Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 26 February 2006 at 23:53:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 February 2006, West_Bromwich vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         27   69  +38      92.87     4.15    51.47    98.83    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.68     4.41    38.46     1.15    74.28    99.41    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   54  +16      73.94     4.39    22.78     0.03    24.38    96.50    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +13      62.64     4.49    15.26     0.00     0.30    28.82    69.53     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   43   +3      59.97     4.60     5.96     0.00     0.04    10.61    44.20     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          25   42   +8      63.59     5.02    14.13     0.00     0.81    36.66    74.73     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   41  +17      61.30     4.42    24.68     0.00     0.17    20.08    63.10     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.85     4.69     5.00     0.00     0.03     5.82    27.34     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           27   40   -2      55.19     4.51    -1.87     0.00     0.01     1.28    11.70     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    27   37   +5      53.19     4.47     6.74     0.00     0.00     0.70     6.99     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -3      49.71     4.42    -4.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.18     0.04R    0.00  
Everton         27   36  -15      47.62     4.12   -20.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.14R    0.00  
Charlton        27   35   -5      47.90     4.27    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.43     0.08R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32   -2      47.83     4.48    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.11R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   31   -3      47.96     4.36     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.12R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   31   -9      45.05     4.72   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.98R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   27   26  -16      34.65     3.86   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.20R    0.01  
Birmingham      26   23  -15      33.64     4.32   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.38R    0.10  
Portsmouth      27   18  -29      26.13     3.81   -40.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.94R    7.24  
Sunderland      27   10  -31      17.39     3.68   -43.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   92.65  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, Watford vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          36   86  +53     108.28     3.70    67.04    99.80   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      36   74  +27      92.79     4.24    35.49     0.20    84.45   100.00    88.47P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   67  +24      84.26     4.14    29.72     0.00     6.29    99.38    27.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            35   66  +21      84.24     4.35    26.17     0.00     7.85    99.28    31.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   60  +18      78.13     4.55    22.93     0.00     0.96    89.73    20.11P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   55  +20      77.85     4.59    29.22     0.00     0.44    88.74    28.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   53  +10      70.03     4.37    12.87     0.00     0.00    16.44     3.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   52   +7      66.87     4.29     8.89     0.00     0.00     4.59     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   50   -6      63.18     4.13    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            36   48   -1      62.92     4.39     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         36   47   -5      59.17     4.29    -7.33     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          36   46   -8      57.70     4.11   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Queens_PR        35   45   -9      59.48     4.43   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          35   43   -3      58.51     4.60    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         35   43   -7      56.34     4.30    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            34   43  -11      54.98     4.50   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Southampton      35   40   -3      54.70     4.52    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Hull             36   38   -7      49.80     4.10    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.02  
Derby            36   38   -9      49.69     4.07   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.95R    0.01  
Leicester        36   37  -10      47.94     4.11   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.21R    0.04  
Sheffield_W      36   34  -19      43.77     3.90   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.44R    2.02  
Millwall         36   29  -23      39.47     4.07   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.28R   17.02  
Brighton         36   29  -25      39.46     4.00   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.13R   14.76  
Crewe            35   26  -34      35.23     3.93   -46.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.49R   66.13  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, Southend vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        35   64  +21      83.94     4.45    28.52    44.81    69.31    99.49    77.91P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    35   60  +13      78.84     4.62    18.85     8.54    22.88    93.39    37.84P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      33   59  +16      80.49     5.13    21.39    18.43    38.28    95.26    53.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   58  +22      76.98     4.54    28.33     5.66    16.38    88.56    37.32P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        34   58  +17      76.77     4.90    20.33     5.56    15.39    84.91    33.98P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       32   57  +17      80.07     5.39    22.69    16.91    37.20    94.14    51.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          35   53   +0      68.65     4.62     1.04     0.04     0.28    18.57     3.25P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    35   51   +7      67.48     4.60     9.19     0.04     0.23    15.13     3.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Nottingham      35   47   +7      64.01     4.54     9.96     0.00     0.00     3.79     0.91P    0.10R    0.01  
Doncaster       33   47   +1      64.06     4.99    -0.10     0.01     0.06     4.74     0.86P    0.14R    0.00  
Port_Vale       34   46   -4      61.95     4.83    -4.32     0.00     0.01     1.53     0.32P    0.66R    0.03  
Bradford        35   42   +0      57.39     4.54     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P    4.30R    0.14  
Bristol_City    35   42   -9      56.94     4.53    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    7.72R    0.63  
