Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 23 February 2006 at 23:53:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 February 2006, Newcastle vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.60     4.22    52.27    98.72    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.64     4.40    38.36     1.24    78.32    99.40    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.80     4.70    22.55     0.04    19.57    93.45    99.29     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +13      62.63     4.51    15.31     0.00     0.41    28.03    70.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.15     4.71    26.50     0.00     0.76    36.12    76.88     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.78     4.67     5.02     0.00     0.04     5.55    28.29     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   40   +2      57.87     4.87     4.37     0.00     0.03     5.76    29.02     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           27   40   -2      55.27     4.55    -1.73     0.00     0.01     1.47    12.60     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.52     5.31    14.03     0.00     0.88    28.70    68.25     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.98     4.68     6.96     0.00     0.00     1.26    10.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.87     4.46   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.77     0.12R    0.00  
Charlton        26   34   -5      48.70     4.55    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.84     0.09R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   33   -5      48.04     4.71    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.68     0.17R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.71     4.71    -0.49     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.08     0.09R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.19     4.69    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.73     0.23R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.82     4.99   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     4.45R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.47     4.30   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.16R    0.01  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.57     4.57   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.78R    0.53  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.32     3.92   -41.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.94R    9.96  
Sunderland      26   10  -30      18.28     3.95   -43.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   89.51  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Wolverhampton vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          35   83  +52     107.20     3.99    66.69    97.93    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      35   74  +28      95.67     4.42    38.90     2.07    93.91   100.00    95.58P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   64  +23      83.28     4.40    29.79     0.00     2.19    98.73    23.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   63  +20      83.38     4.64    26.38     0.00     3.33    98.59    29.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   57  +15      76.61     4.77    19.99     0.00     0.23    83.73    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   55  +21      78.59     4.77    29.42     0.00     0.35    92.31    29.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   52   +8      67.76     4.54     9.02     0.00     0.00    10.11     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   50   +9      68.41     4.63    11.97     0.00     0.00    13.64     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            35   48   +0      63.48     4.60     0.20     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          35   47   -8      61.68     4.43    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          35   46   -5      58.65     4.33    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         35   44   -6      57.53     4.61    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      60.01     4.82    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   43   -6      57.63     4.57    -7.91     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P    0.11R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.38     4.53   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.67     4.70   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Hull             35   38   -6      51.01     4.33    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.01  
Southampton      34   37   -6      52.75     4.73    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.61R    0.01  
Leicester        35   37   -8      49.28     4.42   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.09R    0.03  
Derby            35   35  -10      48.24     4.36   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.27R    0.12  
Sheffield_W      35   34  -16      45.08     4.19   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.61R    1.03  
Millwall         35   29  -22      40.52     4.33   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.54R   10.37  
Brighton         35   29  -24      40.85     4.31   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.03R    9.37  
Crewe            34   23  -35      33.77     4.24   -46.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.17R   79.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Walsall vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        34   63  +21      85.45     4.63    30.53    46.93    72.53    99.83    80.42P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.61     5.37    22.08    17.95    38.81    97.37    53.50P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    34   59  +13      78.61     4.88    17.74     5.08    16.89    93.62    33.28P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   57  +22      77.90     4.88    29.06     5.92    17.79    93.05    39.42P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.28     5.61    25.03    21.99    46.26    97.75    59.37P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        33   55  +16      75.07     5.11    19.27     2.12     7.53    80.91    27.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          34   50   -1      67.17     4.90     0.32     0.01     0.10    15.67     2.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    34   48   +3      65.06     4.96     3.92     0.00     0.04     9.41     1.75P    0.10R    0.00  
Doncaster       32   46   +1      64.40     5.23    -0.14     0.01     0.06     7.31     1.42P    0.29R    0.00  
Nottingham      34   44   +1      61.71     4.75     2.97     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.33P    0.71R    0.01  
Port_Vale       33   43   -5      59.26     5.05    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.20P    3.92R    0.18  
Bradford        34   42   +1      59.34     4.79     2.58     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.21P    2.56R    0.07  
Tranmere        34   41   +1      58.68     4.79     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.17P    3.48R    0.13  
