Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 21 February 2006 at 23:53:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 February 2006, Tottenham vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.60     4.23    52.32    98.84    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.63     4.38    38.48     1.12    78.70    99.39    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.72     4.72    22.39     0.04    19.41    93.52    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +13      62.69     4.55    15.36     0.00     0.39    28.91    70.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.03     4.71    26.37     0.00     0.78    34.53    75.89     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.89     4.72     5.11     0.00     0.03     5.80    29.39     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   40   +2      57.96     4.91     4.46     0.00     0.05     6.51    29.34     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           27   40   -2      55.29     4.53    -1.77     0.00     0.01     1.40    12.54     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.41     5.34    13.82     0.00     0.68    28.23    67.27     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.96     4.70     6.92     0.00     0.00     1.34    10.49     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.87     4.46   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.75     0.14R    0.00  
Charlton        25   33   -5      48.70     4.86    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.37     0.17R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.69     4.70    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.04     0.10R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      48.69     4.99    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.14     0.23R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.11     4.64    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.65     0.24R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.89     4.99   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     4.62R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.59     4.28   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.82R    0.03  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.61     4.66   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.52R    0.60  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.27     3.87   -41.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.21R   10.37  
Sunderland      26   10  -30      18.42     4.02   -43.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   89.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Wolverhampton vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          35   83  +52     107.15     4.02    66.57    97.59   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      35   74  +28      95.72     4.39    39.05     2.41    94.38   100.00    95.89P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   64  +23      83.30     4.33    29.80     0.00     2.12    98.90    23.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   63  +20      83.23     4.63    26.16     0.00     2.93    98.59    27.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   57  +15      76.83     4.75    20.40     0.00     0.21    84.33    16.87P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   55  +21      78.73     4.77    29.53     0.00     0.36    92.72    31.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   52   +8      67.80     4.57     9.05     0.00     0.00     9.66     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   50   +9      68.32     4.62    11.82     0.00     0.00    12.78     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            35   48   +0      63.64     4.59     0.49     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          35   47   -8      61.58     4.34    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          35   46   -5      58.57     4.38    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         35   44   -6      57.45     4.61    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      59.74     4.86    -1.55     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   43   -6      57.58     4.60    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.26     4.61   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.20R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.79     4.70   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Hull             35   38   -6      50.97     4.31    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.19R    0.02  
Southampton      34   37   -6      52.75     4.74    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    1.61R    0.03  
Leicester        35   37   -8      49.38     4.39   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.68R    0.02  
Derby            35   35  -10      48.27     4.42   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.30R    0.17  
Sheffield_W      35   34  -16      45.15     4.14   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.51R    0.84  
Millwall         35   29  -22      40.46     4.29   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.22R   10.50  
Brighton         35   29  -24      40.74     4.34   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.76R   10.07  
Crewe            34   23  -35      33.91     4.20   -46.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.25R   78.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Walsall vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        34   63  +21      85.54     4.64    30.68    47.30    73.07    99.86    80.84P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.61     5.39    22.01    18.11    38.21    97.14    53.13P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    34   59  +13      78.58     4.92    17.75     5.07    16.89    93.56    32.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   57  +22      77.98     4.88    29.24     5.87    18.05    93.02    40.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.24     5.60    24.95    21.37    45.78    97.73    58.55P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        33   55  +16      75.05     5.23    19.27     2.25     7.83    80.25    27.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          34   50   -1      67.21     4.91     0.30     0.00     0.10    16.45     2.75P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield    34   48   +3      65.02     4.87     3.86     0.01     0.01     8.96     1.74P    0.10R    0.00  
Doncaster       32   46   +1      64.42     5.30    -0.13     0.03     0.07     7.97     1.52P    0.35R    0.00  
Nottingham      34   44   +1      61.73     4.77     2.99     0.00     0.00     2.18     0.45P    0.79R    0.01  
Port_Vale       33   43   -5      59.12     5.04    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.21P    4.11R    0.21  
Bradford        34   42   +1      59.19     4.81     2.38     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.20P    2.65R    0.09  
Tranmere        34   41   +1      58.84     4.76     3.21     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.15P    3.29R    0.21  
