Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 27 February 2006 at 23:53:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 February 2006, West_Bromwich vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         27   69  +38      92.86     4.15    51.45    98.78    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.77     4.39    38.47     1.15    74.78    99.52    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   54  +16      73.96     4.38    22.78     0.07    23.95    96.93    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +13      62.61     4.49    15.28     0.00     0.28    29.10    69.57     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   43   +3      59.94     4.61     5.98     0.00     0.04    10.59    43.77     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          25   42   +8      63.50     5.03    14.04     0.00     0.81    35.84    74.25     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   41  +17      61.16     4.44    24.51     0.00     0.16    19.95    62.45     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.82     4.64     4.96     0.00     0.03     5.65    27.86     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           27   40   -2      55.24     4.54    -1.84     0.00     0.00     1.57    12.54     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    27   37   +5      53.08     4.45     6.50     0.00     0.00     0.73     7.03     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -3      49.72     4.46    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.08     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         27   36  -15      47.65     4.18   -20.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.13R    0.00  
Charlton        27   35   -5      47.92     4.27    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.09R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32   -2      47.83     4.47    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   31   -3      48.07     4.35     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.20R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   31   -9      45.07     4.72   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.94R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   27   26  -16      34.66     3.97   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.16R    0.01  
Birmingham      26   23  -15      33.57     4.32   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.63R    0.07  
Portsmouth      27   18  -29      26.25     3.85   -39.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R    7.17  
Sunderland      27   10  -31      17.41     3.71   -44.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   92.75  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, Watford vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          36   86  +53     108.24     3.71    66.89    99.78   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      36   74  +27      92.69     4.30    35.31     0.22    83.67   100.00    87.35P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   67  +24      84.11     4.11    29.49     0.00     6.59    99.34    27.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            35   66  +21      84.24     4.40    26.15     0.01     8.51    99.20    32.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   60  +18      78.04     4.54    22.80     0.00     0.82    89.10    19.86P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   55  +20      77.85     4.59    29.23     0.00     0.41    89.14    28.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   53  +10      70.06     4.34    12.96     0.00     0.01    16.62     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   52   +7      66.96     4.29     8.94     0.00     0.00     4.78     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   50   -6      63.13     4.12    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            36   48   -1      62.93     4.39     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         36   47   -5      59.05     4.26    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          36   46   -8      57.75     4.11   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        35   45   -9      59.41     4.48   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   43   -3      58.52     4.61    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         35   43   -7      56.34     4.34    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Stoke            34   43  -11      55.00     4.48   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Southampton      35   40   -3      54.80     4.47    -3.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.20R    0.01  
Hull             36   38   -7      49.85     4.10    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.03  
Derby            36   38   -9      49.92     4.08   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.77R    0.02  
Leicester        36   37  -10      47.90     4.08   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.07R    0.08  
Sheffield_W      36   34  -19      43.68     3.90   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.53R    2.17  
Millwall         36   29  -23      39.46     4.08   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.18R   17.41  
Brighton         36   29  -25      39.44     4.02   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.86R   14.84  
Crewe            35   26  -34      35.36     3.96   -45.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.23R   65.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, Southend vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        35   64  +21      83.80     4.43    28.31    43.67    68.24    99.57    76.76P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    35   60  +13      78.98     4.65    19.00     8.81    24.50    93.34    39.76P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      33   59  +16      80.49     5.11    21.34    18.46    37.60    95.22    52.97P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   58  +22      76.87     4.54    28.13     5.63    16.09    87.95    35.77P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        34   58  +17      76.75     4.86    20.31     5.52    15.28    85.11    33.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       32   57  +17      80.24     5.37    22.94    17.84    37.70    94.53    51.73P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          35   53   +0      68.69     4.63     1.08     0.03     0.30    18.45     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    35   51   +7      67.55     4.60     9.36     0.03     0.21    15.40     3.54P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      35   47   +7      63.94     4.53     9.81     0.00     0.01     3.67     0.95P    0.09R    0.00  
Doncaster       33   47   +1      64.04     5.01    -0.12     0.01     0.05     4.81     0.99P    0.17R    0.00  
Port_Vale       34   46   -4      61.77     4.86    -4.55     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.28P    0.68R    0.01  
Bradford        35   42   +0      57.36     4.53     0.69     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    4.58R    0.18  
Bristol_City    35   42   -9      56.83     4.57    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    7.87R    0.54  