Bournemouth     33   41   -2      57.06     5.11    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.09P    8.54R    0.43  
Gillingham      34   40  -11      53.55     4.69   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   27.16R    3.13  
Bristol_City    34   39  -11      54.76     4.83   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    19.55R    2.19  
Scunthorpe      33   38   -7      54.02     5.01   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   23.84R    2.73  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.68     4.87   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.37R    4.60  
Swindon_Town    34   38  -10      51.73     4.70   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.69R    6.35  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.18     5.26   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   26.02R    3.26  
Blackpool       34   37   -9      51.88     4.73   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   36.99R    5.21  
Walsall         33   37  -13      51.58     4.91   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.46R    7.39  
Rotherham       34   36   -7      50.90     4.73    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.31R    7.88  
Milton_Keynes   33   31  -18      44.74     4.75   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.99R   56.44  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         34   59  +27      81.06     4.77    35.77    36.05    77.39    99.11    84.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   59  +20      80.43     4.80    27.88    26.96    70.73    98.23    77.53P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   57  +19      76.87     4.73    24.31     9.10    40.73    93.96    56.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      79.11     5.04    24.26    19.69    58.52    96.41    69.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   55   +9      75.07     5.18    12.30     5.22    25.27    83.71    36.74P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     34   52  +12      72.82     4.88    18.49     1.70    14.12    76.42    31.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       33   50   +4      69.68     5.14     6.87     0.45     4.79    47.69    12.87P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   49   +6      66.90     4.78     8.10     0.09     1.30    26.95     6.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   47   -7      62.06     4.76    -9.57     0.01     0.06     5.08     0.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       34   46   +8      63.05     4.84     8.88     0.01     0.20    10.38     2.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          31   45  +12      69.52     5.67    18.00     0.72     6.76    51.88    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   44   +0      60.41     4.83    -0.12     0.00     0.03     3.29     0.71P    0.04R    0.01  
Notts_County     34   43   -9      57.35     4.63   -12.06     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.08P    0.32R    0.04  
Boston           33   42   -3      59.35     5.02    -3.66     0.00     0.02     2.18     0.45P    0.21R    0.01  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.81     5.63    -3.49     0.01     0.05     3.10     0.58P    0.41R    0.07  
Macclesfield     33   39   -7      55.93     5.18    -8.56     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.12P    1.56R    0.28  
Mansfield        34   38   -7      53.18     4.91    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    3.75R    0.61  
Oxford_Utd       33   37  -10      51.45     4.89   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    7.54R    1.42  
Chester          32   36   -6      53.14     5.25    -9.25     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    4.76R    1.04  
Barnet           32   36  -10      51.47     5.15   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.72R    2.11  
Stockport        33   34  -18      48.70     4.99   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.27R    6.78  
Bury             31   33  -12      49.86     5.41   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   16.27R    4.58  
Torquay          34   32  -18      44.91     4.71   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.26R   21.64  
Rushden_&_D      34   30  -26      41.18     4.44   -34.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.86R   61.40  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2006, York vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      29   67  +26      91.56     4.97    37.07    97.12   100.00    97.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        29   54  +18      76.97     4.96    25.62     2.40    90.44    30.41P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         31   54   +9      71.92     4.62    13.27     0.09    62.23    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       31   53  +14      69.47     4.52    16.22     0.09    43.01     8.78P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       31   51  +17      70.58     4.57    23.66     0.07    56.45    15.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           29   48  +14      70.74     5.12    22.30     0.18    56.60    11.88P    0.00     0.00  
York            30   47  +13      66.13     4.97    16.96     0.01    21.79     5.54P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          30   47  +12      68.70     4.76    20.30     0.02    39.74     9.57P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          29   44  +15      65.94     5.16    21.60     0.01    23.04     6.41P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          31   44   -1      58.81     4.56    -1.43     0.00     0.65     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       29   40   +5      59.46     5.11     7.51     0.00     2.07     0.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend       28   40   +0      60.52     5.32     2.07     0.00     3.94     0.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   31   38   -6      49.83     4.41   -10.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     30   36  -10      49.38     4.83   -14.74     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.13R    0.09  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.85     4.14   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.21R    0.28  
Aldershot       29   35  -13      50.71     5.14   -17.15     0.00     0.02     0.01P    2.52R    0.10  
Canvey_Island   30   32  -13      45.86     4.71   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.02R    0.59  
Forest_Green    30   30   -4      44.46     4.79    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.93R    1.34  
Scarborough     31   28  -18      38.87     4.28   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.21R   11.54  
Tamworth        29   27  -20      39.91     4.69   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.68R   11.05  
Crawley         28   25  -11      42.21     5.31   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.78R    5.76  
Southport       28   23  -27      33.51     4.55   -42.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.43R   69.23