Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 25 February 2006 at 23:53:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, Newcastle vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         27   69  +38      92.68     4.20    51.13    98.77    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.77     4.33    38.71     1.22    79.86    99.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.78     4.64    22.43     0.01    18.80    94.31    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +13      62.51     4.55    15.10     0.00     0.42    30.48    69.19     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   43   +3      60.09     4.57     6.22     0.00     0.05    12.62    46.30     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   41  +17      61.21     4.47    24.56     0.00     0.23    22.22    63.16     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.78     4.75     4.93     0.00     0.04     6.58    28.50     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           27   40   -2      55.06     4.49    -2.12     0.00     0.00     1.39    11.82     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.46     5.26    14.00     0.00     0.61    31.18    67.81     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.93     4.65     6.91     0.00     0.00     1.41    10.39     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -3      49.89     4.45    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.11     0.04R    0.00  
Everton         27   36  -15      47.59     4.20   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.23R    0.00  
Charlton        27   35   -5      48.12     4.24    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.47     0.09R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.78     4.73    -0.33     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.17     0.12R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   31   -3      47.86     4.36    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.30R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.87     4.95   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     5.28R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.68     4.33   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.84R    0.01  
Birmingham      26   23  -15      33.59     4.33   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.78R    0.04  
Portsmouth      27   18  -29      26.33     3.85   -39.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.31R    6.88  
Sunderland      27   10  -31      17.35     3.67   -44.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   93.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, Watford vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          36   86  +53     108.21     3.73    66.82    99.78   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      36   74  +27      92.74     4.29    35.38     0.23    84.25   100.00    88.19P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   67  +24      84.22     4.09    29.72     0.00     6.24    99.44    26.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            35   66  +21      84.40     4.36    26.36     0.00     8.38    99.37    32.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   60  +18      77.97     4.54    22.72     0.00     0.84    89.19    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   55  +20      77.82     4.54    29.23     0.00     0.29    88.76    28.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   53  +10      70.05     4.36    12.94     0.00     0.00    16.75     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   52   +7      66.90     4.29     8.96     0.00     0.00     4.67     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   50   -6      63.28     4.12    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            36   48   -1      62.86     4.41     0.46     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         36   47   -5      59.12     4.29    -7.44     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          36   46   -8      57.71     4.10   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Queens_PR        35   45   -9      59.45     4.45   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          35   43   -3      58.50     4.57    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         35   43   -7      56.27     4.34    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            34   43  -11      55.12     4.52   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Southampton      35   40   -3      54.71     4.53    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Hull             36   38   -7      49.61     4.09   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.38R    0.04  
Derby            36   38   -9      49.80     4.11   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.03  
Leicester        36   37  -10      48.10     4.13   -13.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.68R    0.07  
Sheffield_W      36   34  -19      43.75     3.93   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.66R    2.03  
Millwall         36   29  -23      39.40     4.01   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.16R   16.90  
Brighton         36   29  -25      39.44     4.00   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.72R   14.71  
Crewe            35   26  -34      35.26     3.93   -45.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.27R   66.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, Southend vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        35   64  +21      83.99     4.36    28.63    44.85    69.53    99.56    78.29P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    35   60  +13      78.90     4.63    18.94     8.14    23.35    93.30    38.82P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      33   59  +16      80.57     5.13    21.54    18.86    38.26    95.16    52.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   58  +22      76.93     4.56    28.22     5.55    16.07    88.31    36.63P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        34   58  +17      76.70     4.90    20.24     5.40    15.31    84.84    33.98P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       32   57  +17      80.18     5.37    22.83    17.15    37.00    94.25    50.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          35   53   +0      68.66     4.64     1.01     0.01     0.23    18.80     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    35   51   +7      67.42     4.60     9.16     0.01     0.19    14.82     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      35   47   +7      63.97     4.58     9.88     0.01     0.03     3.99     1.09P    0.10R    0.00  
Doncaster       33   47   +1      64.01     5.02    -0.16     0.01     0.04     5.08     0.92P    0.20R    0.00  
Port_Vale       34   46   -4      61.79     4.84    -4.54     0.00     0.01     1.57     0.28P    0.70R    0.02  
Bradford        35   42   +0      57.49     4.53     0.90     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P    4.45R    0.16  
Bristol_City    35   42   -9      56.80     4.54    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     7.93R    0.67  