Tranmere        35   41   +0      57.36     4.55     2.01     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    4.75R    0.28  
Bournemouth     34   41   -4      55.31     4.73    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   12.09R    0.84  
Scunthorpe      34   41   -5      56.66     4.87    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    9.06R    0.74  
Blackpool       35   40   -7      53.52     4.49    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.59R    2.23  
Gillingham      35   40  -13      51.32     4.33   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.23R    7.26  
Hartlepool      34   39   -9      52.12     4.58   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.40R    5.20  
Walsall         34   38  -13      52.38     4.69   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.90R    5.00  
Yeovil          33   38  -13      52.88     4.96   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.69R    5.19  
Swindon_Town    35   38  -16      49.62     4.40   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.06R   15.69  
Rotherham       35   36  -11      48.52     4.46   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.51R   19.11  
Milton_Keynes   34   34  -17      46.83     4.59   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.33R   37.74  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, Wycombe vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         35   62  +28      82.25     4.56    36.19    37.87    80.00    99.65    86.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          35   62  +21      81.31     4.61    27.72    25.27    71.85    99.25    79.29P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   60  +20      78.89     4.45    25.74    11.86    50.63    98.39    66.09P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          34   60  +19      80.12     4.84    24.25    18.92    59.83    98.34    70.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   58  +10      76.67     4.91    13.21     5.60    28.82    92.02    42.23P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   52  +11      70.29     4.64    15.78     0.20     3.60    61.19    18.89P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   52   +7      67.99     4.59     8.42     0.04     1.13    37.47     8.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       34   51   +4      68.80     4.83     6.17     0.12     1.85    43.68     9.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   50   -6      64.53     4.59    -7.30     0.00     0.12    12.80     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   46   +7      61.76     4.65     8.07     0.00     0.03     6.61     1.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          32   45  +11      67.63     5.46    16.18     0.13     2.12    40.41    12.10P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           34   45   -2      60.98     4.72    -2.63     0.00     0.01     4.21     0.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       35   44   -1      58.26     4.51    -2.18     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.23P    0.07R    0.01  
Notts_County     35   43  -10      56.33     4.45   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.03P    0.39R    0.03  
Mansfield        35   41   -5      54.99     4.64    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    0.85R    0.09  
Rochdale         32   40   -2      58.94     5.46    -2.65     0.00     0.02     3.80     0.64P    0.34R    0.04  
Macclesfield     34   39   -8      54.07     4.91   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    2.56R    0.50  
Oxford_Utd       34   37  -11      51.07     4.72   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    7.34R    1.77  
Chester          33   36   -7      52.51     5.02    -8.95     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    4.86R    1.08  
Barnet           33   36  -11      50.51     4.84   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.73R    3.07  
Bury             32   36  -11      52.54     5.22   -14.78     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P    5.82R    1.36  
Stockport        34   34  -19      47.18     4.66   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.07R   11.84  
Rushden_&_D      35   33  -25      43.25     4.22   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.53R   41.07  
Torquay          35   32  -20      43.13     4.35   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.41R   39.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 February 2006, Hereford vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      30   70  +27      92.27     4.72    36.55    96.91   100.00    97.70P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        30   57  +20      78.61     4.68    27.57     2.88    96.16    34.38P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         32   57  +10      73.35     4.35    13.97     0.07    74.85    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       32   53  +12      68.31     4.30    14.41     0.01    32.73     6.62P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       32   51  +15      68.42     4.26    20.45     0.00    37.33     9.54P    0.00     0.00  
York            31   50  +17      67.63     4.70    20.74     0.02    32.02     7.78P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           29   48  +14      70.62     5.15    22.15     0.10    56.66    11.52P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          30   47  +12      68.85     4.82    20.45     0.01    42.41    10.22P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          29   44  +15      65.94     5.14    21.63     0.00    23.36     5.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          32   44   -2      58.23     4.36    -1.03     0.00     0.38     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       29   41   +0      58.98     5.04     0.35     0.00     1.74     0.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       29   40   +5      59.44     5.13     7.48     0.00     2.27     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   31   38   -6      49.79     4.40   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.01  
Aldershot       30   38  -11      53.22     4.96   -13.58     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.46R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     30   36  -10      49.50     4.82   -14.59     0.00     0.01     0.01P    2.58R    0.02  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.75     4.13   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.93R    0.21  
Canvey_Island   31   35  -12      47.27     4.48   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.05R    0.14  
Forest_Green    31   30   -8      43.14     4.55   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.47R    2.14  
Scarborough     32   29  -18      39.30     4.07   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.07R    8.53  
Tamworth        30   27  -21      39.02     4.49   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.24R   13.78  
Crawley         29   25  -12      40.86     5.05   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.48R    8.23  
Southport       28   23  -27      33.57     4.53   -41.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.80R   66.94