Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 24 February 2006 at 23:53:02 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 February 2006, Newcastle vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.70     4.26    52.44    98.72    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.59     4.38    38.27     1.24    78.25    99.46    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.66     4.72    22.33     0.04    19.59    93.05    99.19     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +13      62.77     4.54    15.49     0.00     0.48    29.11    71.75     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.00     4.70    26.27     0.00     0.74    34.18    75.73     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.76     4.69     4.88     0.00     0.05     5.16    28.38     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   40   +2      57.86     4.90     4.35     0.00     0.05     6.03    29.12     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           27   40   -2      55.21     4.53    -1.87     0.00     0.01     1.47    12.19     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.67     5.35    14.27     0.00     0.84    30.05    69.02     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      54.08     4.67     7.14     0.00     0.01     1.32    10.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.83     4.46   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.72     0.12R    0.00  
Charlton        26   34   -5      48.69     4.56    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.81     0.08R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   33   -5      48.02     4.67    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.56     0.22R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.65     4.75    -0.52     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.05     0.12R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.14     4.66    -0.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.73     0.23R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.75     4.97   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     4.63R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.58     4.37   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.70R    0.01  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.50     4.59   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.38R    0.67  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.46     3.98   -40.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.55R    9.75  
Sunderland      26   10  -30      18.33     3.98   -43.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   89.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Wolverhampton vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          35   83  +52     107.01     3.99    66.40    97.79    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      35   74  +28      95.59     4.42    38.80     2.19    93.89   100.00    95.39P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   64  +23      83.31     4.39    29.81     0.01     2.40    98.89    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   63  +20      83.24     4.61    26.13     0.01     3.15    98.82    28.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   57  +15      76.88     4.76    20.43     0.00     0.25    85.00    17.98P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   55  +21      78.54     4.75    29.30     0.00     0.33    92.16    29.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   52   +8      67.71     4.57     8.95     0.00     0.00     9.77     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   50   +9      68.25     4.60    11.76     0.00     0.00    12.39     2.77P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            35   48   +0      63.55     4.61     0.37     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          35   47   -8      61.54     4.36    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          35   46   -5      58.72     4.34    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   44   -6      57.56     4.60    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      59.73     4.85    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   43   -6      57.79     4.56    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    0.07R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.21     4.55   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.91     4.71   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.17R    0.01  
Hull             35   38   -6      51.06     4.38    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.01  
Southampton      34   37   -6      52.69     4.68    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54R    0.01  
Leicester        35   37   -8      49.35     4.40   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.71R    0.06  
Derby            35   35  -10      48.17     4.39   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.65R    0.14  
Sheffield_W      35   34  -16      45.20     4.22   -20.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.48R    0.94  
Millwall         35   29  -22      40.33     4.26   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.78R   11.65  
Brighton         35   29  -24      40.98     4.33   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.09R    9.43  
Crewe            34   23  -35      34.00     4.27   -46.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.09R   77.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 February 2006, Swansea vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        34   63  +21      85.53     4.60    30.62    47.78    74.45    99.87    81.69P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    35   60  +13      78.79     4.67    18.72     4.72    17.07    95.09    33.59P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.71     5.38    22.17    19.29    40.47    97.61    55.30P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   58  +22      76.91     4.62    28.10     3.37    12.28    91.39    35.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.28     5.62    25.04    22.45    47.22    97.69    59.69P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        33   55  +16      75.07     5.20    19.24     2.40     8.35    80.89    26.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          34   50   -1      67.19     4.90     0.27     0.00     0.10    16.24     2.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield    34   48   +3      65.01     4.88     3.84     0.00     0.03     9.30     1.89P    0.10R    0.01  
Doncaster       32   46   +1      64.27     5.22    -0.34     0.01     0.06     7.09     1.46P    0.33R    0.00  
Nottingham      34   44   +1      61.80     4.75     3.12     0.00     0.01     2.08     0.46P    0.71R    0.01  
Port_Vale       33   43   -5      59.30     5.02    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.16P    3.73R    0.12  
Bradford        34   42   +1      59.12     4.79     2.26     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.15P    3.04R    0.08  
Tranmere        34   41   +1      58.79     4.81     3.13     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.16P    3.43R    0.18  
