Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 19 February 2006 at 23:53:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 February 2006, Tottenham vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.64     4.28    52.38    98.69    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.72     4.40    38.57     1.27    78.64    99.41    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.78     4.69    22.52     0.04    19.43    93.46    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +13      62.61     4.52    15.24     0.00     0.43    27.46    70.42     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.19     4.73    26.50     0.00     0.80    36.23    76.89     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.79     4.72     5.00     0.00     0.02     5.54    28.64     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   40   +2      58.05     4.82     4.63     0.00     0.04     6.28    29.52     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           27   40   -2      55.24     4.51    -1.79     0.00     0.00     1.34    12.12     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.56     5.30    14.09     0.00     0.67    28.64    68.17     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.95     4.69     6.90     0.00     0.00     1.30    10.25     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.91     4.44   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.65     0.07R    0.00  
Charlton        25   33   -5      48.65     4.86    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.08     0.12R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.70     4.72    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.06     0.10R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      48.86     5.00    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.32     0.20R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.09     4.69    -0.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.65     0.29R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.91     4.96   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     4.05R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.57     4.36   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.69R    0.01  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.43     4.60   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.58R    0.56  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.24     3.90   -41.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.94R    9.92  
Sunderland      26   10  -30      18.25     3.94   -43.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   89.51  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Wolverhampton vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          35   83  +52     107.13     3.99    66.67    97.69    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      35   74  +28      95.55     4.46    38.75     2.31    94.00   100.00    95.44P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   64  +23      83.24     4.35    29.68     0.01     2.27    98.84    23.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   63  +20      83.38     4.60    26.33     0.01     3.22    98.78    29.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   57  +15      76.60     4.78    20.00     0.00     0.20    83.58    16.98P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   55  +21      78.56     4.74    29.35     0.00     0.33    92.49    30.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   52   +8      67.67     4.53     8.87     0.00     0.00     9.69     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   50   +9      68.34     4.58    11.89     0.00     0.00    13.40     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            35   48   +0      63.58     4.59     0.38     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          35   47   -8      61.66     4.39    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          35   46   -5      58.70     4.35    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   44   -6      57.56     4.57    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.05R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      59.89     4.83    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   43   -6      57.69     4.58    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.30     4.56   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.60     4.70   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.27R    0.01  
Hull             35   38   -6      51.05     4.40    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.33R    0.01  
Southampton      34   37   -6      52.93     4.72    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.01  
Leicester        35   37   -8      49.30     4.37   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.09R    0.05  
Derby            35   35  -10      48.23     4.37   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.53R    0.12  
Sheffield_W      35   34  -16      45.13     4.19   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.52R    0.99  
Millwall         35   29  -22      40.53     4.28   -26.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.54R   10.23  
Brighton         35   29  -24      40.85     4.30   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.63R    9.71  
Crewe            34   23  -35      33.87     4.23   -46.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.12R   78.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Walsall vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        34   63  +21      85.41     4.59    30.47    45.91    72.35    99.85    80.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.76     5.32    22.19    17.98    38.98    97.50    53.97P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    34   59  +13      78.62     4.89    17.77     4.84    16.39    93.66    31.82P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   57  +22      77.89     4.87    29.06     5.79    17.23    93.06    39.49P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.46     5.64    25.29    23.14    47.06    97.78    60.73P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        33   55  +16      75.17     5.19    19.40     2.31     7.76    81.75    27.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          34   50   -1      67.06     4.90     0.08     0.01     0.10    15.53     2.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield    34   48   +3      65.05     4.81     3.90     0.00     0.05     8.69     1.53P    0.10R    0.00  
Doncaster       32   46   +1      64.25     5.31    -0.42     0.01     0.07     7.33     1.35P    0.36R    0.00  
Nottingham      34   44   +1      61.87     4.81     3.21     0.00     0.00     2.28     0.55P    0.79R    0.02  
Port_Vale       33   43   -5      59.14     4.97    -7.06     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.14P    3.94R    0.15  
Bradford        34   42   +1      59.37     4.74     2.56     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.15P    2.47R    0.10  
Tranmere        34   41   +1      58.58     4.80     2.87     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.15P    3.67R    0.15  
