Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 22 February 2006 at 23:53:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 February 2006, Newcastle vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.62     4.30    52.40    98.51    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.70     4.40    38.50     1.45    78.95    99.42    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.64     4.72    22.26     0.04    19.02    92.78    99.33     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +13      62.69     4.57    15.35     0.00     0.39    28.86    70.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.10     4.69    26.44     0.00     0.80    35.32    76.41     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.68     4.74     4.73     0.00     0.03     5.64    28.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   40   +2      58.14     4.88     4.71     0.00     0.01     6.72    30.95     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           27   40   -2      55.19     4.54    -1.89     0.00     0.00     1.30    12.23     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.41     5.42    13.87     0.00     0.83    28.36    67.06     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.99     4.69     7.00     0.00     0.00     1.34    10.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.84     4.39   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.69     0.10R    0.00  
Charlton        26   34   -5      48.79     4.59    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.02     0.07R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   33   -5      47.86     4.69    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.56     0.19R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.71     4.72    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.20     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.20     4.69    -0.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.80     0.25R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.98     4.91   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     4.14R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.53     4.36   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.02R    0.01  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.54     4.63   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.26R    0.54  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.31     3.91   -41.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.93R    9.78  
Sunderland      26   10  -30      18.33     3.94   -43.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   89.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Wolverhampton vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          35   83  +52     107.11     3.97    66.58    97.87   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      35   74  +28      95.62     4.45    38.81     2.13    94.03   100.00    95.42P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   64  +23      83.31     4.38    29.85     0.00     2.33    98.77    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   63  +20      83.32     4.62    26.26     0.00     3.06    98.66    28.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   57  +15      76.70     4.78    20.15     0.00     0.23    84.59    17.27P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   55  +21      78.59     4.76    29.35     0.00     0.34    92.72    30.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   52   +8      67.70     4.52     8.89     0.00     0.00     9.74     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   50   +9      68.26     4.56    11.76     0.00     0.00    12.46     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            35   48   +0      63.55     4.62     0.27     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          35   47   -8      61.66     4.40    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          35   46   -5      58.66     4.32    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   44   -6      57.50     4.56    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      59.88     4.87    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   43   -6      57.81     4.61    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.37     4.55   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.80     4.67   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Hull             35   38   -6      51.11     4.35    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.02  
Southampton      34   37   -6      52.77     4.72    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.82R    0.02  
Leicester        35   37   -8      49.29     4.39   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.99R    0.03  
Derby            35   35  -10      48.04     4.36   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.02R    0.14  
Sheffield_W      35   34  -16      45.14     4.18   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.95R    0.94  
Millwall         35   29  -22      40.48     4.29   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.17R   10.41  
Brighton         35   29  -24      40.87     4.35   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.27R    9.21  
Crewe            34   23  -35      33.79     4.23   -46.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.22R   79.23  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Walsall vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        34   63  +21      85.63     4.62    30.77    47.73    73.85    99.84    81.39P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.60     5.39    22.03    17.93    38.53    97.36    53.48P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    34   59  +13      78.55     4.91    17.71     4.54    16.32    93.46    32.60P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   57  +22      77.76     4.90    28.87     5.42    16.63    92.87    38.98P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.42     5.53    25.25    22.26    47.30    97.88    60.58P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        33   55  +16      74.89     5.19    19.00     2.10     7.20    80.19    25.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          34   50   -1      67.16     4.92     0.18     0.01     0.10    16.48     2.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield    34   48   +3      65.03     4.86     3.86     0.00     0.02     8.99     1.78P    0.10R    0.00  
Doncaster       32   46   +1      64.32     5.22    -0.27     0.01     0.06     7.53     1.48P    0.29R    0.00  
Nottingham      34   44   +1      61.82     4.81     3.16     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.42P    0.70R    0.01  
Port_Vale       33   43   -5      59.36     5.05    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.14P    3.67R    0.17  
Bradford        34   42   +1      59.24     4.80     2.45     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.21P    2.71R    0.12  
Tranmere        34   41   +1      58.66     4.86     2.94     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.13P    3.82R    0.17  
Bournemouth     33   41   -2      57.28     5.08    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    7.89R    0.42  
