0.83  
Tranmere        35   41   +0      57.36     4.58     2.03     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    5.57R    0.36  
Yeovil          34   41  -10      55.95     4.83   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   13.52R    1.03  
Blackpool       35   40   -7      53.51     4.48    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   23.37R    2.56  
Gillingham      35   40  -13      51.30     4.35   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.73R    7.88  
Hartlepool      34   39   -9      52.03     4.59   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.23R    5.92  
Walsall         34   38  -13      52.30     4.71   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.70R    5.54  
Swindon_Town    35   38  -16      49.69     4.37   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.10R   15.91  
Rotherham       35   36  -11      48.54     4.43   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.78R   19.71  
Milton_Keynes   34   34  -17      46.79     4.58   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.52R   39.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 March 2006, Shrewsbury vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         35   62  +28      82.31     4.49    36.30    46.30    84.63    99.66    89.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          36   62  +20      79.88     4.29    26.58    18.33    66.94    98.86    75.80P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   61  +19      78.91     4.59    23.08    15.66    55.44    97.39    67.19P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   60  +20      78.96     4.47    25.86    15.76    57.70    98.13    71.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   60  +10      75.10     4.47    11.97     3.06    21.59    87.25    35.10P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   55  +13      71.26     4.34    16.72     0.34     6.04    68.05    22.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       35   54   +5      70.62     4.61     7.41     0.30     4.07    57.14    14.81P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   52   +7      68.02     4.60     8.44     0.10     1.71    35.83     9.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   50   -6      64.59     4.57    -7.20     0.01     0.15    11.29     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          33   46  +11      67.06     5.23    15.87     0.12     1.68    33.61    10.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       35   46   +7      61.76     4.63     8.10     0.01     0.02     5.90     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   45   -1      58.11     4.33    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.20P    0.07R    0.00  
Boston           34   45   -2      60.94     4.77    -2.69     0.00     0.03     3.91     0.76P    0.05R    0.01  
Notts_County     36   44  -10      55.71     4.14   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.30R    0.01  
Mansfield        36   42   -5      54.80     4.38    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.62R    0.07  
Rochdale         33   41   -2      57.94     5.20    -3.66     0.00     0.01     1.67     0.33P    0.32R    0.06  
Macclesfield     34   39   -8      54.09     4.96   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    2.42R    0.42  
Barnet           35   38  -11      51.00     4.49   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.15R    1.73  
Bury             33   37  -11      52.88     5.03   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    4.75R    0.94  
Oxford_Utd       34   37  -11      50.97     4.72   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     7.49R    1.78  
Chester          33   36   -7      52.45     5.05    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.89R    1.17  
Stockport        35   34  -21      46.11     4.49   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.30R   16.43  
Rushden_&_D      36   34  -25      43.51     4.05   -31.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.31R   37.76  
Torquay          35   32  -20      43.14     4.37   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.34R   39.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 March 2006, Woking vs Cambridge_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      31   73  +28      93.69     4.46    37.30    98.41   100.00    98.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        30   57  +20      78.83     4.60    28.03     1.49    96.42    33.80P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         32   57  +10      73.25     4.30    13.94     0.05    73.71    14.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       32   53  +12      68.36     4.30    14.38     0.00    33.14     6.29P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           30   51  +19      71.90     4.88    26.68     0.05    66.98    14.15P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       32   51  +15      68.36     4.30    20.37     0.00    34.53     8.29P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          31   50  +17      69.99     4.55    24.57     0.01    52.34    13.45P    0.00     0.00  
York            31   50  +17      67.54     4.63    20.60     0.00    29.91     7.38P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          30   44  +14      63.31     4.88    18.58     0.00     9.47     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          32   44   -2      58.20     4.33    -1.05     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend       30   42   +0      58.17     4.78    -0.31     0.00     1.01     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       29   40   +5      59.41     5.13     7.40     0.00     2.04     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   32   39   -6      49.52     4.08   -10.29     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     31   39   -9      52.14     4.63   -11.92     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.28R    0.01  
Aldershot       30   38  -11      53.30     4.91   -13.45     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.30R    0.00  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.83     4.12   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.76R    0.14  
Canvey_Island   31   35  -12      47.34     4.43   -16.16     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.34R    0.07  
Forest_Green    32   31   -8      42.33     4.19   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.10R    1.57  
Scarborough     32   29  -18      39.13     4.04   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.73R    6.36  
Tamworth        31   27  -26      38.05     4.24   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.20R   13.51  
Crawley         31   26  -13      40.17     4.53   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.26R    6.38  
Southport       29   23  -32      32.53     4.30   -46.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.69R   71.97