Bournemouth     33   41   -2      56.93     5.03    -4.50     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.10P    8.63R    0.45  
Gillingham      34   40  -11      53.42     4.72   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   27.88R    3.61  
Bristol_City    34   39  -11      54.83     4.86   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.39R    2.19  
Scunthorpe      33   38   -7      54.06     5.01   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   23.63R    2.56  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.66     4.87   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.78R    4.38  
Swindon_Town    34   38  -10      51.60     4.65   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.70R    6.58  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.23     5.27   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.53R    3.27  
Blackpool       34   37   -9      51.96     4.76   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.37R    5.30  
Walsall         33   37  -13      51.71     4.85   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   42.35R    6.86  
Rotherham       34   36   -7      50.91     4.75    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.18R    8.21  
Milton_Keynes   33   31  -18      44.72     4.76   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.20R   56.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         34   59  +27      81.18     4.78    35.97    36.91    78.16    99.07    84.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   59  +20      80.48     4.81    27.96    26.79    71.15    98.38    78.21P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   57  +19      76.87     4.79    24.32     9.21    40.62    93.75    56.71P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      79.07     5.08    24.18    19.18    58.10    96.40    68.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   55   +9      75.03     5.22    12.24     5.12    25.36    83.53    37.33P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     34   52  +12      72.72     4.88    18.33     1.64    13.93    76.30    30.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       33   50   +4      69.69     5.13     6.98     0.40     4.83    48.53    13.62P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   49   +6      66.93     4.78     8.23     0.10     1.33    27.36     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   47   -7      61.92     4.77    -9.83     0.00     0.09     4.99     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       34   46   +8      63.09     4.87     9.01     0.00     0.20    10.46     2.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          31   45  +12      69.29     5.68    17.55     0.66     6.17    50.34    17.80P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   44   +0      60.29     4.85    -0.28     0.00     0.02     3.42     0.70P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County     34   43   -9      57.33     4.73   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.09P    0.26R    0.04  
Boston           33   42   -3      59.18     5.01    -3.95     0.00     0.01     2.02     0.36P    0.26R    0.04  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.83     5.66    -3.49     0.00     0.04     3.67     0.65P    0.53R    0.09  
Macclesfield     33   39   -7      55.93     5.21    -8.57     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.12P    1.65R    0.27  
Mansfield        34   38   -7      53.26     4.94    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    3.65R    0.66  
Oxford_Utd       33   37  -10      51.82     4.93   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    6.79R    1.20  
Chester          32   36   -6      53.13     5.25    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    4.46R    0.79  
Barnet           32   36  -10      51.55     5.13   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.61R    2.21  
Stockport        33   34  -18      48.55     4.99   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.61R    7.12  
Bury             31   33  -12      50.04     5.50   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   16.13R    4.51  
Torquay          34   32  -18      44.88     4.68   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.33R   22.40  
Rushden_&_D      34   30  -26      41.32     4.50   -34.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.69R   60.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Tamworth vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      28   64  +24      89.68     5.26    34.57    92.66    99.97    94.42P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       30   51  +19      72.07     4.82    25.84     0.56    66.55    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        28   51  +17      76.84     5.07    26.80     4.29    89.58    32.02P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         30   51   +8      70.74     4.89    12.92     0.19    50.42     9.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       30   50  +11      68.18     4.82    13.69     0.06    31.42     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           28   48  +18      73.89     5.33    29.54     2.10    76.73    19.39P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          29   47  +13      69.94     5.02    21.09     0.11    47.62    10.99P    0.00     0.00  
York            29   44  +12      65.44     5.17    17.39     0.03    17.45     4.02P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          28   41  +14      64.10     5.42    20.25     0.00    14.79     3.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          30   41   -3      57.32     4.82    -3.18     0.00     0.40     0.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend       27   39   +0      60.56     5.64     1.55     0.00     4.53     0.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       28   37   +1      55.65     5.33    -0.04     0.00     0.47     0.10P    0.20R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     29   36   -8      50.75     5.11   -12.79     0.00     0.04     0.00     2.69R    0.01  
Altrincham      30   36  -19      46.88     4.36   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.74R    0.23  
Kidderminster   30   35   -7      48.11     4.59   -11.60     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.09R    0.12  
Aldershot       28   35  -12      51.11     5.28   -17.94     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.11R    0.07  
Canvey_Island   29   32  -10      46.92     5.00   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.66R    0.41  
Forest_Green    29   29   -4      45.29     5.05    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.34R    1.25  
Scarborough     31   28  -18      38.89     4.32   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.42R   11.79  
Tamworth        28   27  -19      40.35     4.88   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.95R   11.10  
Crawley         27   25  -10      44.00     5.64   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.95R    3.84  
Southport       28   23  -27      33.42     4.52   -42.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.78R   71.19