Gillingham      34   40  -11      53.25     4.65   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.80R    3.44  
Bristol_City    34   39  -11      54.78     4.82   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.31R    2.00  
Scunthorpe      33   38   -7      54.04     5.01   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   23.96R    2.58  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.69     4.88   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.42R    4.46  
Swindon_Town    34   38  -10      51.52     4.69   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.49R    6.74  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.45     5.27   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   24.26R    2.94  
Blackpool       34   37   -9      51.98     4.73   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.20R    4.97  
Walsall         33   37  -13      51.61     4.90   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.30R    7.08  
Rotherham       34   36   -7      50.91     4.75    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.05R    7.80  
Milton_Keynes   33   31  -18      44.65     4.76   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.00R   57.08  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         34   59  +27      81.03     4.78    35.77    36.41    77.25    99.06    84.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   59  +20      80.40     4.79    27.80    26.89    70.20    98.22    77.28P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   57  +19      76.80     4.76    24.22     9.13    40.62    93.44    56.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      79.12     5.04    24.27    19.43    58.95    96.39    69.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   55   +9      75.04     5.19    12.29     5.22    25.50    83.80    37.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     34   52  +12      72.80     4.85    18.41     1.77    14.21    75.87    30.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       33   50   +4      69.74     5.14     7.06     0.39     4.96    48.70    13.74P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   49   +6      66.94     4.82     8.25     0.05     1.31    27.82     7.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   47   -7      61.96     4.76    -9.73     0.00     0.09     4.96     0.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       34   46   +8      63.13     4.82     9.07     0.01     0.18    10.29     2.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          31   45  +12      69.40     5.68    17.76     0.70     6.61    51.05    18.52P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   44   +0      60.42     4.82    -0.06     0.00     0.02     3.37     0.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County     34   43   -9      57.23     4.69   -12.26     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.05P    0.34R    0.03  
Boston           33   42   -3      59.20     5.03    -3.88     0.00     0.03     1.95     0.41P    0.20R    0.01  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.76     5.70    -3.55     0.00     0.07     3.61     0.78P    0.47R    0.09  
Macclesfield     33   39   -7      55.89     5.19    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.07P    1.64R    0.36  
Mansfield        34   38   -7      53.15     4.87    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.50R    0.65  
Oxford_Utd       33   37  -10      51.64     4.93   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.24R    1.31  
Chester          32   36   -6      53.07     5.22    -9.30     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    4.92R    1.01  
Barnet           32   36  -10      51.55     5.09   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    8.23R    2.09  
Stockport        33   34  -18      48.56     4.95   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.05R    6.96  
Bury             31   33  -12      50.17     5.48   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.66R    4.09  
Torquay          34   32  -18      44.86     4.66   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.97R   22.61  
Rushden_&_D      34   30  -26      41.37     4.49   -34.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.72R   60.78  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2006, York vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      29   67  +26      91.64     4.99    37.18    97.00   100.00    97.70P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        29   54  +18      77.13     4.94    25.77     2.45    91.25    31.45P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         31   54   +9      71.99     4.62    13.39     0.12    62.64    12.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       31   53  +14      69.57     4.55    16.28     0.09    43.70     9.19P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       31   51  +17      70.56     4.55    23.65     0.09    56.09    15.27P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           29   48  +14      70.75     5.15    22.29     0.22    56.76    12.29P    0.00     0.00  
York            30   47  +13      65.97     4.95    16.75     0.00    20.75     5.01P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          30   47  +12      68.73     4.76    20.31     0.03    39.81     9.21P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          29   44  +15      65.88     5.11    21.50     0.01    22.39     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          31   44   -1      58.65     4.54    -1.65     0.00     0.69     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       29   40   +5      59.57     5.07     7.70     0.00     2.23     0.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Gravesend       28   40   +0      60.40     5.32     1.94     0.00     3.67     0.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster   31   38   -6      49.65     4.37   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.21R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     30   36  -10      49.32     4.80   -14.81     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.21R    0.04  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.85     4.16   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.43R    0.26  
Aldershot       29   35  -13      50.60     5.18   -17.46     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.79R    0.12  
Canvey_Island   30   32  -13      45.77     4.75   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.04R    0.68  
Forest_Green    30   30   -4      44.57     4.80    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.72R    1.45  
Scarborough     31   28  -18      38.92     4.27   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.16R   11.28  
Tamworth        29   27  -20      40.04     4.75   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.91R   11.33  
Crawley         28   25  -11      42.32     5.33   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.85R    5.65  
Southport       28   23  -27      33.49     4.55   -42.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.64R   69.20