Bournemouth     33   41   -2      57.07     5.05    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.06P    8.06R    0.27  
Gillingham      34   40  -11      53.36     4.65   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.74R    3.23  
Bristol_City    34   39  -11      54.82     4.78   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    19.00R    1.98  
Scunthorpe      33   38   -7      54.22     5.01   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   22.49R    2.48  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.69     4.88   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    32.48R    4.47  
Swindon_Town    34   38  -10      51.53     4.67   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    40.87R    6.75  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.27     5.25   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   25.34R    3.16  
Blackpool       34   37   -9      51.92     4.75   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.08R    5.09  
Walsall         33   37  -13      51.58     4.93   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    43.11R    7.67  
Rotherham       34   36   -7      50.94     4.77    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.20R    7.79  
Milton_Keynes   33   31  -18      44.69     4.75   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.31R   56.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         34   59  +27      81.18     4.80    35.94    37.67    78.14    99.05    84.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   59  +20      80.41     4.81    27.81    26.50    70.70    98.19    78.10P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   57  +19      76.92     4.81    24.36     9.29    41.45    93.75    56.91P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      78.94     5.07    24.01    18.84    56.85    96.19    67.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   55   +9      75.00     5.18    12.23     4.76    25.16    83.78    37.19P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     34   52  +12      72.80     4.86    18.45     1.61    14.15    76.72    30.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       33   50   +4      69.61     5.09     6.78     0.46     4.67    47.65    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   49   +6      67.00     4.81     8.34     0.08     1.45    27.97     7.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   47   -7      61.98     4.72    -9.72     0.01     0.07     4.88     0.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       34   46   +8      62.90     4.88     8.72     0.01     0.22    10.02     2.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          31   45  +12      69.47     5.68    17.93     0.78     6.99    51.42    18.50P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   44   +0      60.45     4.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.35     0.74P    0.03R    0.01  
Notts_County     34   43   -9      57.26     4.70   -12.18     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.15P    0.33R    0.01  
Boston           33   42   -3      59.27     5.05    -3.85     0.00     0.03     2.20     0.43P    0.17R    0.01  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.74     5.65    -3.67     0.00     0.08     3.29     0.67P    0.47R    0.04  
Macclesfield     33   39   -7      55.96     5.19    -8.54     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.09P    1.55R    0.28  
Mansfield        34   38   -7      53.29     4.90    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.34R    0.58  
Oxford_Utd       33   37  -10      51.72     4.87   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     6.80R    1.36  
Chester          32   36   -6      53.15     5.32    -9.25     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P    4.86R    1.02  
Barnet           32   36  -10      51.52     5.12   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    8.46R    1.96  
Stockport        33   34  -18      48.53     4.89   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.18R    6.77  
Bury             31   33  -12      50.15     5.52   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.79R    4.41  
Torquay          34   32  -18      44.77     4.66   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.52R   23.02  
Rushden_&_D      34   30  -26      41.36     4.51   -34.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.47R   60.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2006, York vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      29   67  +26      91.50     5.01    37.00    97.02   100.00    97.80P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        29   54  +18      76.96     4.90    25.54     2.43    90.98    30.74P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         31   54   +9      71.85     4.62    13.21     0.10    61.79    12.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       31   53  +14      69.58     4.50    16.36     0.08    43.82     9.25P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       31   51  +17      70.75     4.55    23.97     0.07    58.11    16.39P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           29   48  +14      70.42     5.18    21.71     0.24    54.02    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
York            30   47  +13      66.01     4.93    16.79     0.02    20.75     4.89P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          30   47  +12      68.70     4.81    20.25     0.03    40.10     9.57P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          29   44  +15      66.03     5.08    21.77     0.01    23.75     6.37P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          31   44   -1      58.67     4.58    -1.61     0.00     0.69     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       29   40   +5      59.68     5.14     7.86     0.00     2.48     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend       28   40   +0      60.17     5.34     1.63     0.00     3.50     0.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster   31   38   -6      49.83     4.40   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.21R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     30   36  -10      49.43     4.86   -14.65     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.35R    0.06  
Altrincham      31   36  -20      45.91     4.17   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.39R    0.33  
Aldershot       29   35  -13      50.55     5.19   -17.54     0.00     0.01     0.01P    2.71R    0.07  
Canvey_Island   30   32  -13      45.61     4.73   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.85R    0.62  
Forest_Green    30   30   -4      44.52     4.83    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.55R    1.41  
Scarborough     31   28  -18      39.09     4.30   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.64R   10.94  
Tamworth        29   27  -20      40.03     4.80   -27.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.23R   11.94  
Crawley         28   25  -11      42.30     5.31   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.83R    6.04  
Southport       28   23  -27      33.68     4.53   -41.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.25R   68.58