Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 20 February 2006 at 23:53:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 February 2006, Tottenham vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.51     4.32    52.18    98.57    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.68     4.38    38.51     1.40    77.84    99.45    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.93     4.72    22.69     0.04    20.16    93.97    99.37     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +13      62.64     4.49    15.31     0.00     0.35    28.09    70.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.02     4.74    26.37     0.00     0.76    35.38    75.62     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.77     4.69     4.88     0.00     0.06     5.42    28.39     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   40   +2      57.99     4.91     4.54     0.00     0.03     6.12    30.63     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           27   40   -2      55.08     4.49    -2.07     0.00     0.01     1.32    11.73     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.40     5.41    13.84     0.00     0.83    28.57    67.30     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.96     4.68     6.93     0.00     0.01     1.37    10.71     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.68     4.47   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.69     0.12R    0.00  
Charlton        25   33   -5      48.69     4.88    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.17     0.12R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.84     4.69    -0.22     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.12     0.06R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      49.13     5.03    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.45     0.19R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.10     4.73    -0.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.20R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.99     5.01   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     4.25R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.49     4.33   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.16R    0.01  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.59     4.63   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.77R    0.59  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.14     3.87   -41.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.21R   10.46  
Sunderland      26   10  -30      18.43     3.96   -43.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   88.94  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Wolverhampton vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          35   83  +52     107.15     3.97    66.60    97.89   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      35   74  +28      95.66     4.43    38.85     2.12    94.12   100.00    95.73P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   64  +23      83.25     4.41    29.72     0.00     2.24    98.78    23.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   63  +20      83.21     4.66    26.07     0.00     3.12    98.58    27.60P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   57  +15      76.77     4.76    20.28     0.00     0.20    84.78    17.52P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   55  +21      78.68     4.77    29.51     0.00     0.32    92.83    30.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   52   +8      67.71     4.53     8.93     0.00     0.00     9.69     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   50   +9      68.15     4.61    11.63     0.00     0.00    12.31     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            35   48   +0      63.58     4.58     0.37     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          35   47   -8      61.48     4.42    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          35   46   -5      58.71     4.31    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   44   -6      57.62     4.58    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      59.74     4.87    -1.56     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   43   -6      57.69     4.63    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.44     4.52   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.21R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.84     4.73   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.20R    0.00  
Hull             35   38   -6      51.06     4.33    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.01  
Southampton      34   37   -6      52.67     4.68    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.65R    0.02  
Leicester        35   37   -8      49.42     4.40   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.61R    0.06  
Derby            35   35  -10      48.17     4.35   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.45R    0.12  
Sheffield_W      35   34  -16      45.25     4.20   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.83R    0.99  
Millwall         35   29  -22      40.52     4.28   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.11R   10.14  
Brighton         35   29  -24      40.79     4.33   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.36R    9.56  
Crewe            34   23  -35      33.79     4.25   -46.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.33R   79.11  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Walsall vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        34   63  +21      85.55     4.59    30.74    47.80    73.37    99.83    80.94P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.74     5.36    22.22    18.36    39.38    97.46    54.61P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    34   59  +13      78.49     4.87    17.61     4.65    15.84    93.47    32.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   57  +22      77.86     4.91    29.03     5.61    17.92    92.58    39.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.26     5.56    24.96    21.46    45.85    97.78    58.70P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        33   55  +16      75.07     5.15    19.27     2.10     7.45    80.65    27.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          34   50   -1      67.28     4.90     0.42     0.01     0.12    16.51     2.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    34   48   +3      65.12     4.91     4.01     0.00     0.04     9.40     1.88P    0.07R    0.00  
Doncaster       32   46   +1      64.38     5.22    -0.17     0.01     0.04     7.29     1.44P    0.29R    0.01  
Nottingham      34   44   +1      61.80     4.77     3.10     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.45P    0.67R    0.01  
Port_Vale       33   43   -5      59.30     5.06    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.17P    3.80R    0.20  
Bradford        34   42   +1      59.31     4.78     2.51     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.15P    2.63R    0.11  
Tranmere        34   41   +1      58.53     4.81     2.77     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.12P    3.65R    0.21  