Tranmere        35   41   +0      57.26     4.57     1.91     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    4.99R    0.29  
Bournemouth     34   41   -4      55.33     4.82    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   12.38R    0.99  
Scunthorpe      34   41   -5      56.56     4.83    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    9.24R    0.80  
Blackpool       35   40   -7      53.45     4.49    -9.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.66R    2.46  
Gillingham      35   40  -13      51.33     4.29   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.02R    7.13  
Hartlepool      34   39   -9      51.99     4.61   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.33R    5.72  
Walsall         34   38  -13      52.26     4.70   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.02R    5.63  
Yeovil          33   38  -13      52.90     4.95   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    31.41R    5.18  
Swindon_Town    35   38  -16      49.65     4.38   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.40R   15.37  
Rotherham       35   36  -11      48.56     4.35   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.85R   18.55  
Milton_Keynes   34   34  -17      46.90     4.59   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.79R   37.06  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, Wycombe vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         35   62  +28      82.28     4.55    36.23    37.85    80.31    99.70    86.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          35   62  +21      81.43     4.61    27.95    26.05    72.67    99.28    79.98P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   60  +20      78.84     4.55    25.72    11.62    50.21    98.05    65.61P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          34   60  +19      80.05     4.79    24.18    18.36    58.89    98.22    70.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   58  +10      76.66     4.94    13.22     5.56    28.56    91.80    41.97P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   52  +11      70.26     4.60    15.76     0.18     3.56    60.78    18.27P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   52   +7      68.00     4.58     8.42     0.05     1.09    37.41     8.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       34   51   +4      68.83     4.91     6.16     0.12     2.13    43.63    10.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   50   -6      64.47     4.64    -7.37     0.01     0.17    12.60     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   46   +7      61.79     4.60     8.11     0.00     0.04     6.47     1.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          32   45  +11      67.80     5.45    16.43     0.20     2.32    41.84    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           34   45   -2      61.12     4.75    -2.47     0.00     0.02     4.66     0.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       35   44   -1      58.23     4.54    -2.22     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.23P    0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County     35   43  -10      56.21     4.48   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.02P    0.46R    0.01  
Mansfield        35   41   -5      55.13     4.63    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.81R    0.04  
Rochdale         32   40   -2      58.77     5.46    -2.95     0.00     0.03     3.28     0.62P    0.43R    0.07  
Macclesfield     34   39   -8      54.22     4.92    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    2.33R    0.36  
Oxford_Utd       34   37  -11      50.93     4.68   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.87R    1.84  
Chester          33   36   -7      52.37     5.05    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    5.00R    1.19  
Barnet           33   36  -11      50.48     4.86   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   10.65R    2.98  
Bury             32   36  -11      52.67     5.31   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    6.00R    1.39  
Stockport        34   34  -19      47.15     4.69   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.32R   11.67  
Rushden_&_D      35   33  -25      43.19     4.26   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.30R   41.66  
Torquay          35   32  -20      43.12     4.38   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.75R   38.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, York vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      30   70  +27      92.22     4.81    36.52    97.77   100.00    98.36P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         32   57  +10      73.14     4.38    13.74     0.10    72.45    14.95P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        29   54  +18      77.09     5.00    25.73     1.90    90.81    31.33P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       31   53  +14      69.59     4.55    16.31     0.04    44.19     9.30P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       32   51  +15      68.37     4.27    20.36     0.00    35.55     9.01P    0.00     0.00  
York            31   50  +17      67.66     4.66    20.74     0.01    31.95     8.45P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           29   48  +14      70.63     5.17    22.09     0.17    55.53    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          30   47  +12      68.82     4.79    20.40     0.01    41.12     9.66P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          29   44  +15      66.12     5.08    21.85     0.01    23.86     6.32P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          32   44   -2      58.22     4.34    -1.10     0.00     0.46     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       29   41   +0      58.93     5.04     0.29     0.00     1.66     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       29   40   +5      59.45     5.17     7.49     0.00     2.37     0.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   31   38   -6      49.84     4.43   -10.43     0.00     0.01     0.01P    1.00R    0.01  
Aldershot       30   38  -11      53.31     4.94   -13.53     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.40R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     30   36  -10      49.46     4.84   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.62R    0.04  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.78     4.15   -28.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.04R    0.23  
Canvey_Island   31   35  -12      47.32     4.43   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.71R    0.13  
Forest_Green    31   30   -8      43.12     4.49   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.16R    2.10  
Scarborough     32   29  -18      39.24     4.11   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.97R    8.78  
Tamworth        30   27  -21      39.04     4.52   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.77R   13.43  
Crawley         29   25  -12      40.87     5.04   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.37R    7.96  
Southport       28   23  -27      33.55     4.49   -41.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.95R   67.33