Bournemouth     33   41   -2      57.02     5.03    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.09P    8.28R    0.41  
Gillingham      34   40  -11      53.57     4.73   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   27.43R    3.15  
Bristol_City    34   39  -11      54.88     4.79   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   18.89R    1.85  
Scunthorpe      33   38   -7      54.12     5.08   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    23.23R    2.72  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.58     4.88   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   33.48R    4.88  
Swindon_Town    34   38  -10      51.66     4.68   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.26R    6.33  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.20     5.26   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   25.84R    3.19  
Blackpool       34   37   -9      51.99     4.74   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.31R    4.94  
Walsall         33   37  -13      51.57     4.88   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   43.02R    6.96  
Rotherham       34   36   -7      50.83     4.82    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.87R    8.54  
Milton_Keynes   33   31  -18      44.67     4.76   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.06R   56.65  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         34   59  +27      81.14     4.75    35.89    36.62    78.02    99.16    84.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   59  +20      80.48     4.83    27.97    27.09    71.41    98.35    78.61P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   57  +19      76.98     4.75    24.49     9.46    42.33    94.47    58.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      78.97     5.16    24.09    19.05    57.55    95.89    68.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   55   +9      74.91     5.21    12.09     4.85    24.85    83.13    36.17P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     34   52  +12      72.67     4.83    18.23     1.64    13.35    76.58    30.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       33   50   +4      69.49     5.12     6.65     0.45     4.42    47.13    12.85P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   49   +6      66.90     4.78     8.19     0.10     1.36    27.30     6.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   47   -7      61.95     4.78    -9.70     0.01     0.07     5.14     0.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       34   46   +8      63.04     4.90     8.91     0.01     0.24    10.45     2.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          31   45  +12      69.39     5.63    17.76     0.72     6.31    51.55    18.05P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   44   +0      60.53     4.78     0.10     0.00     0.01     3.44     0.73P    0.03R    0.01  
Notts_County     34   43   -9      57.34     4.73   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.14P    0.28R    0.02  
Boston           33   42   -3      59.21     5.00    -3.90     0.00     0.01     2.00     0.35P    0.17R    0.01  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.86     5.63    -3.44     0.01     0.05     3.52     0.72P    0.46R    0.07  
Macclesfield     33   39   -7      55.99     5.27    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.10P    1.73R    0.35  
Mansfield        34   38   -7      53.23     4.92    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    3.58R    0.62  
Oxford_Utd       33   37  -10      51.72     4.93   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.30R    1.40  
Chester          32   36   -6      52.98     5.24    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    4.79R    0.88  
Barnet           32   36  -10      51.58     5.12   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.57R    2.06  
Stockport        33   34  -18      48.62     4.94   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.59R    7.03  
Bury             31   33  -12      50.23     5.43   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   14.80R    3.90  
Torquay          34   32  -18      44.77     4.67   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.67R   23.06  
Rushden_&_D      34   30  -26      41.30     4.51   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.02R   60.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2006, York vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      29   67  +26      91.56     4.98    37.01    97.07   100.00    97.80P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        29   54  +18      76.98     4.93    25.54     2.46    90.72    31.05P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         31   54   +9      71.96     4.57    13.28     0.10    62.08    12.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       31   53  +14      69.63     4.55    16.45     0.09    44.34     9.56P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       31   51  +17      70.65     4.54    23.76     0.07    56.71    15.21P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           29   48  +14      70.64     5.13    22.17     0.17    55.51    11.81P    0.00     0.00  
York            30   47  +13      65.99     4.87    16.75     0.02    19.84     4.64P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          30   47  +12      68.81     4.75    20.43     0.01    40.45     9.94P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          29   44  +15      66.14     5.12    21.89     0.01    24.01     6.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          31   44   -1      58.70     4.54    -1.54     0.00     0.66     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       29   40   +5      59.58     5.15     7.75     0.00     2.34     0.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend       28   40   +0      60.12     5.37     1.53     0.00     3.34     0.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   31   38   -6      49.78     4.38   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     30   36  -10      49.48     4.81   -14.56     0.00     0.01     0.01P    2.88R    0.05  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.91     4.18   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.02R    0.32  
Aldershot       29   35  -13      50.43     5.19   -17.61     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.90R    0.10  
Canvey_Island   30   32  -13      45.67     4.70   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.18R    0.61  
Forest_Green    30   30   -4      44.50     4.80    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.26R    1.32  
Scarborough     31   28  -18      39.04     4.30   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.08R   10.96  
Tamworth        29   27  -20      39.92     4.71   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.77R   11.47  
Crawley         28   25  -11      42.35     5.36   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.20R    5.54  
Southport       28   23  -27      33.53     4.51   -42.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.55R   69.60