Tranmere        35   41   +0      57.26     4.57     1.93     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    5.27R    0.36  
Bournemouth     34   41   -4      55.28     4.80    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.48R    0.86  
Scunthorpe      34   41   -5      56.49     4.79    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    9.40R    0.71  
Blackpool       35   40   -7      53.50     4.49    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.86R    2.21  
Gillingham      35   40  -13      51.37     4.33   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.09R    7.34  
Hartlepool      34   39   -9      52.15     4.62   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.28R    5.24  
Walsall         34   38  -13      52.48     4.73   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.92R    4.96  
Yeovil          33   38  -13      52.83     4.90   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.57R    5.21  
Swindon_Town    35   38  -16      49.77     4.37   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.02R   14.62  
Rotherham       35   36  -11      48.52     4.46   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.81R   19.12  
Milton_Keynes   34   34  -17      46.76     4.56   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.91R   38.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, Wycombe vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         35   62  +28      82.40     4.51    36.44    38.05    80.82    99.70    86.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          35   62  +21      81.55     4.60    28.11    26.82    73.42    99.30    80.48P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   60  +20      78.89     4.47    25.79    11.56    49.79    98.34    65.37P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          34   60  +19      80.07     4.83    24.20    17.85    58.99    98.34    70.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   58  +10      76.66     4.94    13.23     5.33    28.48    91.59    41.44P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   52  +11      70.20     4.56    15.66     0.11     3.35    60.53    18.05P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   52   +7      67.97     4.54     8.36     0.04     1.04    37.20     8.85P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       34   51   +4      68.80     4.90     6.14     0.12     1.96    43.84    10.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   50   -6      64.42     4.59    -7.46     0.00     0.12    12.07     1.74P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   46   +7      61.69     4.63     7.95     0.00     0.04     6.50     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          32   45  +11      67.92     5.39    16.52     0.12     1.96    42.59    12.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Boston           34   45   -2      60.92     4.75    -2.68     0.00     0.01     4.21     0.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       35   44   -1      58.30     4.52    -2.07     0.00     0.01     1.29     0.26P    0.07R    0.01  
Notts_County     35   43  -10      56.22     4.45   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.41R    0.04  
Mansfield        35   41   -5      55.11     4.61    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    0.53R    0.05  
Rochdale         32   40   -2      58.96     5.44    -2.61     0.00     0.01     3.63     0.73P    0.35R    0.06  
Macclesfield     34   39   -8      54.16     4.91   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    2.32R    0.42  
Oxford_Utd       34   37  -11      51.02     4.72   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    7.20R    1.70  
Chester          33   36   -7      52.29     5.05    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.97R    1.23  
Barnet           33   36  -11      50.62     4.91   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.60R    2.88  
Bury             32   36  -11      52.55     5.25   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    5.90R    1.54  
Stockport        34   34  -19      46.98     4.71   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.79R   12.62  
Rushden_&_D      35   33  -25      43.16     4.23   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.72R   41.73  
Torquay          35   32  -20      43.20     4.34   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.13R   37.73  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2006, York vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      30   70  +27      92.24     4.78    36.52    97.91   100.00    98.39P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         32   57  +10      73.16     4.32    13.75     0.10    73.14    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        29   54  +18      76.94     4.93    25.53     1.75    90.81    30.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       31   53  +14      69.66     4.51    16.48     0.05    44.98     9.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       32   51  +15      68.35     4.29    20.35     0.00    35.21     9.69P    0.00     0.00  
York            31   50  +17      67.57     4.64    20.63     0.02    30.18     7.65P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           29   48  +14      70.79     5.14    22.41     0.14    56.58    12.11P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          30   47  +12      68.81     4.77    20.45     0.02    40.84     9.91P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          29   44  +15      66.04     5.11    21.77     0.01    23.45     6.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          32   44   -2      58.12     4.37    -1.22     0.00     0.38     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       29   41   +0      58.91     5.08     0.22     0.00     1.75     0.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       29   40   +5      59.71     5.13     7.87     0.00     2.63     0.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   31   38   -6      49.84     4.39   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02R    0.01  
Aldershot       30   38  -11      53.02     4.93   -13.94     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.49R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     30   36  -10      49.43     4.82   -14.64     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.67R    0.04  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.90     4.16   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.51R    0.26  
Canvey_Island   31   35  -12      47.30     4.43   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.61R    0.10  
Forest_Green    31   30   -8      43.08     4.54   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.70R    2.21  
Scarborough     32   29  -18      39.28     4.08   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.44R    8.87  
Tamworth        30   27  -21      39.08     4.52   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.93R   13.50  
Crawley         29   25  -12      40.80     5.02   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.27R    8.08  
Southport       28   23  -27      33.63     4.51   -41.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.36R   66.94