Bournemouth     33   41   -2      56.98     5.06    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.10P    8.54R    0.52  
Gillingham      34   40  -11      53.55     4.79   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    27.68R    3.40  
Bristol_City    34   39  -11      54.61     4.78   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   20.26R    2.18  
Scunthorpe      33   38   -7      54.23     5.09   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    22.55R    2.50  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.55     4.83   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    33.31R    4.72  
Swindon_Town    34   38  -10      51.64     4.69   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.38R    6.61  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.29     5.19   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   24.68R    2.97  
Blackpool       34   37   -9      51.83     4.75   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   37.49R    5.42  
Walsall         33   37  -13      51.55     4.88   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.09R    7.55  
Rotherham       34   36   -7      50.89     4.73    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.56R    8.12  
Milton_Keynes   33   31  -18      44.82     4.75   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.33R   55.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         34   59  +27      81.16     4.76    35.93    36.73    77.67    99.16    84.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   59  +20      80.53     4.78    28.01    27.16    71.64    98.45    78.75P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   57  +19      76.89     4.77    24.33     9.06    40.84    93.91    56.88P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      79.08     5.05    24.23    19.41    57.77    96.50    68.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   55   +9      74.88     5.19    12.00     4.63    24.45    82.78    35.56P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     34   52  +12      72.74     4.88    18.36     1.51    14.04    75.42    30.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       33   50   +4      69.59     5.20     6.78     0.49     4.63    47.53    12.97P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   49   +6      66.86     4.79     8.16     0.07     1.14    27.20     6.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   47   -7      62.00     4.74    -9.74     0.01     0.09     4.93     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       34   46   +8      63.15     4.91     9.06     0.01     0.21    10.83     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          31   45  +12      69.68     5.69    18.23     0.92     7.40    53.02    19.76P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   44   +0      60.43     4.86    -0.03     0.00     0.04     3.65     0.74P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County     34   43   -9      57.30     4.70   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.07P    0.34R    0.03  
Boston           33   42   -3      59.22     5.02    -3.86     0.00     0.01     2.09     0.38P    0.19R    0.02  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.61     5.60    -3.84     0.00     0.06     3.07     0.65P    0.54R    0.08  
Macclesfield     33   39   -7      55.94     5.20    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.04P    1.59R    0.30  
Mansfield        34   38   -7      53.25     4.89    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    3.43R    0.59  
Oxford_Utd       33   37  -10      51.66     4.89   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.00R    1.39  
Chester          32   36   -6      52.92     5.26    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    4.96R    1.08  
Barnet           32   36  -10      51.58     5.14   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.38R    2.02  
Stockport        33   34  -18      48.60     4.92   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.59R    6.74  
Bury             31   33  -12      50.08     5.38   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   15.51R    4.08  
Torquay          34   32  -18      44.77     4.70   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.52R   23.61  
Rushden_&_D      34   30  -26      41.34     4.49   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.92R   60.06  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 February 2006, Accrington vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      29   67  +26      91.50     5.02    36.97    96.22    99.99    97.14P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       31   51  +17      70.61     4.60    23.76     0.06    57.56    15.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        28   51  +17      76.58     5.18    26.47     2.50    89.15    29.93P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         30   51   +8      70.63     4.88    12.72     0.09    51.63    10.30P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       30   50  +11      68.30     4.76    13.88     0.04    33.65     6.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           28   48  +18      73.82     5.36    29.26     1.04    78.03    19.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          29   47  +13      69.84     5.02    20.92     0.03    49.40    11.45P    0.00     0.00  
York            29   44  +12      65.40     5.12    17.32     0.01    18.68     4.41P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          28   41  +14      64.17     5.47    20.38     0.01    15.98     4.35P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          30   41   -3      57.30     4.81    -3.28     0.00     0.50     0.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend       27   39   +0      60.54     5.68     1.53     0.00     4.77     0.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       28   37   +1      55.84     5.38     0.21     0.00     0.57     0.07P    0.18R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     29   36   -8      50.94     5.06   -12.47     0.00     0.03     0.01P    2.12R    0.03  
Altrincham      30   36  -19      46.81     4.38   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.09R    0.31  
Kidderminster   30   35   -7      48.17     4.69   -11.59     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.42R    0.13  
Aldershot       28   35  -12      51.08     5.32   -18.01     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.06R    0.10  
Canvey_Island   29   32  -10      47.24     5.02   -14.03     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.76R    0.41  
Forest_Green    29   29   -4      45.08     5.07    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.32R    1.46  
Scarborough     31   28  -18      38.96     4.31   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.82R   11.96  
Tamworth        28   27  -19      40.12     4.80   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.39R   11.59  
Crawley         27   25  -10      43.84     5.64   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.52R    3.95  
Southport       28   23  -27      33.55     4.55   -42.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.29R   70.06